Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post

I agree. I think it’s going to fall somewhere in the middle. Like if she’s polling ahead 3, this shit is going to take a month to sort out. Her number is where Biden was in these polls. Like 49% in most. His number is much higher. The whole embarrassed to admit they are Trump voters thing isn’t what it once was is my guess.

But I think he’s like 55/45 to win. 65 feels a bit high because he’s playing so badly atm, but I’d still rather have Trump ticket than Kamala for even money.

i expect smarter minds than mine are looking at rate hikes, return-to-office mandates vs corporate real estate value, housing markets, etc and coming up with the broader strokes.

wonder what lines for newsom '28 are looking like.

If she loses, I don’t know about the appetite for another Bay Area Dem.

Is plop really that bullish on Kamala? That’s a super sharp kid. I looked for that election betting podcast he recommended last time that was dead on. I thought it was called something like Red White Blue election pod or something but don’t see it. Maybe my recollection is off.