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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #42221
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I’m trying to talk myself out of Titans ML but I might have to fire it.

    When they announced that Ward was out the line dropped to 3.5. Thats a odd reaction when you would think the opposite would have happened.

    Ive heard worse ideas than this

    The ole "C. Ward injured during warmups" headline got ya eh?

    Stupid Charvarious. Also, how are the Colts a serious team this year and 2 guys get hurt in pre-game?

  2. #42222
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    Here is some very early college FB bets for next week. Your welcome Tell.

    LUS +3 -115
    S. Car +5.5
    Washington +6
    Miss St. +10
    Arkansas +7.5

    (2 bets I am waiting to see if line moves in my favor but plan to eventually bet are are W. Virginia and Mich St.)

    Teasers:

    West Kentukcy/ND
    Georgia Southern/Alabama
    Cal/Boise/tulane (10 point)
    Temple/New Mexico/T Tech (10 point)

     
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      Tellafriend: oh vey

  3. #42223
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Seattle (B. Miller) +105 vs Toronto (Gausman)

    Sorry simpdog

  4. #42224
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I'll use this for note taking and update in the morning.

    Tier 1
    Vandy -2.5
    Wis +25.5
    Wazzu +17.5
    Missou U 43.5

    Tier 2
    GT +1.5
    Memp -21.5
    Ore st +21.5
    Wis U41.5
    Ou O 43.5
    FAU U 72.5
    Utah O 48.5

    Play
    OU -5.5

  5. #42225
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    Horrible start to weekend.

    I have San Jose St +4.

    They are going to lose by 5, with a missed extra point, which they doubled down on with a missed 2 point conversion. So just threw away 3 points.

    Of course the play that really fucked me is a play you see 50 times every weekend, with the same result every time. San Jose St. is down 2 with about 5 minutes left and they have 4th and 1 around midfield. They go for it, which is fine. But it is a super predictable power run against a stacked box and never has a chance.

    Then Utah St. drives down 20 yards to bleed clock and kick a FG and go up by 5.

    Game blouses.

  6. #42226
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Seattle (B. Miller) +105 vs Toronto (Gausman)

    Sorry simpdog

    Tellafriend, please tell me you didn't fade this one

  7. #42227
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Seattle (B. Miller) +105 vs Toronto (Gausman)

    Sorry simpdog

    Tellafriend, please tell me you didn't fade this one


    haha, nope, i tailed but was going to stay quiet either way...


    Seattle MarinersML -108
    Ticket#916096823-1
    StatusWin (Toronto Blue Jays 2 - Seattle Mariners 6)
    Risk/Win$ 378.00 / $ 350.00
    Game
    Toronto Blue Jays / Seattle Mariners

  8. #42228
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Horrible start to weekend.

    I have San Jose St +4.

    They are going to lose by 5, with a missed extra point, which they doubled down on with a missed 2 point conversion. So just threw away 3 points.

    Of course the play that really fucked me is a play you see 50 times every weekend, with the same result every time. San Jose St. is down 2 with about 5 minutes left and they have 4th and 1 around midfield. They go for it, which is fine. But it is a super predictable power run against a stacked box and never has a chance.

    Then Utah St. drives down 20 yards to bleed clock and kick a FG and go up by 5.

    Game blouses.

    i had utah st. knew i got lucky but wasn't sure why until now. gg verm.

  9. #42229
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Seattle (B. Miller) +105 vs Toronto (Gausman)

    Sorry simpdog

    Tellafriend, please tell me you didn't fade this one

    now, what would you advise i do with these once we know lines for Sunday?



    Blue Jays Series ML -150
    $450 $300
    Oct 12, 2025 3:09 PM

    Blue Jays Series-1½ +160
    $50 $80

  10. #42230
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post


    Tellafriend, please tell me you didn't fade this one

    now, what would you advise i do with these once we know lines for Sunday?



    Blue Jays Series ML -150
    $450 $300
    Oct 12, 2025 3:09 PM

    Blue Jays Series-1½ +160
    $50 $80
    Not sure what you're asking here

  11. #42231
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Got some NFL

    I had a good week last Sunday until I threw on Titans at the last minute. Ugh.

    I said last week that I was done betting on shitty teams against other shitty teams, as it's too unpredictable. That lasted all of 5 1/2 days.

    Note that Chicago's forecast calls for rain in the first 1-2 hours, and wind the entire way. I think this one stays close, and the rain/wind diminishes scoring.

    New Orleans +4.5 -110 at Chicago
    New Orleans/Chicago - Under 46.5 -110
    Dallas -1 -105 vs Washington


    Reluctantly taking KC this week for Survivor, even though I think there's a good chance they don't cover the spread.

  12. #42232
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Still waiting for updated numbers and my weekly phone call, but because its a early game Take GT off the list at noon. In fact Id play Duke -3

     
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      Michael Jackson:

  13. #42233
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    At noon im playing Duke -3, vandy -1.5 and Under 47.5

    In my years of experience I have never seen more conflictive inputs into a singular game than OU vs South Carolina.

  14. #42234
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    Rare parlay for 3pm

    wis +25.5
    Under 42 -120
    wazzu +17.5

    100 should pay around $525

  15. #42235
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    For noon add Uconn -2.5 or better

  16. #42236
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post


    now, what would you advise i do with these once we know lines for Sunday?



    Blue Jays Series ML -150
    $450 $300
    Oct 12, 2025 3:09 PM

    Blue Jays Series-1½ +160
    $50 $80
    Not sure what you're asking here


    i'm asking if i should cover some/all my bet -- i.e., do you think the BJs have a decent shot at pulling this out or would it be prudent to buy some of it off by betting on seattle tomorrow?

  17. #42237
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    Not sure what you're asking here


    i'm asking if i should cover some/all my bet -- i.e., do you think the BJs have a decent shot at pulling this out or would it be prudent to buy some of it off by betting on seattle tomorrow?
    For those amounts of money (unless that's just a fraction of it), I wouldn't add further house juice into the equation.

    I would just sit on this. I don't have strong opinions about that series. I think Seattle pulls it out but it's been a strange series, with home teams being 1-4 thus far.

     
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      Tellafriend: ty

  18. #42238
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Hunter long First TD +2500

  19. #42239
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    Here are my recommended picks at this point... the ones I'm betting right now. Similar to what I posted before, except sadly some worse lines (and 2 more picks).


    New Orleans +183 at Chicago (Tellafriend special)
    New Orleans/Chicago - Under 45.5 -115
    NY Jets vs Carolina - Under 41 -110
    Dallas -119 vs Washington (-1 ok)
    Minnesota +110 vs Philadelphia

  20. #42240
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Thin card today.

    Pats Under 42
    Colts Under 49

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