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Thread: *** OFFICIAL *** MLB 2024 Thread

  1. #621
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So far Ohtani 0-for-2, and even blew a chance for a sac fly with a man on 3rd and 1 out.

    Mookie with a 2-run HR, right off the DL though. Sad!

  2. #622
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Druff

    We both know that it's wrong
    But it's much too strong to let it go now

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    Helps support my Kershaw habit too

  3. #623
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well +315 I would've approved of. Best I saw I could get was +210, so I didn't.

    I'll take my -145 win.

    Congrats.

  4. #624
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    I have no idea why the Tribe are -158 atm? I don’t want to bet against them at home, but the line is baffling to me.

    I have one of Sans profit boosts that takes Happ o1.5 bases and Jose o1.5 parlay from +340 to +425.

    Happ is 3/3 lifetime against this kid. Smallest of samples, but lead off hitter and Jose for chump change feels fun

  5. #625
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    is it too early to start the official NFL 24-25 thread? i don't feel like it is my place to do so.... @Druff..??

  6. #626
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    is it too early to start the official NFL 24-25 thread? i don't feel like it is my place to do so.... @Druff..??
    You could have. But I'll just do it.

     
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      1dollarboxcar: nah, not this one, if it was some other wordly event... i would.. thanks :)

  7. #627
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I have no idea why the Tribe are -158 atm? I don’t want to bet against them at home, but the line is baffling to me.

    I have one of Sans profit boosts that takes Happ o1.5 bases and Jose o1.5 parlay from +340 to +425.

    Happ is 3/3 lifetime against this kid. Smallest of samples, but lead off hitter and Jose for chump change feels fun
    I see -148 for the Tribe.

    The reason for the high line is that Assad is slumping since June 23. After a surprisingly good first half, he's stopped striking people out, and isn't getting deep into games. He's made it through 5 innings just once in that timespan -- an okayish game at KC where he went 6 innings and allowed 3 runs.

    This might be injury related. He went down after the June 23rd start, came back about 3 weeks later, and just hasn't been the same. He's struck out 11 in his last 6 starts combined, while walking 15. Just has the look of a pitcher in a shame spiral.

  8. #628
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    River Ryan, an under the radar prospect for the Dodgers who made 3 good starts, is already going to have Tommy John surgery.

    Ugh.

  9. #629
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    The White Sox are 29-92.

    If they finish 12-29, which is very possible, they will finish with the all time lead in losses in the 1901- "modern" era.

    The expansion NY Mets finished 40-120 in 1962. In 1899, the Cleveland Spiders finished 20-134.

    In my lifetime, the worst team was the 2019 Detroit Tigers, who were 43-119.


    Could they eclipse the 134 losses suffered by the Spiders in 1899? No. If they lost every remaining game, they'd finish 29-133. At the moment they are projected to lose 123 games.

  10. #630
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Ray Ratto is one of my favorite sportswriters, very snarky half-serious takes. Column today "previewing" potential wild-card teams, and Dodgers section fits right in here.

    How the Dodgers are even here is a monument to their shame, though we suspect they will pull away again now that Mookie Betts has been raised from the slab. Los Angeles' problem is that they murder pitchers, most of them their own. The young starter River Ryan just became the latest Dodger to leave his arm in the overhead bin, and no team has used more pitchers (36 and counting) this year; it's arguably their fault for spitting at fate and starting a guy named Kyle Hurt back in April. That said, Mookie is the cure to all that ails any team, and if the Dodgers keep getting Ohtani'd and Teoscar'd as needed they'll be fine. There is also help in the bullpen from ex-Sox Michael Kopech, who cost the Dodgers three playing cards and a candy burrito, and is currently enjoying the single most predictable career renaissance in baseball history.

     
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      Sanlmar: We like snarky too - galactic pixies

  11. #631
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    CHC/CLE BTTS F7 2+ -125

    The humane society is watching the bullpen usage

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      gut: I should not be surprised you are a fellow defector

  12. #632
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Prolly should post this in Flying Stupidty Wagering cause

    Ohtani vs Montas
    11 for 27, 5 XBH & 5HR

    DK offering a +100 boost promo. Ohtani is fucking lol +170 HR which is absolutely idiotic but this is for history. The boost returns the price to near normalcy so

    Ohtani +270 HR

    Buehler Day so blindly BTTS F5 & F7. There is no wrong number

    Buehler is a broken toy. He didn’t look good in rehab. Didn’t look good last time he was up. His coach is Mark Prior and he’s out there cause he has a pulse. Even a practiced liar like Dave Roberts couldn’t bring himself to say Buehler looked good.

    Dodgers gonna smack Montas around too.

    Arizona & Padres daily parlay is an autobet as they each chase down the Dodgers. Is this the NL West? It’s fun

  13. #633
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Let’s just say last night is was a delight. Raked. Rare when we are not just betting value but have NEAR CERTAINTY.

    Mookie is out. Is he hurt from his fielding blunder?

    Dodger fans.

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    Looking ahead at AZ & SDP schedule.

  14. #634
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Maybe Mookie got out of the mindset of playing OF. He was once an elite outfielder, so that blunder was a surprise. Dodgers should've have fucked with this and stayed away from the SS nonsense.

    Hudson blew the game today. He's not a real closer. Though this was in the 8th, so it wasn't even the closer role. Padres and D-backs so hot right now that the Dodgers are in danger of falling into 3rd if they don't stop blowing games.

