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Thread: april 2 'liberation day' predictions;

  1. #161
    Flashlight Master desertrunner's Avatar
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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    china's retaliation blueprint:


    1 Suspend fentanyl cooperation
    2 Target red-state farm goods (soy, sorghum)
    3 Ban U.S. poultry imports
    4 Restrict U.S. services (finance, law)
    5 Ban Hollywood films
    6 Probe U.S. firms’ IP gains


    the art of the deal is absolutely fascinating, i cant wait to see how this all works in our favor.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    The cruelty the market is capable of dishing out is breathtaking.

    A generation of juvenile retail euthanized. Come watch.

  4. #164
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    The cruelty the market is capable of dishing out is breathtaking.

    A generation of juvenile retail euthanized. Come watch.
    I don't disagree with the take but euthanized is a little strong at this point. If you invested 1M in the S&P 500 ~a year ago today you would have $1M in your account plus any dividends.

    I feel a little worse for the 27 year old that cant afford to buy a house even though they have done all the right things than I do someone who took a 365 day trip on the market wheel.

    If we go full reset into debt refinance it could get a lot worse from here.

  5. #165
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    We are talking the young dip buying day traders.

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    Like a few others, I thought there was a good possibility of a "black monday" event yesterday. Obv it didn't happen, but it's coming, and soon. This morning I was thinking to myself what an obvious dead cat bounce this is going to be today and all of that green will dissolve by the days end. Well, there it is. .

    Unless something were to suddenly change with the tarriffs, we are looking at a massive drop by weeks end imo.

  7. #167
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gordman View Post
    Like a few others, I thought there was a good possibility of a "black monday" event yesterday. Obv it didn't happen, but it's coming, and soon. This morning I was thinking to myself what an obvious dead cat bounce this is going to be today and all of that green will dissolve by the days end. Well, there it is. .

    Unless something were to suddenly change with the tarriffs, we are looking at a massive drop by weeks end imo.
    You had the Boston Globe and New York Times with page one charts. Fin-tech and Political YouTubers all in harmony about the remarkable decline not seen since….

    The market wants to take the most money from the greatest number of people in the shortest period of time.

    With that much agreement it was time to harvest souls. Then yesterday afternoon a young man’s thoughts turn to buying the dip and they too will be skooled.

    Best pit game in the casino.

    Today we are looking at the Reverse Yankee.

     
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      1dollarboxcar: Best pit game in the casino

  8. #168
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    The cruelty the market is capable of dishing out is breathtaking.

    A generation of juvenile retail euthanized. Come watch.
    200 points off the Nasdaq since that post.

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    We are talking the young dip buying day traders.

    Got it. Cant help them. Nobody cries for me if I go 2/10 in a week and blow up my bankroll. One of those comes with the profession sort of things.

  10. #170
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    We are talking the young dip buying day traders.

    Got it. Cant help them. Nobody cries for me if I go 2/10 in a week and blow up my bankroll. One of those comes with the profession sort of things.
    Help them? Take their money and thank them warmly. We had a tremendous day on their dime

    Longer term stagflation is the term you were searching for

  11. #171
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Does Trump cave tonight? That would be wild. I gotta say no

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    Platinum Baron Von Strucker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Does Trump cave tonight? That would be wild. I gotta say no

    Like Nero…. Trump will instead will be playing a little golf while his country burns back a history of cooperation with like minded humans such a sham regardless of the monetary reasons… greed, power and ego is causing this. Sad
    all hail Hydra



    Originally Posted by DanDruff:Since I'm a 6'2" Republican with an average-sized nose and a last name which doesn't end with "stein", "man", or "berg", I can hide among the goyim and remain undetected unless I open my mouth about money matters.

  13. #173
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Does Trump cave tonight? That would be wild. I gotta say no

    No shot

    All we need is a front page article that the USA and moderate economically midsized country X have come to an agreement to eliminate all tariffs. That would right the ship:......

    ..... i think he could have 30-49 deals like this done inside of 2 weeks but i dont think they done playing with the 10 year yet.

  14. #174
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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      splitthis: Seriously lol
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    treasury auction today at noon after war with China. Results should tell the tail.

    Will demand be weak

    If the bidders demand a higher price than expected (when issued market price) cause the demand was weak that is called a “tail”. Tail indicates bidders wanted a higher interest rate

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    Platinum Jayjami's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    treasury auction today at noon after war with China. Results should tell the tail.

    Will demand be weak

    If the bidders demand a higher price than expected (when issued market price) cause the demand was weak that is called a “tail”. Tail indicates bidders wanted a higher interest rate
    If Chinese quit buying our T-Bills to fund our deficit, we’re going to be fucked.

  17. #177
    Flashlight Master desertrunner's Avatar
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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    treasury auction today at noon after war with China. Results should tell the tail.

    Will demand be weak

    If the bidders demand a higher price than expected (when issued market price) cause the demand was weak that is called a “tail”. Tail indicates bidders wanted a higher interest rate
    If Chinese quit buying our T-Bills to fund our deficit, we’re going to be fucked.
    You & I remember when dollar was the world currency. US Bonds were useful then

    This has that aroma of the US sanctions of Russia and BRICS. Driving new alliances.

  19. #179
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by desertrunner View Post
    Is this what they are saying on Facebook?

    Trump is waffling on tariffs and issues 90 day pause except China. Enormous relief

    He’s just rolling out the ball and winging it.

  20. #180
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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