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Thread: ***Official*** MLB 2025 Thread

  1. #301
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    @bcr, was that you yelling at Duran to hels himself at today's game?

    Seriously though, who didn't see that coming?
    No. I heard about it after. I had long turned off the game by then. I was sitting like a row away from the guy who Albert Belle once plunked in the stands. It was right after the name change. He was drunk and yelling “Joey Joey.” Our own fans yelling at him lol. Belle threw an absolute dart like 6 rows up and hit his target center chest. Loved it. I’m all for more fans getting their ass kicked ala Malice at the Palace style if they want to run their mouth.

  2. #302
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    @bcr, was that you yelling at Duran to hels himself at today's game?

    Seriously though, who didn't see that coming?
    No. I heard about it after. I had long turned off the game by then. I was sitting like a row away from the guy who Albert Belle once plunked in the stands. It was right after the name change. He was drunk and yelling “Joey Joey.” Our own fans yelling at him lol. Belle threw an absolute dart like 6 rows up and hit his target center chest. Loved it. I’m all for more fans getting their ass kicked ala Malice at the Palace style if they want to run their mouth.
    Did Albert Belle use steroids? He had to have, right? This was the play that came to mind when you mentioned him:

    https://twitter.com/Super70sSports/status/1452439410272882688

  3. #303
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    I’m sure he was. Everyone was at that time. That was the Brady Anderson hitting 50 HRs from the lead off spot era. Comical numbers. That Pedro dominated his next closest pitcher by over 2 runs allowed per game during that era is why I always say he’s the best pitcher I’ve ever seen. Not all that close imo.

  4. #304
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    Twins-Tribe tonight gut.

    I’m not betting Cle, the Twins might be a play. I recall Ober really shutting us down a few times. It appears Gavin has pitched well against the Twins though. Both coming off a few good outings.

    It’s a twins play or stay away.

    Other than Jose, it appears Ober has shut everyone else in the lineup down. Even Kwan is 0-12 against him.

    But you guys can’t hit either. Plus you have been really bad on the road. Maybe an under? When Williams is struggling, he starts to not trust his stuff and will walk guys and I don’t trust him on the under.’

    I see we have scored like exactly the same amount of runs for the year. No advantage there. Just two equally inept offenses.


    Nothing I really love looking over the slate tonight.

  5. #305
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Twins-Tribe tonight gut.

    I’m not betting Cle, the Twins might be a play. I recall Ober really shutting us down a few times. It appears Gavin has pitched well against the Twins though. Both coming off a few good outings.

    It’s a twins play or stay away.

    Other than Jose, it appears Ober has shut everyone else in the lineup down. Even Kwan is 0-12 against him.

    But you guys can’t hit either. Plus you have been really bad on the road. Maybe an under? When Williams is struggling, he starts to not trust his stuff and will walk guys and I don’t trust him on the under.’

    I see we have scored like exactly the same amount of runs for the year. No advantage there. Just two equally inept offenses.


    Nothing I really love looking over the slate tonight.
    White Sox and Angels series came at the right time for the Twins, at least we're back to "respectable enough" record. Ober has been sharp since he was sick his first start.

    I took what is a 90% gut (no pun intended) feeling on the o9.5 NYM/WAS. I'm not buying the Canning resurgence (various underlying numbers not great), and Williams magic dust from last year already worn off. Basically think that at any given time with ~150 active starting pitchers in MLB, these 2 are both around #135 or so.

  6. #306
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    I was going to jump on your over but the juice jumped up. A lot see it like you. O 5.5 for first 5 is +106. That’s a lot of runs though if even one of those guys show up.

    I think I’m going to be on Twins +110. That’s just gut also. Gavin either has it or he doesn’t so I will know quickly. If he gets humming he’s tough, but so is Ober. If that bets loses it will be some 2 HR Jose game or something weird

  7. #307
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Dodgers #3 Dustin May rates an F on BPP for pitch control (worst on slate). Nods head

    Gonna be REAL interesting how often Shohei “Pops” Ohtani plays when he’s not pitching.

    He’s +300 for a HR. Ohtani math value coming off his slump. Still not a way to profit long term but matchup and boredom.

    The TT HR prop on DK is an interesting market. I took over .05 HR Dodgers for even money .

  8. #308
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    I don’t think the Twins have hit a ball that didn’t have an exit velocity of 105+ so far. Need to add a few more runs though.

  9. #309
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I remember as a 14-year-old seeing that Bob Horner, then of the woeful 1986 Braves, cracked off 4 home runs in one game.

    And guess what? The Braves lost anyway -- 11-8 to the Montreal Expos.

    That was the only time in MLB history that a player hit 4 HR in a game, and the team lost.


    Fast forward 37 years.

    I was strolling through downtown Phoenix on Saturday, and wondering how the Dbacks were doing against the Braves. Eugenio Suarez hit 4 HR in that game, and you guessed it, the Dbacks lost in extras.



    If you remember Horner just abruptly vanishing after that strong 1986 season, you're correct. In 1986, he hit .273 with 27 HR and held a .803 OPS. It was his second consecutive season with 27 HR, and he had 54 HR in 1000 plate appearances in those two years combined.

    He wanted a whopping $2 million in 1987 as a free agent. MLB owners were colluding at the time to hold salaries down, and refused to give it to him.

