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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #41481
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Starting very shortly...

    Charlie Morton was born in 1983. He's the oldest starting pitcher ever for the Orioles. He's gotten bombed twice so far in 2 starts.

    Merrill kelly got destroyed by the Yanks in his first outing, looked ok against the Cubs (but walked 4), and had a mediocre spring.

    Another first 5 over.

    Baltimore (Morton) at Arizona (M. kelly) - OVER 5 -115 First 5 innings
    2-1 after 1 inning. Great!

    2-2 after 4.5 innings. Not so great!

    Naylor up bottom 5, men at 2nd and 3rd. 1-2 count. Knocks a double off old man Morton. 4-2!




    7-0 in MLB now.

  2. #41482
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Masters starts tomorrow, here's my play so far... Justin Rose to miss the cut +180...Sergio Garcia to miss the cut +230... sprinkle parlay +824, Sergio has missed the last 2 cuts at the Masters, Rosey missed last years cut ... both have a history of missing the cut about every other year going back the last 5 years before that (so they have a history of missing some cuts at Augusta) ... only need 1 of these knuckleheads to miss the cut to be in the money obviously... looks like a beautiful forecast in Augusta for the whole tourney with the exception of some moderate rain showers Thursday night after midnight and into the early morning hours for Friday's tee times and then clearing up, wind looks on the light side for the whole tourney... scores could go very low in Friday's rounds and possibly the whole tourney.... i don't see Rosey or Sergio going that low against the other players that can go really low... i did what i did... will probably do some O/U's after the 1st and 2nd rounds just to see how everyone is playing ( i did very well doing this last year)... wait and see rather than guess the 1st or second day and i can see with my own eyes... i will have 3 devices going again at once to watch various players and holes on the masters app +phone+ tablet+ tv coverage and that will leave my laptop open to do other things lol... GL all... keep us updated on your plays if you can....

  3. #41483
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Rosey shoots the round of his life and leading the Masters by 3 strokes at -7 , Sergio shoots even par and is currently 2 strokes above the cutline... i guess i'll be sweating it tomorrow if Sergio makes the cut or not... ugh... looks like a little rain tonight and will keep the course getable for tomorrow... how is everyone else doing?
    Attached Images Attached Images  

  4. #41484
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Sergio misses the cut ends up at +4 and 2 strokes behind the cutline...whewww lol.... so we made a little money... Rosey starting to fade, the course gets tougher tomorrow and Rosey will be playing at the toughest time with the last tee time for the day... i don't see the old man hanging in there and will probably drop a few shots... sorry Rosey... so give me Justin Rose to shoot over 72.5 @ -105 also i don't like Aaron Rai's chances of shooting very well tomorrow either (kinda surprised he made the cut to be honest... being a rookie at the Masters and still early in his golf career).... so give me Rai to shoot over 72.5 @ +105

    Justin Rose over 72.5 @ -105
    Aaaron Rai over 72.5 @ +105

  5. #41485
    Gold Starbucks Spunk Bucket's Avatar
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    Hey guys sorry I haven’t been around lately

    As for the Masters I took a few chances and am hoping one of either Jason Day or Patrick Reed get me a place.

    My usual tipster Golf Central Daily that I rave about had Conners BdC and Rose tipped of course. Shame I didn’t listen.

    In somewhat related news I’m caddying at Royal Portrush today (The Open course again this year), a friend of mine is a member there
    BALLIN'!!

  6. #41486
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sanlmar will like this one.

    Roki Sasaki still hasn't demonstrated control at the Major League level. He's had 3 starts and just isn't showing the command yet. Maybe this will be the start where he gets it done... but I'm skeptical.

    But even if he does.... Chicago's Ben Brown hasn't looked comfortable as a starter yet, holding a 2.229 WHIP, and is facing the vaunted Dodgers' offense on the road.

    So...you guessed it... another first 5 over.

    Dodgers (Sasaki) vs Cubs (B. Brown) - OVER 5 -110 FIRST 5 INNINGS -105

    Bovada has the -105 line in case you're wondering.

  7. #41487
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    Sergio misses the cut ends up at +4 and 2 strokes behind the cutline...whewww lol.... so we made a little money... Rosey starting to fade, the course gets tougher tomorrow and Rosey will be playing at the toughest time with the last tee time for the day... i don't see the old man hanging in there and will probably drop a few shots... sorry Rosey... so give me Justin Rose to shoot over 72.5 @ -105 also i don't like Aaron Rai's chances of shooting very well tomorrow either (kinda surprised he made the cut to be honest... being a rookie at the Masters and still early in his golf career).... so give me Rai to shoot over 72.5 @ +105

    Justin Rose over 72.5 @ -105
    Aaaron Rai over 72.5 @ +105
    i'm gonna jinx myself, Rai shoots 73... so guaranteed to make a little... Rosey is +1 with 8 more to go... we could be going to Sizzler....

