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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #41921
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Cards just blew 1st and 3rd, 2-0 after 4.

    Verlander is somehow pitching well despite the 121 pitches on August 31 at age 42. Amazing.

    I'm hoping that Pallante is Pallante in the 5th.

  2. #41922
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Tell friend,

    I have a good one you will appreciate.

    Had Texas -36.5. They won by 31, with two turnovers inside the opponents 10 yard line, including a fumble at the end of the game where they were actually trying to score and cover with backups, but the RB fumbled.


    1. now i know why i also lost that game.

    2. this just happened. which is really (somehow) worse. look at the play by play under 2 minutes and the situation. fuck....me


    https://www.espn.com/college-footbal...ansas-missouri


    and you know which side i had:


    Kansas +6½ -108
    We had the "right side" of Texas and Kansas. We going to be profitable today depending on how OU closes but it was almost a very memorable day.

     
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      DrPeters: yessir

  3. #41923
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post



    I think OU waxes Michigan.

    I hope things go well early in day because I'll probably double down and then some on -5.



    well done.

    chicken dinner on me.

  4. #41924
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    I had Over in the Kansas game, so smooth sailing by halftime. But yeah, pretty LOL Kansas couldn't even cover.

    This one is in the weeds some, but had Charlotte +14.5 versus NC. They lost by 17, with a -3 turnover margin. So that one could have definitely gone better.

    I actually had Kentucky +9 vs Ole Miss. And they covered by scoring a FG with 18 seconds left to only lose by 7. But I feel pretty much everyone is doing that move now (if you are down 9-10 points in the last 30 seconds of game, kick the FG and then try onside kick and Hail Mary), so not really a bad beat it went down that way.

  5. #41925
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Hawaii qb is out.

    Degen U 1H 23.5

  6. #41926
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Hawaii qb is out.

    Degen U 1H 23.5

    Lesson 1,000,001 why if you like the under take the 1H and not game.

  7. #41927
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    So go back 1-2-3-4-5-9 years ago and you will see my annual comments on betting the NFL. Its a tough rackett.

    That risk being understood and accepted.

    TB under 1H 23.5 money on over keeps coming in, total going down.
    Browns +5.5 this bet feels so bad it has to be the right play
    Colts -1 someone/some group must really like Colts. Maybe tua is hurt.
    Jets +3 when i looked i said Pitt. Whole world on them. Fade

    Later on
    Ill be on Denver -8.5 I am big on them this year and number keeps pushing up

    Play of the day might be Packers -1

     
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      country978: outstanding!!!
      
      DrPeters: well done boss

  8. #41928
    Silver DrPeters's Avatar
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    Pats -2.5

  9. #41929
    Gold Starbucks Spunk Bucket's Avatar
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    My dear San… etc
    BALLIN'!!

  10. #41930
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So go back 1-2-3-4-5-9 years ago and you will see my annual comments on betting the NFL. Its a tough rackett.

    That risk being understood and accepted.

    TB under 1H 23.5 money on over keeps coming in, total going down.
    Browns +5.5 this bet feels so bad it has to be the right play
    Colts -1 someone/some group must really like Colts. Maybe tua is hurt.
    Jets +3 when i looked i said Pitt. Whole world on them. Fade

    Later on
    Ill be on Denver -8.5 I am big on them this year and number keeps pushing up

    Play of the day might be Packers -1

     
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      Michael Jackson:
      
      Dan Druff:

  11. #41931
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Brutal end to both the Jets and Falcons games.

    60-yard FG by the Steelers to go up 34-32 with 1:08 left.

    Atlanta, up 20-17, gave up a TD way too easily, then got the gift of a missed EP. Then they had TWO almost touchdowns themselves (despite just 59 seconds to do it), and then missed a 44-yard FG to end it.




    I will be taking all 6 of my Survivor tickets to week 2, though. But hardly anyone got eliminated, so.... blah.

     
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      Tellafriend: gg

  12. #41932
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    daly -

    what am i doing here, if anything?




    Parlay - 5 Teams

    Risk/Win$ 151.00 / $ 1,744.96

    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

    Vikings / BearsU 44½ -120
    Ticket#895981107-1
    StatusPending (Minnesota Vikings 0 - Chicago Bears 0)
    GameMinnesota Vikings / Chicago Bears
    SelectionNFL - 481 / 482 Game Total
    ScheduledSep 8, 2025 8:15 PM - (EST)
    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

    NoteNFL Week 1 - ABC/ESPN
    Denver Broncos-7 -155W
    Ticket#895981107-2
    StatusWon (Tennessee Titans 12 - Denver Broncos 20)
    GameTennessee Titans / Denver Broncos
    SelectionNFL - 472 Game Spread
    ScheduledSep 7, 2025 4:05 PM - (EST)
    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

    NoteNFL Week 1 - FOX
    Arizona Cardinals-5½ -130W
    Ticket#895981107-3
    StatusWon (Arizona Cardinals 20 - New Orleans Saints 13)
    GameArizona Cardinals / New Orleans Saints
    SelectionNFL - 467 Game Spread
    ScheduledSep 7, 2025 1:00 PM - (EST)
    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

    NoteNFL Week 1 - CBS
    Jacksonville JaguarsML -185W
    Ticket#895981107-4
    StatusWon (Carolina Panthers 10 - Jacksonville Jaguars 26)
    GameCarolina Panthers / Jacksonville Jaguars
    SelectionNFL - 460 Game Money Line
    ScheduledSep 7, 2025 1:00 PM - (EST)
    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

    NoteNFL Week 1 - FOX
    Texans / RamsU 44½ -120W
    Ticket#895981107-5
    StatusWon (Houston Texans 9 - Los Angeles Rams 14)
    GameHouston Texans / Los Angeles Rams
    SelectionNFL - 477 / 478 Game Total
    ScheduledSep 7, 2025 4:25 PM - (EST)
    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

  13. #41933
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    daly -

    what am i doing here, if anything?




