Official Presidential Polling and Odds thread

[Sanlmar]

I wonder if Dick Cheney’s endorsement of Kamala has Druff conflicted about his choice

[Daly]

�� BREAKING: North Carolina Republicans just took the lead in the MAIL-IN + early voting. �� Republicans: 686,624 �� Democrats: 683,301 �� Others: 638,268

Sorry to burst your bubble again, but these early voting numbers mean next to nothing. Registration is all that matters, every Republican taking up the call to vote early is one less that will show up on Election Day.

Also in this case, the bigger concern is how the “Others” are voting. Without knowing how they are leaning the information is as worthless as an empty vodka bottle to Les.

They mean next to nothing except people who book predictive outcomes have moved the odds against Harris to the point where she loses 2/3 times.

[tgull]

Thursday, October 24
National: Trump vs. Harris Wall Street Journal
Harris 46, Trump 49

Trump +3

National: Trump vs. Harris CNBC
Harris 46, Trump 48

Trump +2

National: Trump vs. Harris TIPP
Harris 50, Trump 47

Harris +3

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris Franklin & Marshall
Trump 50, Harris 49

Trump +1

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris Emerson
Trump 49, Harris 48

Trump +1

Wisconsin: Trump vs. Harris Emerson
Trump 49, Harris 48

Trump +1

North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris Emerson
Trump 50, Harris 48

Trump +2

North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris Marist
Trump 50, Harris 48

Trump +2

Arizona: Trump vs. Harris Marist
Trump 50, Harris 49

Trump +1

Georgia: Trump vs. Harris Marist
Trump 49, Harris 49

Tie

South Dakota: Trump vs. Harris The Hill/Emerson
Trump 62, Harris 35

Trump +27

[VaughnP]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/davidchapman141/status/1849480230387191977

Remember that Hilldawg only won New Hampshire by 2,736 votes in 2016. RFK Jr was polling by far better there than anywhere else before dropping out.

[tgull]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1849571454783721652

[tony bagadonuts]

I won't be voting for your diaper wearing cult leader because he's an addled lying old ass buffoon.

had it been biden v trump, who were you going to vote for?

I couldn't and wouldn't vote for Trump (again) under any circumstances. He lost me a long time ago but after his behavior in the last election forget it. I care more about our republic than partisanship.

I probably would have done what I did yesterday when I voted, and that's take a pass. Harris did nothing besides not be Trump and whip his ass in the debate. That's not enough to earn my vote especially when I disagree with her on most issues and generally think she sucks.

I also couldn't in good conscience have voted for the walking corpse formally known as Joe Biden.

[tony bagadonuts]

Oh no Tony!

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/RyanGirdusky/status/1848476689086435521

You should have taken my bet.

[PLOL]

Congrats to whoever got 300 to 1 on Kamala winning. $825 to win $275k. Putting up lotto bids on every market asap

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/domahhhh/status/1849561848481194139

[JeffDime]

If Kamala wins this election it will truly show that Republicans are essentially fucked because it’s all about banking these early votes in 7 states. Particularly losing Georgia would be a catastrophe. Popular Republican Governor and Trump with a steady 2/3 point lead in every poll I’ve seen for a while. If Stacy Abrams is harvesting a ballot for every biscuit she wolfs down…well I guess we’ll see if that has an effect.

Kamala is by far the weakest presidential candidate I have ever seen in my life. Literally most small town mayor elections have better candidates. It’s like they are doing Hillary’s prevent defense from 2016, but this time they are doing it from behind. Just hoping Trump will defeat himself.

Not taking Shapiro is still just crazy to me. Whatever you think of Shapiro, he is A) A popular Governor of the most important state in the election and B) He can speak, unlike both Harris and Walz. Just a terrible pick in Walz. He does absolutely nothing to mitigate her deficiencies as he seems to have many of the same issues.

[tgull]

had it been biden v trump, who were you going to vote for?

