Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
yeah id really advise caution if you think these polymarket polls are legit:




https://twitter.com/Domahhhh/status/1843320398735106155
All markets get manipulated, you know that. But the trend is the proverbial trend and its with Trump at least now. Yes, can change, but Harris' campaign of just hanging out saying she is not Trump is starting to implode. She briefly had momentum, and rather than go aggressive she retreated. This is by design, I don't think she can give unrehearsed answers, and her handlers are holding her back.

its interesting because the baseline interpretation seems to be its not a case of manipulation as much as one whale just hammering one side of the auction. someone out there is bankrolled with like 3 commas and seems to feel that trump win and trump win PA are locks. i have nothing to add on the veracity of that opinion.