    There is some chance that the Giants make the 3rd wildcard, which would place 4 of the 5 NL West teams in the playoffs. Probably won't happen, but it's highly likely that at least 3 will make it.

  15. #635
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I remember the return of LAD Bobby Thriller Miller talk preseason. lol. The savior and a key element of the greatest team in MLB history. In fact, none of the pitching returns have worked out. Yeah, shocker.

    Anyway, Glasnow got pushed back and I think Booby Thriller is gonna take a bus ride to LAD. He’s been awful in rehab. Cause he’s awful. Tampa or Cleveland might help Buehler or Miller. Buehler needs to learn how to pitch now that his velo is gone. Weighted balls won’t teach Miller command

    It’s Mikolas for STL. Dodger team total to the moon. I’m prolly gonna hit it at multiple totals. The line is not out yet. Of course, BTTS F5 & F7.

    Usually Dodger games are on at midnight here but instead they are on the road so it’s 8pm on a Friday night. I am going to be bargaining mightily cause I really don’t want to miss this mess of a game.

    Padres knuckleballer is gonna pitch on the moon (Denver). I lived thru BOS Tim Wakefield. Intuition tells me this could be a disaster. Flex your DK BTTS F5 & F7 and ladder 2+ and 3+

  16. #636
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I remember the return of LAD Bobby Thriller Miller talk preseason. lol. The savior and a key element of the greatest team in MLB history. In fact, none of the pitching returns have worked out. Yeah, shocker.

    Anyway, Glasnow got pushed back and I think Booby Thriller is gonna take a bus ride to LAD. He’s been awful in rehab. Cause he’s awful. Tampa or Cleveland might help Buehler or Miller. Buehler needs to learn how to pitch now that his velo is gone. Weighted balls won’t teach Miller command

    It’s Mikolas for STL. Dodger team total to the moon. I’m prolly gonna hit it at multiple totals. The line is not out yet. Of course, BTTS F5 & F7.

    Usually Dodger games are on at midnight here but instead they are on the road so it’s 8pm on a Friday night. I am going to be bargaining mightily cause I really don’t want to miss this mess of a game.

    Padres knuckleballer is gonna pitch on the moon (Denver). I lived thru BOS Tim Wakefield. Intuition tells me this could be a disaster. Flex your DK BTTS F5 & F7 and ladder 2+ and 3+
    Looks like it is kid Wrobleski not Bobby Thriller. Why can’t I have nice things?

    Look at his game logs. He’s silenced some good bats. Cards LHP splits ain’t so great. He pitched against MIL in his debut the results of which has to be tempered because it was his debut.

    Given Dodgers recency and the “TBD” listing I think we are offered a bargain at LAD -135

  17. #637
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    I realized recently, while casually browsing the standings, that we are about to enter a weird time where the current bad teams....will probably be bad for a long time.

    The last 20 years, we got used to smart teams doing the tank-draft-develop-spend method, and it working. Cubs breaking the curse, Astros dynasty, Orioles right now. But damn, you look at the shitty teams right now, and its hard to see a way out, outside of spending more....which is ROFL for most of them, except the Angels. Speaking of the Angels, they have pulled off the feat of having possibly the worst minor league system coupled with a shitty MLB roster, and possibly the 2 most untradeable contracts right now (Rendon and sadly Trout).

    Rockies have been ass-backwards from ownership on down for years.

    Nothing else really needs to be said about the homeless A's.

    Marlins at least develop pitchers well, or theyre just lucky. They all get hurt. It's LA-east.

    White Sox have some decent prospects arriving soon, but that MLB cupboard is quite bare.

    But yeah, outside of massive spending increases, it's really hard to see any of those teams in the playoff mix in even the next 5 years. The introduction of the lottery with the draft also isn't helping any of these teams.

  18. #638
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Leaning into Gavin Williams o5.5 k -112 right now. Brewers in bottom 10 for striking out.

  19. #639
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    San, what say you on the Rockies game tonight?

    I know you were focusing on knuckleballer Waldron. It's true. Knuckleballs don't knuckle well in Denver.

    Unfortunately, Cal Quantrill, who has actually been decent in Denver the last few months, has "general foream soreness", and had to miss his last start. Today he is supposedly "okay", but obviously there's some concern.

    I want to back the Rockies here but I also don't.

    As usual, the Rockies continue to be one of the best home value betting teams in MLB, as they're 27-32 and a decent sized dog most of the time (including tonight). It's the road where they're absolutely dreadful, at 17-46.

  20. #640
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    San, what say you on the Rockies game tonight?

    I know you were focusing on knuckleballer Waldron. It's true. Knuckleballs don't knuckle well in Denver.

    Unfortunately, Cal Quantrill, who has actually been decent in Denver the last few months, has "general foream soreness", and had to miss his last start. Today he is supposedly "okay", but obviously there's some concern.

    I want to back the Rockies here but I also don't.

    As usual, the Rockies continue to be one of the best home value betting teams in MLB, as they're 27-32 and a decent sized dog most of the time (including tonight). It's the road where they're absolutely dreadful, at 17-46.
    If Waldron’s knuckler doesn’t play his fastball has been dreadful. He’s gotta be throwing up in some bathroom stall right now

    I bet both teams to score (BTTS) F5 2+ -115 & BTTS F5 3+ +205 earlier today. Little ladder

    I know that doesn’t help you but both teams gonna get some. Gotta do it

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