Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #36221
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    If you have access to nfl draft props where its “player X will be drafted at 2-3-4-5-6-7 etc” and you want a really good play DM me

  2. #36222
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Why aren't we all on the Rays ML every game no matter what the price?

     
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      Rayo88:

  3. #36223
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Why aren't we all on the Rays ML every game no matter what the price?
    Somewhere in Tampa - someone is sunning their balls

     
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      simpdog: lol he was a good character

  4. #36224
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Lotta NHL prop opportunities relative to contract targets and personal records etc.

    Mika Zabanajad Leafs chasing points
    3+ SOG
    1+ assist

    Keller Coyotes points

    McDavid goal,record.

    McKinnon goal to get 40 I believe.

    I’m going from memory. Double check.

    I’m closing some stuff out at the moment but maybe Daley can grab from his guy.

    I woke up promising to stay away from NHL today so I’m late but I’m getting aroused by a lot of stuff. That’s usually trouble

  5. #36225
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Why aren't we all on the Rays ML every game no matter what the price?
    They get lucky getting Berrios-Kikuchi next two days also.

    I might fade Rays ML all next week tho.

  6. #36226
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Why aren't we all on the Rays ML every game no matter what the price?
    Somewhere in Tampa - someone is sunning their balls
    Funny you mention this. Nicky Pipes appeared on the last radio, and is about to be unbanned.

  7. #36227
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay, another one I'm on the fence with, but since it worked out yesterday with KC, I will do it again.

    Today we have Minnesota with Joe Ryan, arguably the most improved pitcher in the AL. Ryan had a great performance last time out, getting 19 swinging strikes in 6 innings, and a 41% "CSW" (called strikes + whiffs) rate. When you see a pitcher doing that shit, you know he's in the zone. He gave up 4 runs due to a grand slam, but otherwise shut down the Astros.

    The Twins are off to a nice start, leading the AL Central.

    Minnesota (Ryan) +119 at Yankees (Brito)

  8. #36228
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    9-0 Twins in 1st


  9. #36229
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Druff is the Tampa Bay of Stupidity Wagering.

  10. #36230
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    MLB 4-1 +3.00 units

    Jays over 9 -120. loss


    NHL
    Leafs/Rangers under 6.5 -110 win (barely)
    Dallas in reg -145 win
    Oilers/Sharks over 7 +105 push
    MLB 4-2, +2.80

    NHL 2-0 last night and a push.

    NHL tonight. Buffalo in reg +100. There hasn't been a TON of tanking, but Columbus can not win this game. 2% is 2% at changing the shape of your franchise with drafting Bedard.

  11. #36231
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    MLB 4-1 +3.00 units

    Jays over 9 -120. loss


    NHL
    Leafs/Rangers under 6.5 -110 win (barely)
    Dallas in reg -145 win
    Oilers/Sharks over 7 +105 push
    MLB 4-2, +2.80

    NHL 2-0 last night and a push.

    NHL tonight. Buffalo in reg +100. There hasn't been a TON of tanking, but Columbus can not win this game. 2% is 2% at changing the shape of your franchise with drafting Bedard.
    MLB is 4-2 +1.80. Math is hard.

  12. #36232
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    MLB 4-2, +2.80

    NHL 2-0 last night and a push.

    NHL tonight. Buffalo in reg +100. There hasn't been a TON of tanking, but Columbus can not win this game. 2% is 2% at changing the shape of your franchise with drafting Bedard.
    MLB is 4-2 +1.80. Math is idiotic.
    FYP …. Just realized you might be too young… Barry Greenstein

    Some props that might survive the PFA curse.

    Props (.5u)
    C. Overton o3.5 Ks -122 (FD)
    T. Rogers o1.5 BB -115 (DK)

    J. Berrios o2.5 ER -150 (DK) sorry Simp
    C. Morton o1.5 BB -130 (DK)

    Each one of these props tells an exquisite story filled with love and hate. I’m really just walking the legal MLB prop dog. Never ever bet a walk prop in my life.

    I got a ton of stuff … none that I love any more than anything else except Colorado +140 vs Mickey Spillane just cause I’m fighting people over it. It’s just a valid thing.

