*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[gut]

I’m trying to talk myself out of Titans ML but I might have to fire it.

When they announced that Ward was out the line dropped to 3.5. Thats a odd reaction when you would think the opposite would have happened.

Ive heard worse ideas than this

The ole "C. Ward injured during warmups" headline got ya eh?

Stupid Charvarious. Also, how are the Colts a serious team this year and 2 guys get hurt in pre-game?

[Kalam]

Here is some very early college FB bets for next week. Your welcome Tell.

LUS +3 -115
S. Car +5.5
Washington +6
Miss St. +10
Arkansas +7.5

(2 bets I am waiting to see if line moves in my favor but plan to eventually bet are are W. Virginia and Mich St.)

Teasers:

West Kentukcy/ND
Georgia Southern/Alabama
Cal/Boise/tulane (10 point)
Temple/New Mexico/T Tech (10 point)

[Dan Druff]

Seattle (B. Miller) +105 vs Toronto (Gausman)

Sorry simpdog

[Daly]

I'll use this for note taking and update in the morning.

Tier 1
Vandy -2.5
Wis +25.5
Wazzu +17.5
Missou U 43.5

Tier 2
GT +1.5
Memp -21.5
Ore st +21.5
Wis U41.5
Ou O 43.5
FAU U 72.5
Utah O 48.5

Play
OU -5.5

[Kalam]

Horrible start to weekend.

I have San Jose St +4.

They are going to lose by 5, with a missed extra point, which they doubled down on with a missed 2 point conversion. So just threw away 3 points.

Of course the play that really fucked me is a play you see 50 times every weekend, with the same result every time. San Jose St. is down 2 with about 5 minutes left and they have 4th and 1 around midfield. They go for it, which is fine. But it is a super predictable power run against a stacked box and never has a chance.

Then Utah St. drives down 20 yards to bleed clock and kick a FG and go up by 5.

Game blouses.

[Dan Druff]

Seattle (B. Miller) +105 vs Toronto (Gausman)

Sorry simpdog

Tellafriend, please tell me you didn't fade this one

[Tellafriend]

Seattle (B. Miller) +105 vs Toronto (Gausman)

Sorry simpdog

Tellafriend, please tell me you didn't fade this one

haha, nope, i tailed but was going to stay quiet either way...


Seattle MarinersML -108
Ticket#916096823-1
StatusWin (Toronto Blue Jays 2 - Seattle Mariners 6)
Risk/Win$ 378.00 / $ 350.00
Game
Toronto Blue Jays / Seattle Mariners

[Tellafriend]

Horrible start to weekend.

I have San Jose St +4.

They are going to lose by 5, with a missed extra point, which they doubled down on with a missed 2 point conversion. So just threw away 3 points.

Of course the play that really fucked me is a play you see 50 times every weekend, with the same result every time. San Jose St. is down 2 with about 5 minutes left and they have 4th and 1 around midfield. They go for it, which is fine. But it is a super predictable power run against a stacked box and never has a chance.

Then Utah St. drives down 20 yards to bleed clock and kick a FG and go up by 5.

Game blouses.

i had utah st. knew i got lucky but wasn't sure why until now. gg verm.

[Tellafriend]

Seattle (B. Miller) +105 vs Toronto (Gausman)

Sorry simpdog

Tellafriend, please tell me you didn't fade this one

now, what would you advise i do with these once we know lines for Sunday?



Blue Jays Series ML -150
$450 $300
Oct 12, 2025 3:09 PM

Blue Jays Series-1½ +160
$50 $80

[Dan Druff]

Tellafriend, please tell me you didn't fade this one

now, what would you advise i do with these once we know lines for Sunday?



Blue Jays Series ML -150
$450 $300
Oct 12, 2025 3:09 PM

Blue Jays Series-1½ +160
$50 $80

Not sure what you're asking here

[Dan Druff]

Got some NFL

I had a good week last Sunday until I threw on Titans at the last minute. Ugh.

I said last week that I was done betting on shitty teams against other shitty teams, as it's too unpredictable. That lasted all of 5 1/2 days.

Note that Chicago's forecast calls for rain in the first 1-2 hours, and wind the entire way. I think this one stays close, and the rain/wind diminishes scoring.

New Orleans +4.5 -110 at Chicago
New Orleans/Chicago - Under 46.5 -110
Dallas -1 -105 vs Washington


Reluctantly taking KC this week for Survivor, even though I think there's a good chance they don't cover the spread.

[Daly]

Still waiting for updated numbers and my weekly phone call, but because its a early game Take GT off the list at noon. In fact Id play Duke -3

[Daly]

At noon im playing Duke -3, vandy -1.5 and Under 47.5

In my years of experience I have never seen more conflictive inputs into a singular game than OU vs South Carolina.

[Daly]

Rare parlay for 3pm

wis +25.5
Under 42 -120
wazzu +17.5

100 should pay around $525

[Daly]

For noon add Uconn -2.5 or better

[Tellafriend]

now, what would you advise i do with these once we know lines for Sunday?



Blue Jays Series ML -150
$450 $300
Oct 12, 2025 3:09 PM

Blue Jays Series-1½ +160
$50 $80

Not sure what you're asking here

i'm asking if i should cover some/all my bet -- i.e., do you think the BJs have a decent shot at pulling this out or would it be prudent to buy some of it off by betting on seattle tomorrow?

[Dan Druff]

Not sure what you're asking here

i'm asking if i should cover some/all my bet -- i.e., do you think the BJs have a decent shot at pulling this out or would it be prudent to buy some of it off by betting on seattle tomorrow?

For those amounts of money (unless that's just a fraction of it), I wouldn't add further house juice into the equation.

I would just sit on this. I don't have strong opinions about that series. I think Seattle pulls it out but it's been a strange series, with home teams being 1-4 thus far.

[Daly]

Hunter long First TD +2500

[Dan Druff]

Here are my recommended picks at this point... the ones I'm betting right now. Similar to what I posted before, except sadly some worse lines (and 2 more picks).


New Orleans +183 at Chicago (Tellafriend special)
New Orleans/Chicago - Under 45.5 -115
NY Jets vs Carolina - Under 41 -110
Dallas -119 vs Washington (-1 ok)
Minnesota +110 vs Philadelphia

[Daly]

Thin card today.

Pats Under 42
Colts Under 49