    Parlay - 5 Teams

    Risk/Win$ 151.00 / $ 1,744.96

    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

    Vikings / BearsU 44½ -120
    Ticket#895981107-1
    StatusPending (Minnesota Vikings 0 - Chicago Bears 0)
    GameMinnesota Vikings / Chicago Bears
    SelectionNFL - 481 / 482 Game Total
    ScheduledSep 8, 2025 8:15 PM - (EST)
    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

    NoteNFL Week 1 - ABC/ESPN
    Denver Broncos-7 -155W
    Ticket#895981107-2
    StatusWon (Tennessee Titans 12 - Denver Broncos 20)
    GameTennessee Titans / Denver Broncos
    SelectionNFL - 472 Game Spread
    ScheduledSep 7, 2025 4:05 PM - (EST)
    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

    NoteNFL Week 1 - FOX
    Arizona Cardinals-5½ -130W
    Ticket#895981107-3
    StatusWon (Arizona Cardinals 20 - New Orleans Saints 13)
    GameArizona Cardinals / New Orleans Saints
    SelectionNFL - 467 Game Spread
    ScheduledSep 7, 2025 1:00 PM - (EST)
    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

    NoteNFL Week 1 - CBS
    Jacksonville JaguarsML -185W
    Ticket#895981107-4
    StatusWon (Carolina Panthers 10 - Jacksonville Jaguars 26)
    GameCarolina Panthers / Jacksonville Jaguars
    SelectionNFL - 460 Game Money Line
    ScheduledSep 7, 2025 1:00 PM - (EST)
    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet

    NoteNFL Week 1 - FOX
    Texans / RamsU 44½ -120W
    Ticket#895981107-5
    StatusWon (Houston Texans 9 - Los Angeles Rams 14)
    GameHouston Texans / Los Angeles Rams
    SelectionNFL - 477 / 478 Game Total
    ScheduledSep 7, 2025 4:25 PM - (EST)
    AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
    Placed OnInternet
    You don't strike me as the type of guy that $150 is going to make or break the mortgage payment you don't have.

    90% of the time the best thing to do, mathematically, is to sit on your hands and watch it unfold.

    You picked up .10 of value so far as the line is 44 flat.

    Glgl

     
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      Tellafriend:

  14. #41934
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    The game with the lowest total today was the Jets/Steelers and it went way way the fuck over.

    Every other game went under.

  15. #41935
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    The game with the lowest total today was the Jets/Steelers and it went way way the fuck over.

    Every other game went under.


    The city of Baltimore would like a word with you.

     

    (JK - I know you posted it before game time)

  16. #41936
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    The game with the lowest total today was the Jets/Steelers and it went way way the fuck over.

    Every other game went under.


    The city of Baltimore would like a word with you.

     

    (JK - I know you posted it before game time)

    This was a true statement at posting.

    Wonder if this will be a new trend though. Three preseason games with 80% of the NFL not using game 3 for starters...... perhaps causing some teams to get out of the gate slow? Last year opening day most of the teams that should have won did not (survivor was a disaster).

  17. #41937
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post



    The city of Baltimore would like a word with you.

     

    (JK - I know you posted it before game time)

    This was a true statement at posting.

    Wonder if this will be a new trend though. Three preseason games with 80% of the NFL not using game 3 for starters...... perhaps causing some teams to get out of the gate slow? Last year opening day most of the teams that should have won did not (survivor was a disaster).
    Oh, I remember the survivor disaster. It ate my 10k in record time. What bothered me more than losing the 10k was how fast I was out of the contest. I got just about zero entertainment/sweat value out of it. Felt like I had wiped my ass with 100 $100 bills.

    That made me downgrade my entry to $6k this year, so it will be less painful if the same thing happens (so far it's the opposite -- almost everyone survived week 1!)


    But yeah, these unders are worth watching.

  18. #41938
    Gold The Boz's Avatar
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    Obviously the public got destroyed yesterday and the books cleaned up. The ploppies not only bet Overs, but they bet lottery ticket parlays on prop overs on stats and with the low numbers yesterday they got killed worse than normal.

    Which is why you will be hearing stories this week of straight bettors that bet decent amounts and won yesterday having trouble by getting limited. Bottom line is the new books don’t want your action unless you are a ploppie betting parlays.

    The “it’s only $20” mentality is what they are making hundreds of millions off of.

  19. #41939
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So go back 1-2-3-4-5-9 years ago and you will see my annual comments on betting the NFL. Its a tough rackett.

    That risk being understood and accepted.

    TB under 1H 23.5 money on over keeps coming in, total going down.
    Browns +5.5 this bet feels so bad it has to be the right play
    Colts -1 someone/some group must really like Colts. Maybe tua is hurt.
    Jets +3 when i looked i said Pitt. Whole world on them. Fade

    Later on
    Ill be on Denver -8.5 I am big on them this year and number keeps pushing up

    Play of the day might be Packers -1


    a near sweep. daly is a site treasure.



     
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      country978: daly is a site treasure
      
      Daly: Even a broken clock is right twice a day
      
      Michael Jackson: Daly invented the sun dial

  20. #41940
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Little stab in the dark. Loveland +1800 first Td

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