    Gonna confess I am attached to the Mets. Sigh.

    Bruins sweep is +490 on FD vs +450 DK

    Working on other series
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-14-2023 at 03:48 PM.

  13. #36233
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here's a game for tonight.

    Possibly 2 more incoming.

    Baltimore (T. Wells) -118 at White Sox (Clevinger)

    Expect more Clevinger fades before we are done here.

  14. #36234
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay, here's your two more.

    In the spirit of the Baltimore pick, these are also fades.

    FADING OLD MAN CHARLIE MORTON:
    Kansas City (Singer) +117 vs Atlanta (Morton)

    FADING TOMMY MILONE WHO HAS A 2020s ERA OF AROUND 6.50:
    Colorado (Gomber) +152 at Seattle (Milone)


    I'm 9-3 so far this season, including some dog wins. I'm 9-0 in games not involving St. Louis.

    Obviously something has gotta give at some point, but I'll keep riding this as long as I can.

  15. #36235
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    Pirates +170
    Orioles -110
    Brewers +130
    Marlins -130
    Red Sox -110
    RAYS even

    I’ve bet the rays every game this year pal. Last night was the best game of the year for them to lose for me. Some games I was laying -300, I’m betting 3 units to win 1 unit pal, I don’t bet 1 unit to win .3 unit, got it? Wasn’t happy to do it pal but I am not playing around when I say I bet the Rays every game.

    I am also betting Kings in basketball tonight -1, haven’t watched a single kings or warrior nba game all year, not a minute pal, but I hear warrior suck on the road, figure this is biggest game for kings in a decade, hope they can pull it off pal

    Action Saturday let’s have some fun brothers

  16. #36236
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Glad to see I am not opposing Nicky Pipes with what looks like my sole pick.

    I finally had a losing MLB day, going 1-2 yesterday, only winning Orioles with a comeback. Rockies tried to come back but failed, and KC got blown out.

    So what better to do than make the same mistake again, and once again fade the Braves?

    This time we have a better pitcher going.

    Despite a bad 2022, Kris Bubic had a great spring, and has been excellent in his two starts with KC. He has a 1.64 ERA, a 0.909 WHIP, and a 13/1 K-BB ratio.

    The downside? He's up against Bryce Edler, who has also pitched great in 2023. But I believe KC will come back with a win after yesterday's blowout on their own field.

    Kansas City +122 (Bubic) vs Atlanta (Edler)

  17. #36237
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I was going to add the Reds as another pick. The plane I was on lost internet.

    13-0 Reds


  18. #36238
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    What’s the deal around here pal?

    NBA playoffs started yesterday. Nobody has any series plays?

    NHL playoffs start tomorrow, no plays?

    Look pal, I watched a lot of NHL last season and did great betting series prices in the playoffs rising the lightning and avalanche. I showed tremendous heart and commitment to the game laying some serious numbers on Colorado. It is what it is pal. Sometimes you have to write the check to cash the cash, do you understand?

    Anyways the point is pal, I didn’t watch any NHL this season and barely watched a single minute of a non Heat NBA game and I only watched a few of those.

    Was interested in college basketball this season pal, loved watching and betting on FAU and Miami, rode Mimi one game too long this year pal.

    Nobody has any plays to tail? We have some rock solid NHL bettors around here, would love to see some brainstorming so I can get some action down

    I also did good on NBA playoffs last year. You have to lay some big series prices in the NBA but over a 7 game series a true upset is very rare, many times it’s free $$$

    Was thinking of firing on Grizzlies Series price, looks like the Lakers are a bit overrated but what do I know? Didn’t watch either team pal just want in on the action

  19. #36239
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    Reds +175
    Tigers +160
    Brewers +137
    Pirates +139
    White Sox -135
    Marlins -125
    Rays -125
    Twins +134

    Usually only bet 1-3 games a night but let’s get some action going today and watch the games by the pool, what do you say pal?

    Anybody have any NBA action for later today?

  20. #36240
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I have one NBA play.

    Memphis -4 vs Lakers

    Note that AD, Lebron, and Schroeder are all hurting

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