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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #1701
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I've gotta stop waking up late on Sundays and holiday Mondays.

    Totally wanted this Philly under, woke up after it started. Looks like it will win again, as most Philly unders do these days.

    To be fair, I would have faded Dertoit with Atl -7.5, and that's tied right now, so maybe I would have split. But of course that might win too.

    Also would have taken Charlotte -6, in most likelihood, and that is crushing.

    Just running bad in the NBA in several ways:

    - Last minute screw jobs
    - Few of the reverse situation, where I get an undeserved win from a last minute lucky situation
    - The picks I want to bet and don't end up winning
    - I bet the wrong side with a misclick and lost by 1


  2. #1702
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Toronto +1 at Milwaukee - I think Toronto will break out today and beat Milwaukee, despite Toronto's 2-7 run at the moment.

    New Orleans at NY - Under 193.5 - If I can't go with my usual Philly under play, at least I'll do the next best thing and go with Knicks under. The Pelicans may be missing Holiday and Davis today, but even if they're not, I still like this. The Pelicans have scored over 95 just 3 times in their past 9 games. The Knicks, well.... they've scored 82 or fewer in 7 of their past 9 contests!

  3. #1703
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Fucking Bovada.

    They are the only book on the planet giving Toronto -1 right now. Everywhere else is Toronto +1. Fuck them. I'm not doing it.

    And they are refusing to let me put more than 525 right now on NY under, so I will wait and try again soon. Depends who you get over there approving bets. I've had bets rejected and then accepted when I resubmit a minute later.

    I think I will look into getting a Heritage account today.

  4. #1704
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Toronto is all over the place. It might not be a horrible idea to just watch that game anyway.

    Edit: I love your other bet though.

  5. #1705
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well the NY game just went OTB on Bovada, after the line fell by 1.

    Probably related to the questionable status of the 2 players.

  6. #1706
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I've gotta stop waking up late on Sundays and holiday Mondays.

    Totally wanted this Philly under, woke up after it started. Looks like it will win again, as most Philly unders do these days.

    To be fair, I would have faded Dertoit with Atl -7.5, and that's tied right now, so maybe I would have split. But of course that might win too.

    Also would have taken Charlotte -6, in most likelihood, and that is crushing.

    Just running bad in the NBA in several ways:

    - Last minute screw jobs
    - Few of the reverse situation, where I get an undeserved win from a last minute lucky situation
    - The picks I want to bet and don't end up winning
    - I bet the wrong side with a misclick and lost by 1

    Had Philly/Washington under. Turned into a closer sweat than necessary with both teams sinking 3's near end.

    All games starting out uber slow today for over/under. Everyone must be hungover or something no idea.

  7. #1707
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NY under collapsed to 190.5 in a short time. Weird how it sat the same throughout the day and fell right when I wanted to bet it.

    Sucks. Looks like I might bet neither game. They'll prob both win.

  8. #1708
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    NY under collapsed to 190.5 in a short time. Weird how it sat the same throughout the day and fell right when I wanted to bet it.

    Sucks. Looks like I might bet neither game. They'll prob both win.
    Thought about it more and read some and I like your proactive Toronto pick. Milwaukee got beaten by them by a million last time and still may be on a hangover from their London trip... if I had to play I would pick Toronto because they have to be hungry but milwaukee has to be one of the most athletic teams in the league minus matt Barnes which makes me hesitate.


    I took bulls vs. Cavs over 205.5 with a local guy. Bulls no defense without Noah and cavs hungry. Kevin love possibly out as well which hurts cavs d.

    The window is about to open to blindly start betting the Cavs too.

    I got pels vs. Knicks under 191. If I had to take a side I'd take the Knicks in that one.

  9. #1709
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So I'd be 3-0 already today if I woke up earlier.

    Unbelievable.

    I gotta look at the lines the night before and set an alarm.

    I don't think I'm going to bet anything today.

    Record at the moment is 78-72-5 if anyone cares. Would be so much better if I could have bet the games I missed for whatever reason.

  10. #1710
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Bovada really is gambling hard on the raptors today. I can't see it any other way. Both sharp and square lines locked at a number two points away from everyone else

  11. #1711
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    It's actually amazing how bad I run on Bovada with the line moving the wrong way for me.

    I would understand if I was always going the square way or the sharp way, but my bets are really a mixture of both, and yet I rarely get the advantage of the better line side there.

    It's almost like Bovada thinks, "What side would Todd pick?" and then sets the line worse on that side.

    The favorites make sense, as typically square money goes heavily on those, but I am also finding worse lines on the dogs I take, as well as the unders where most of the public is going over. And yet when I go over, I get the worse line, too.

    I will be done with them shortly (for the most part) once I get set up on a new book. I'm eyeing heritage and will probably go to CVS today and buy prepaid VISA cards to deposit there.

  12. #1712
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Smile

    Wow, NY/NO finished with 191.

    So those that bet the modified 190 line took it up the ass. Glad I didnt.

  13. #1713
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Excellent no bet druff. You would have lost by 0.5 in pelicans game. I pushed. I wish I went with my side lean on knicks. Stared at that moneyline +210 for a while.

  14. #1714
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Bovada just sharped my lines. I think.

    Tor +1 -115 if I log in, +0 -110 if I don't.

  15. #1715
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sheboon what do you see for Tor?

    I wonder if my call bitching about not having sharp lines made the difference.

  16. #1716
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Bovada just sharped my lines. I think.

    Tor +1 -115 if I log in, +0 -110 if I don't.
    Same. You made it! But you will end up not liking that decision once you have other books funded.

  17. #1717
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Bovada just sharped my lines. I think.

    Tor +1 -115 if I log in, +0 -110 if I don't.
    Same. You made it! But you will end up not liking that decision once you have other books funded.
    +1.5 -102 5d

  18. #1718
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Sheboon what do you see for Tor?

    I wonder if my call bitching about not having sharp lines made the difference.
    Possibly but more likely a computer program tracking betting styles

  19. #1719
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Good call on Cleveland. They're up 11.

    I was afraid to bet that because the team is so inconsistent.

  20. #1720
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    lol apparently my book is super dumb cuz i got 193.5 and it bet it today NTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 41215405
    Jan 19 02:42 PM

    NBA
    STRAIGHT BET
    [714] TOTAL u193½-110
    (N.O. PELICANS vrs N.Y. KNICKS)

    250 / 227

    227
    WIN
    WIN
    01/19/2015 12:57 PM

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