    He ended up going to Japan and playing that year. Despite being offered a 3-year, $10m contract to continue playing there from 1988-90, he missed the US and returned, signing a much smaller 1-year deal with the Cardinals. He injured his shoulder, played poorly, and retired after 60 games, at the age of just 31.

    Had he been born 10-15 years later, he'd have done much better financially.

  10. #310
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I remember as a 14-year-old seeing that Bob Horner, then of the woeful 1986 Braves, cracked off 4 home runs in one game.

    And guess what? The Braves lost anyway -- 11-8 to the Montreal Expos.

    That was the only time in MLB history that a player hit 4 HR in a game, and the team lost.


    Fast forward 37 years.

    I was strolling through downtown Phoenix on Saturday, and wondering how the Dbacks were doing against the Braves. Eugenio Suarez hit 4 HR in that game, and you guessed it, the Dbacks lost in extras.



    If you remember Horner just abruptly vanishing after that strong 1986 season, you're correct. In 1986, he hit .273 with 27 HR and held a .803 OPS. It was his second consecutive season with 27 HR, and he had 54 HR in 1000 plate appearances in those two years combined.

    He wanted a whopping $2 million in 1987 as a free agent. MLB owners were colluding at the time to hold salaries down, and refused to give it to him.

    He ended up going to Japan and playing that year. Despite being offered a 3-year, $10m contract to continue playing there from 1988-90, he missed the US and returned, signing a much smaller 1-year deal with the Cardinals. He injured his shoulder, played poorly, and retired after 60 games, at the age of just 31.

    Had he been born 10-15 years later, he'd have done much better financially.
    Funny. I remember Horner doing it also.


    This is how good I’m running. Had the Braves that night and won despite the 4HRs.

    Think it was this one

    Single
    @
    +107
    Won
    Apr 26 • 2025 At 05:43:21 PM
    Ticket ID: 90480381
    Moneyline: ATL Braves
    ATL Braves @ ARI Diamondbacks

  11. #311
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Dodgers #3 Dustin May rates an F on BPP for pitch control (worst on slate). Nods head

    Gonna be REAL interesting how often Shohei “Pops” Ohtani plays when he’s not pitching.

    He’s +300 for a HR. Ohtani math value coming off his slump. Still not a way to profit long term but matchup and boredom.

    The TT HR prop on DK is an interesting market. I took over .05 HR Dodgers for even money .
    I assume you mean over 0.5 HR, as it's not possible to hit 0.1 HR. Would actually be the same bet though.

    That's a good bet though, I think. Dodgers been swinging for the fences lately. Their opposing pitcher, Edward Cabrera, has given up 1 bomb each game, and has a career average of 1 HR allowed every 6.8 innings.

    Slight breeze blowing out. Only issue? The weather is forecast to be 60-63 degrees during the game, but that's not a huge deal.

    I like it.

  12. #312
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    I homerun propped Ohtani also.

    Also did Teoscar because he’s making such good contact right now at +460

    Hopefully one hits.

  13. #313
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I homerun propped Ohtani also.

    Also did Teoscar because he’s making such good contact right now at +460

    Hopefully one hits.
    Teo L/R splits. Oof

    Name:  IMG_3065.jpeg
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    No question he made an impression during the Dodgers offensive depths of despair. May you find enlightenment and new beginnings tonight

    Miami been so profitable and positive endorphins trigger but we ain’t in Miami anymore.

  14. #314
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    TEO BANG

    Math is idiotic

    I could live a 1000 lifetimes and still not have your rizz BCR.

     
    Comments
      
      BCR: I’m just hot. I’d rather have your graph. I also assumed they might knock starter out and get two leftie ABs also

  15. #315
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Now time for Ohtani next inning if the fuckers don’t walk him. Shouldn’t down 5-0

  16. #316
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    Well damn. At this rate we might get two more Ohtani Abs and now some fun ML action comes into play.

  17. #317
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    Obviously this is after first 5 already scored. Just a bet dodgers score in their half

    Single
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    +143
    Open
    Apr 29 • 2025 At 12:04:00 AM
    Ticket ID: 9057249
    Total Runs - Inning 6: Over 5.5
    Live
    MIA Marlins @ LA Dodgers



    Fuck Freddie double play

  18. #318
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Do not operate under the misconception that the Dodgers are a prolific offense. At least not now.

    Marlins are THE most profitable team total this season in the MLB.


    Oh, remember betting Dodgers -1.5 in 2023 & 2024? Used to be a near autobet. That program is history now.

  19. #319
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    TEO BANG

    Math is idiotic

    I could live a 1000 lifetimes and still not have your rizz BCR.
    I thought of you when Teo hit that one.

    He's been hot recently.

    Dodgers about to blow a 5-0 lead and lose. But there's still the bottom of the 10th.

  20. #320
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Do not operate under the misconception that the Dodgers are a prolific offense. At least not now.

    Marlins are THE most profitable team total this season in the MLB.


    Oh, remember betting Dodgers -1.5 in 2023 & 2024? Used to be a near autobet. That program is history now.



    Dodgers at home were just crushing repeatedly. This actually goes back several years. Nowadays you don't know what the hell you're gonna get with them, home or road.

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