This should shut the door this election cycle "Is Texas in play" bullshit.
Wednesday, October 23
Florida: Trump vs. Harris The Hill/Emerson
Trump 52, Harris 44
Trump +8
Texas: Trump vs. Harris The Hill/Emerson
Trump 53, Harris 46
Trump +7
Maryland: Trump vs. Harris The Hill/Emerson
Harris 63, Trump 33
Harris +30
#NEW NORTH CAROLINA poll 🔴 Trump: 49% (+3) 🔵 Harris: 46% @SocalStrategies | 10/20-21 | N=702LV
There were long lines to vote early just now in Missouri, an inconsequential state that Trump won by 15 points in 2020. I don't think I saw a single person that I would profile as a Kamala voter. This combined with what we are seeing in actual numbers makes me more bullish on him winning the popular vote. I think PolyMarket and the books are a little too far off to bet on this though. Bovada has it at +185, which is roughly 35% chance.
There was a reason Biden was in New Hampshire a couple days ago, it was not to sell his health care policy.Originally Posted by VaughnP
https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1849125163868053735
Obviously not buying that, but how do they even get that result?
https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1849124523964084393
Their final poll called the race almost exactly in 2020.
Again, this guy breaks down the very interesting Gallup data:
https://twitter.com/Evan_R_Fischer/status/1847352614301946015
Came back to Florida from Nevada yesterday. In NV it was at least 75% of TV commercials were political for either Trump/Harris or Brown/Rosen.
Here in Florida it appears they have mostly pulled the few ads running, even the crazy Mucarsel-Powell ads against Rick Scott seem to have disappeared.
I early voted today and it was about a 30 minute wait. Lots of Trump signs and supporters in the parking lots, one lone clown waving a Harris/Walz flag, assuming while his wife was being cucked at home.
Granted Florida is not in play but I can tell you people are taking up the call to vote early compared to 2020.
I played poker this morning at Bally's in Rhode Island. Sat down next to a dude wearing an "I voted" sticker who proceeded to tell me that anyone with half a brain is voting for Harris. I stayed there about an hour, won $104 and skipped town. Its this type of language that pushed me away from the democrats for good.
They really need to pull GA and AZ from "battlegrounds", they are solidly Trump now.
Daily odds update...26 point lead for Trump. Again no 10 point favorite under 30 days to go has ever lost🏆 The favorite is undefeated last 10 elections except for Trump beating Hillary🏆. Here are averages across all main betting sites for election. 👉🏻RCP Average 63 37 BetOnline 61 39 Betfair 57 38 Betsson 58 42 Bovada 61 39 Bwin 62 42 Points Bet 62 38 Polymarket 63 37 Smarkets 59 37.
This is interesting. I would have expected some bombshell report to have leaked well before early voting. I doubt its true, but with AI now any story can get legs and influence people even if its not true.
https://twitter.com/TomBevanRCP/status/1849180905669321106
Mark clarified that he didn’t believe the story and used it to show there are people out there pitching this stuff to reporters.
I don't disagree, but just like the MSM regurgitating the Kelly claims which are years old, they are not stopping at anything. I would expect a fabricated 'bombshell' in the next few days. The media is doing everything they can to prevent a Trump win. I mean WTF, Kamala's husband impregnated a babysitter and it just gets buried.Mark clarified that he didn’t believe the story and used it to show there are people out there pitching this stuff to reporters.
The last card in the deck….. the one card you play when all other cards fail
The Hitler card.
They are on life support. The last ditch effort is to make you think he is Hitler and the first level derivative is he wont leave the white house in 4 years.
just why is it like positive reinforcement hes gonna lose yall
�� BREAKING: North Carolina Republicans just took the lead in the MAIL-IN + early voting. �� Republicans: 686,624 �� Democrats: 683,301 �� Others: 638,268
Sorry to burst your bubble again, but these early voting numbers mean next to nothing. Registration is all that matters, every Republican taking up the call to vote early is one less that will show up on Election Day.
Also in this case, the bigger concern is how the “Others” are voting. Without knowing how they are leaning the information is as worthless as an empty vodka bottle to Les.
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