  8. #41488
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    poor Rosey shoots 75... we goin Sizzler... just wait till later when there is an over reaction by the books and general public for scores to go low tomorrow , cause Rory and Deshambles shot so well today... i kinda expect Rory will do Rory things tomorrow...i'll get you a good over for tomorrow, just have to wait and see where they set the lines on O/U's...


  9. #41489
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    look i'm in the profits pretty good, and i still love these plays.... but i'm gonna secure profits at the same time... but i'm gonna sprinkle on these plays for tomorrow because i love them...

    Harris English over 72.5 @ +110
    Jordan Spieth over 71.5 @ +115
    Rory over 70.5 @ -105 .... because Rory does Rory things when it matters most...

    again just sprinkles ... but still very good plays imo....

  10. #41490
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Sanlmar will like this one.

    Roki Sasaki still hasn't demonstrated control at the Major League level. He's had 3 starts and just isn't showing the command yet. Maybe this will be the start where he gets it done... but I'm skeptical.

    But even if he does.... Chicago's Ben Brown hasn't looked comfortable as a starter yet, holding a 2.229 WHIP, and is facing the vaunted Dodgers' offense on the road.

    So...you guessed it... another first 5 over.

    Dodgers (Sasaki) vs Cubs (B. Brown) - OVER 5 -110 FIRST 5 INNINGS -105

    Bovada has the -105 line in case you're wondering.
    Dodgers vs Righty and Roki Dokey 2.5 innings and a used up Dodgers bullpen
    Why did you want to avoid the bullpen?

    Roki hardly the king of fielding independent pitching. Luckbox

  11. #41491
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Whoops

    Bet on the wrong part of the game

  12. #41492
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Whoops

    Bet on the wrong part of the game
    Not reading your own site cost you monies. (MLB thread).

  13. #41493
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Need Rory to fall apart. He doesn’t look like he will, but just a little sweat/


    SingleOpen
    Apr 13 • 2025 At 03:42:19 PM
    Ticket ID: 89916582
    Finishing Position: Aberg, Ludvig (Winner)
    Live
    Masters Tournament 2025
    Odds:
    +770

  14. #41494
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Sorry BCR

    Rutsch 8 game hitting streak vs one of the worst LHP in Logan Allen

    Name:  IMG_3277.jpeg
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    I actually took Sawks Buehler over 16.5 outs cause I'ma sick man

    Nice hit on Mookie btw. I smiled cause analytics and math lol. I saw same thing

  15. #41495
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Sorry BCR

    Rutsch 8 game hitting streak vs one of the worst LHP in Logan Allen

    Name:  IMG_3277.jpeg
Views: 67
Size:  124.4 KB

    I actually took Sawks Buehler over 16.5 outs cause I'ma sick man

    Nice hit on Mookie btw. I smiled cause analytics and math lol. I saw same thing
    I have 5 friends that I grew up with in a group text for sporting events. One is only a college football guy, but the other 4 of us are everything fans of our home teams. We aren't always around, but old enough we are most nights.

    Three in Columbus and two in SW Florida. The commentary when Allen is pitching is how fucking horrible and lucky he is. He gets out of shit and is grinding from the first pitch and still gives up his 5 in 5 most nights if it isn’t 40 degrees. Feels like he should give up 8 runs every game.


    Last year he got an unreal amount of run support. The announcers kept saying guys who work quickly get a lot of run support and I asked you if it was that was a real thing because I hadn’t heard that. That he had a winning record last year made zero sense, but that magic has worn off thus far. I had that game circled as more than a hit. I was thinking of a play on the Orioles. They just aren’t what they were offensively last year, but old man Morton is facing a lineup that chases and reminds me of our arch nemesis Jaime Moyer back in the day. He’d still be pitching if he only had to face the Tribe.

    I think I may be on the Orioles for game. If I trusted either offense it would be an over

    Are Seattle and Cincy bullpens that bad? I get that Cincy is a bandbox, but those two guys have been pitching really well. I think I like Cincy for the game and have been pondering some Reds and under play. I havent watched enough of either bullpen. Maybe a first 5 play

    I haven’t decided on anything yet. Just kicking around ideas.

  16. #41496
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Last minute

    Yankees (C Schmidt) vs Kansas City (Bubic) - Under 4.5 -125 FIRST 5 INNINGS

  17. #41497
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Not-so-last-minute

    Rockies offense is abysmal, but Bobby Miller is having control issues, and the Dodgers have their big 4 in the lineup again. German Marquez has looked lousy in his past 2 outings, following his great first start.

    Colorado (Marquez) at Dodgers (B. Miller) - OVER 5 +105 FIRST 5 INNINGS

  18. #41498
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I might lose this Yanks under in the 1st inning. Ugh.

  19. #41499
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I might lose this Yanks under in the 1st inning. Ugh.
    Ok out of bases loaded jam. No runs.

    1-0 bottom 3. Looking up.

  20. #41500
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Not so much now. 2-1 after 3.

    Gonna be close.

    Would really like to have a W coming into the night game.

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