I couldn't and wouldn't vote for Trump (again) under any circumstances. He lost me a long time ago but after his behavior in the last election forget it. I care more about our republic than partisanship.

I probably would have done what I did yesterday when I voted, and that's take a pass. Harris did nothing besides not be Trump and whip his ass in the debate. That's not enough to earn my vote especially when I disagree with her on most issues and generally think she sucks.

I also couldn't in good conscience have voted for the walking corpse formally known as Joe Biden.

So you are an admitted pussy, got it. Say hello to Liz Cheney.

[tony bagadonuts]

I couldn't and wouldn't vote for Trump (again) under any circumstances. He lost me a long time ago but after his behavior in the last election forget it. I care more about our republic than partisanship.

I probably would have done what I did yesterday when I voted, and that's take a pass. Harris did nothing besides not be Trump and whip his ass in the debate. That's not enough to earn my vote especially when I disagree with her on most issues and generally think she sucks.

I also couldn't in good conscience have voted for the walking corpse formally known as Joe Biden.

So you are an admitted pussy, got it. Say hello to Liz Cheney.

How rude!

[tgull]

Tomorrow Rogan / Trump interview will be the most listened to podcast in history. Saturday, Trump at MSG will be the most watched

[tony bagadonuts]

I couldn't and wouldn't vote for Trump (again) under any circumstances. He lost me a long time ago but after his behavior in the last election forget it. I care more about our republic than partisanship.

I probably would have done what I did yesterday when I voted, and that's take a pass. Harris did nothing besides not be Trump and whip his ass in the debate. That's not enough to earn my vote especially when I disagree with her on most issues and generally think she sucks.

I also couldn't in good conscience have voted for the walking corpse formally known as Joe Biden.

So you are an admitted pussy, got it. Say hello to Liz Cheney.

"If you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice."

- Neil Peart 1980

[tgull]

So you are an admitted pussy, got it. Say hello to Liz Cheney.

"If you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice."

- Neil Peart 1980

You really need to consider changing your user name, get with Druff on that. You once were a real good poster but your TDS has made you a universal joke on this site by not even taking a stand, I mean who does not even vote in a binary choice? I have never seen a collapse of one of the best posters than, well, yourself. But hey what do I know. Watch this and learn from a legend, you lost your way:

[Daly]

Congrats to whoever got 300 to 1 on Kamala winning. $825 to win $275k. Putting up lotto bids on every market asap

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/domahhhh/status/1849561848481194139

The conservative in me hopes he loses.

The degenerate who had bought more tickets at 25-40-60 to 1 only to finish in second place and watch my equity go up in flames hopes he cashes it.

Hopefully he can arb out for 15K and take the money on vacation and get something out of it.

[Texter]

Voting tomorrow morning.

Here the ads are Allred v Cruz….apparently Cruz is the architect of Texas’ extreme abortion ban and Allred loves boys in girls sports and illegal immigration

[PLOL]

Congrats to whoever got 300 to 1 on Kamala winning. $825 to win $275k. Putting up lotto bids on every market asap

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/domahhhh/status/1849561848481194139

The conservative in me hopes he loses.

The degenerate who had bought more tickets at 25-40-60 to 1 only to finish in second place and watch my equity go up in flames hopes he cashes it.

Hopefully he can arb out for 15K and take the money on vacation and get something out of it.

No need to arb. It’s not a Sportsbook where he’s locked in. Can sell his shares back on the market for about $100k rn. Pretty nice hit. Too bad every idiot in the world is gonna have some lowball offers on the book now so it won’t happen again (probably)

[RichardBrodiesCombover.]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/davidchapman141/status/1849480230387191977

Remember that Hilldawg only won New Hampshire by 2,736 votes in 2016. RFK Jr was polling by far better there than anywhere else before dropping out.

You can't be this stupid

[tgull]

Now we know why Biden just went to New Hampshire:

Friday, October 25
New Hampshire: Trump vs. Harris
WHDH-TV/Emerson
Harris 50, Trump 47
Harris
+3

[limitles]

hero