Is one weird Frenchman manipulating the Presidential electiom betting markets -- and by extension the impression of the race?

[sonatine]

Elon no but I offer this

Polymarket was funded by Peter Thiel, the same Peter Thiel who personally backed JD Vance and many other conservative causes.

Peter Thiel funded Polymarket and hired NateSilver538 ahead of the election to create an ‘alternate’ narrative about election being widely favored Trump. This narrative would then be picked up by the alt right

Again, Nate Silver works for Polymarket

Apologizes to the Nate Silver stans and closeted gays here. Not a hater.

i dont understand natesilver's logic lately but its hard for me to imagine he would deliberately skew polls for a payout.