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Thread: *** OFFICIAL *** NFL 2025-26 Thread

  1. #281
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    We haven't heard from Daly since he got knocked out of Survivor.

    Daly, give us a sign of life.

    In the meantime, my choices this week are between Seattle and Denver.

    Arizona, who shocked Dallas tonight with a 27-17 road victory without Kyler Murray, might be without him again on Sunday.

    Denver will be playing Thursday, against a scuffling Raiders team which barely lost to Jacksonville in OT (and screwed my under).

    About 45% of the field has Seattle available, and 31% have Denver.

    Seattle is -7 right now, Denver is -9.

    I might not want to waste Seattle, as they might be a good spot against the hapless Titans in Week 12, though they'll be on the road. Week 12 is going to be a tough one, so I hate to throw away that option.

    Denver has a few options in the future, week 13 on the road against the Redskins, week 14 on the road against these same Raiders, and week 16 at home against the Jaguars.

    Can't touch Detroit, as they are my only real option for Christmas. KC and Dallas are used already. I also want to save Buffalo for the second half.

    One good thing about saving Seattle would be using them week 12, and then giving myself the option to use Pittsburgh should I make tough week 17.

    Decisions, decisions...

    Ill follow this up with its own thread. If you want a nickels worth of free advice....

    If you are an I Phone user

    Dont Ever Ever Ever Ever Ever get locked out of your Apple account, unless you want to be removed from everyone in your life for 5 days.

     
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      gut: Lolz, Steve Jobs'd

  2. #282
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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  3. #283
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    https://twitter.com/circasports/status/1987343738713358784

    Imagine I said on week 1 that Carolina would be the top pick of week 10.

  4. #284
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Jets just returned 2 kicks for 99 and 74 yards, for 2 TD in the first 6:15 of the game.

    Hilarious.

  5. #285
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Jets just returned 2 kicks for 99 and 74 yards, for 2 TD in the first 6:15 of the game.

    Hilarious.
    Continually finding new ways to fail is the only interesting thing about being a Browns fan. Great defense, they don’t have a first down yet, let’s give them 14 on special teams

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  7. #287
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Good day for Druff.

    I’m going to play one of these sometime. So when we talk about value of an alive entry, that’s just the average value, correct? Like one entry with better options left is worth much more than one entry with less valuable options and there wouldn’t be a set price to sell action to someone?

  8. #288
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Giants might be the worst 4th quarter team ever.

    Up 20-10 with 5-ish minutes left on Bears 39. Fumble. Concussion. Team collapses. 24-20 Chicago, final.

    Second time since Week 7 that the Giants rescued a prominent Survivor pick at the end.


    At least the Panthers and Bills lost.

    Seattle crushing (team is getting really good, where is Tony bags?), Detroit winning.

    So it looks like the carnage is limited to those two. Still shaves off a good portion of the field.

    I am going to go into my sitting room and do a lotus pose for 3 hours while I think about how much and how pricey pieces of my ticket will be. Looks like average ticket equity will be a little short of $19k, but I have a better than average ticket.

    I’ll return later.

  9. #289
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Good day for Druff.

    I’m going to play one of these sometime. So when we talk about value of an alive entry, that’s just the average value, correct? Like one entry with better options left is worth much more than one entry with less valuable options and there wouldn’t be a set price to sell action to someone?
    Correct.

    That’s why it’s difficult to price.

    I definitely have a better than average ticket, with Buffalo, Baltimore, Detroit, Philly, and Seattle remaining.

  10. #290
    Plutonium Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Giants might be the worst 4th quarter team ever.

    Up 20-10 with 5-ish minutes left on Bears 39. Fumble. Concussion. Team collapses. 24-20 Chicago, final.

    Second time since Week 7 that the Giants rescued a prominent Survivor pick at the end.


    At least the Panthers and Bills lost.

    Seattle crushing (team is getting really good, where is Tony bags?), Detroit winning.

    So it looks like the carnage is limited to those two. Still shaves off a good portion of the field.

    I am going to go into my sitting room and do a lotus pose for 3 hours while I think about how much and how pricey pieces of my ticket will be. Looks like average ticket equity will be a little short of $19k, but I have a better than average ticket.

    I’ll return later.

    where you at w/ this DD?

  11. #291
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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  12. #292
    Plutonium Tellafriend's Avatar
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    no, but if you are sincere, i am willing to pay a fair price for 10% of the sweat. feel free to pm or respond here.

  13. #293
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    44k for a share worth about $1800….seems nuts.

    Assumes a 10 way split on the end

  14. #294
    Plutonium Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Texter View Post
    44k for a share worth about $1800….seems nuts.

    Assumes a 10 way split on the end

    it can't be serious. just hopium.

  15. #295
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Texter View Post
    44k for a share worth about $1800….seems nuts.

    Assumes a 10 way split on the end

    it can't be serious. just hopium.

    Yeah I don’t see Druff valuing it the same as texter, but if he does I’ll take the other 39% you left on the table for him to retain 51%.

  16. #296
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I didn’t forget you guys.

    I will come up with something tonight most likely, and explain my reasoning.

    Important to do this before the Thursday game, which I won’t be selecting, but many with NE open will.

    This week I have to decide between Pittsburgh (-5.5) at home vs Cincy in the battle between olds, or take a maybe-safer Baltimore (-8) on the road against the Browns. Note Cleveland plays good defense at home.

    I’ve used GB, Hou, and NE.

    Probably doing Steelers unless I have a bad feeling about it (or some other compelling reason not to).

    Throwing away Ravens in this spot probably a mistake, given my path, and that one is no sure thing either.

  17. #297
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    The cheapest on Survivor Sweat right now is $210 per 1%. But keep in mind that this ticket is forcing you to purchase 50% (with no say in picks), and has already burnt Rams, Ravens, Lions, Packers, Bills, Patriot, Seahawks, Colts, Broncos, and Bucs. In other words, it's a shit ticket.

    There's one for $225/1%, but again that one has burnt Ravens, Lions, Packers, Seahawks, Colts, Rams, and Eagles.

    Anyway, suffice to say that all the tickets in that range are similarly shitty. Go have a look for yourself (make sure to filter only for Circa Survivor): https://survivorsweat.com/marketplace/listings

    In fact, keep going through the teams used by the listings under $300 per 1%, and you'll see that these tickets are way inferior to mine.

    Recall that I have Bills, Ravens, Eagles, Seahawks, and Lions available. Not a single ticket under $305 (and probably higher, as $305 is where I stopped checking) has those five available.

    So it's tough figuring out a fair price here, as I believe my ticket to be quite good, and at the moment I have favorites left for all 10 remaining picks.

    More in a bit.

  18. #298
    Plutonium Tellafriend's Avatar
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    i would think most of us want you to recoup a fair price for your investment, i do, but with equal emphasis, hope you realize you are dealing with your online family here.

    have i mentioned i have been thinking of a trip to the holy land with possible conversion happening with a senior rabbi i am meeting with ?

    Shalom, Achí Yisra’el

  19. #299
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yeah see that’s a factor for sure.

    I would feel guilty if I sold it for unfair value to a PFA forum reader/poster or radio listener.

    I would not feel guilty if I listed it anonymously on Survivor Sweat and some retard chose to pay $500/1% after looking at my ticket.

    So I gotta balance the desire to collect max $$ for my efforts from strangers with wanting PFA people to have a good and fair sweat.

  20. #300
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Just maximize profit and sell to the highest bidder. It likely will lose like all but a handful do and you’ll feel bad if it’s your posters anyway.

    If you had a couple tickets different story

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