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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #42261
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    14-0 now. I'm really so frustrated because this wasn't a "considering betting but decided against it" game which wins.

    This is a game I was 100% decided to bet, but just decided I'd do it today, and then put it off not realizing the time it was actually starting.

    Hard enough to win in NFL betting without forgetting to fire on your winners.


  2. #42262
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    Bucs just straight out lost. Nothing to say.

    But Houston play calling is brutal. They are down 20-12 (and only this close due to a defensive TD) with a couple minutes left in 3rd, and they cant get a single yard in the run game the whole game, but get a little momentum going with short passing. They have a 3rd and one from their own 40 and run it twice into the line and dont gain an inch and turnover on downs. Gotta call 2 short pass plays there.

    And then immediately Houston defense has a PI in end zone.

    Horrible.

  3. #42263
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I bet you forgot that NBA is starting.

    Or maybe you didn't.

    In any case, there are 2 games tonight.

    The Lakers are without roided Lebron, and have just announced the irritating news that Maxi Kleber is injured again.

    Lakers were horrendous this preseason without Lebron, and their one good game was against these Warriors when Curry was out. I realize the preseason doesn't mean a whole lot, and Doncic also missed some games, but the Lakers were really, really bad.

    I think this team is going to flail badly until they get Lebron back, and even if they can hold it together somewhat, they'll at minimum take some time to adjust to life without him. Lebron may not return until December.

    Warriors have some injuries of their own, but Butler and Kuminga will play despite ankle issues, and they're only going to be without Moses Moody and Alex Toohy.


    I don't think this game will be particularly close.


    Golden State -2.5 -110 at Lakers

  4. #42264
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    imagine this a real thing its like 57 51 at halftime you bet under 223 in the rockets and it going to ot as ur first nba of the season i cleaned up on lakers first q under 56.5 but jesus fucking christ overtime really in rockets

  5. #42265
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Butler having a great game, no sign of his ankle being a problem.

    Luka also doing very well, but the rest of the Lakers have been a non-factor.

    Only 1 point at the half, but now Warriors are up 11 and going to shoot 2 FT in the 3rd.

  6. #42266
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I don't think this game will be particularly close.


    Golden State -2.5 -110 at Lakers
    119-109


     
    Comments
      
      Tellafriend: applause - i tailed :)
      
      1dollarboxcar: me too, your theory sounded great so i tailed... great call and thanks for posting...
      
      gut: Also tailed

  7. #42267
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    WARNING

    I don't like this one as much as yesterday's Warriors picks.

    I was and still am very bearish on early season Lakers, while I believe others were foolishly backing them because of Luka and due to flaws in the Warriors.

    Many people are chalking it up today with Bucks, who are trying to give the city of Milwaukee something to cheer about after last week's baseball disaster.

    The Bucks, however, have been an overrated team for years, and they are possibly worse than last year. Ignore their 8-game regular season winning streak to close out the 24-25 season, as that's not relevant anymore.

    Washington is coming off two horrendous seasons, and this one won't be great, either. But there's some hope. They've acquired CJ McCollum, Khris Middleton is healthy (for now), and they have a number of second-year players who were first round picks. Their short preseason (3 games) was better than expected, with the team barely losing to Toronto and stomping on the Knicks by 17. They did finish off on a sour note by getting blown out by Detroit.

    The beginning of the season often sees some weird anomalies as teams are finding themselves. The Bucks could easily struggle in the first half before finding footing.

    This game looks to me like a close first half, second half collapse situation. The Bullets should have enough to keep it close in the first half.

    Washington +5.5 +100 at Milwaukee - FIRST HALF

  8. #42268
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well this isn’t a good start.

  9. #42269
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, Washington is legit horrible and the Bucks are playing great basketball. I concede this one before the 1st is over.

    Shoulda chalked it, which I actually considered, before deciding to go fancy and instead bet the other way for 1H. I saw this collapse happening in the 2nd, not the 1st.


  10. #42270
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    i have memphis under were squeaking this one thru

  11. #42271
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Min/pdx u221.5
    Just got atl ML +114 at half down 5

    EDIT lol ATL
    Last edited by gut; 10-22-2025 at 06:39 PM.

  12. #42272
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay I'm going to degen to respond to this beatdown in the earlier pick.

    I'm fading your team, gut.

    Minnesota -4.5 -107 at Portland

    Edwards is questionable but probably playing.

  13. #42273
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Okay I'm going to degen to respond to this beatdown in the earlier pick.

    I'm fading your team, gut.

    Minnesota -4.5 -107 at Portland

    Edwards is questionable but probably playing.
    I am on other end. Took Blazers +5. I also took Kings +4.

  14. #42274
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Okay I'm going to degen to respond to this beatdown in the earlier pick.

    I'm fading your team, gut.

    Minnesota -4.5 -107 at Portland

    Edwards is questionable but probably playing.
    I am on other end. Took Blazers +5. I also took Kings +4.
    Wow how did I not win this?

    Blazers a little ahead entire way, then they got up as much as 10, then they blew the lead. Minn by 4 in the final 30 seconds and I thought the fouling would take it to at least 5, and I'd win. Instead the Blazers somehow took almost all 7 seconds to get off a shot down 4, and missed, and then there was no time to continue fouling.

    Totally had a Verm beat written all over it, but didn't happen, and I lost.

    I see you did get fucked with Sac who was way up and ended up losing by 4, which tied.

  15. #42275
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    NHL partners with Kalshi and Polymarket

    DraftKings acquires Railbird Technologies, another predictions platform

    Fanduel better get busy or they gonna be the AOL of wagering. Wagering is changing fast.

  16. #42276
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    NHL partners with Kalshi and Polymarket

    DraftKings acquires Railbird Technologies, another predictions platform

    Fanduel better get busy or they gonna be the AOL of wagering. Wagering is changing fast.

    I am genuinely interested to see "who is right".

    The sportsbooks listed Cade Horton as -300ish to win ROY at season end.

    These prediction markets have Baldwin as the favorite and have for a little while.

  17. #42277
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post

    I am on other end. Took Blazers +5. I also took Kings +4.
    Wow how did I not win this?

    Blazers a little ahead entire way, then they got up as much as 10, then they blew the lead. Minn by 4 in the final 30 seconds and I thought the fouling would take it to at least 5, and I'd win. Instead the Blazers somehow took almost all 7 seconds to get off a shot down 4, and missed, and then there was no time to continue fouling.

    Totally had a Verm beat written all over it, but didn't happen, and I lost.

    I see you did get fucked with Sac who was way up and ended up losing by 4, which tied.
    I was super tired and couldn't really stay awake. When I went to bed I had already accepted the Sac loss (despite being up by 17 at halftime they gave it all back and then some in the 3rd and were down by 7 when I turned it off) and just hoped Blazers would hold on. But yeah, looking at box score I see Blazers were down 4 and used the entire shot clock to take a shot, which was good for me.

  18. #42278
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    NBA, does anyone else like DEN +2.5 and +110 ML @ GS...? i am thinking that the GS win over LAL is over rated, like Druff pointed out LA didn't have LeBron and is this feeding into these lines tonight??

  19. #42279
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Minnestoa +149 at LA Chargers

  20. #42280
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    Well this isn't going well.

     
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      lol wow: lol

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