*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Dan Druff]

Glutton for punishment.

I've not done well in the first 3 weeks of 2023, sports-wise.

Minnesota at Houston - Under 234

[Daly]

So its Jon Rham week at T Pines.

Obviously he is going off as a gigantic favorite and he should.

I cant blame you if you take the 5-1 one offer. Becuase of the 5-1 up top there are some reall good numbers down the board if you have a hunch.

Id say to you either aproach is fine just dont try and do both. The long odds you are getting arent as long as it seems if you playing Rham. If you are playing Rham with others your 5-1 just went to 2.5-1

Point being pick a angle abd shoot it

[Dan Druff]

207 points with 58s left, in a 7 point game, and somehow this became a sweat.

It's now 115-110 with 20s left.

[Dan Druff]

Wow I could actually lose this. 116-112, Houston's ball (they're ahead), and definitely will be fouled with 12s left.

Most of my actual bet is 233.5 because the book with 234 wouldn't give me much action.


Edit: Now it's 233 points, 119-114 with 2s left. Minnesota ball. If they hit the final shot, I lose. If they miss, I probably win but hopefully no fouls happen in the process.

[Dan Druff]

D'Angelo Russell took a shot with 1s left, missed, and Wolves gave up. Final score 119-114, and I win by the skin of my teeth.



You'd think a 9-point game with 56s left and 24 points to give in your under would be a lock, but I came a final shot away from losing.

When you're running bad, nothing is easy.

Condolences to those who got the 232 line, which is what it fell to about 10 minutes after my post and bet.

[Sanlmar]

Tennis anyone?

[Dan Druff]

Tennis anyone?

[Dan Druff]

Here's a look at the high totals I mentioned, and how they did:

Celtics/Magic 229 - 211 (way under)
Bucks/Pistons 236.5 - 280 (way, way, way over!!)
Timberwolves/Rockets 232 - 233 (line was 233.5 or higher for most of the day, so we'll call this a push, even though I personally won this today)
Hawks/Bulls 240.5 - 211 (way under)
Hornets/Jazz 236.5 - 222 (under)
Spurs/Blazers 240.5 - 274 (way, way over)
Grizzlies/Kings 244.5 - 233 (under)

So with closing lines of 229 to 244.5, we had 2 big unders, 2 decent sized unders, one right around the line, and two blowout overs.

I regret not going under with the Sac/Memphis game, as I've found these record high totals tend to be an overcorrection, and tend to go under more often.

[Sanlmar]

Tennis anyone?

4:40am EST

Once again, the mega talent Lehecka is undervalued. Tsitsipas has not looked like a top player this event. If Lehecka holds his nerve, which it seems he does quite well, an upset is not at all out of the question. He certainly has better than a 25% chance of winning. . (Lehecka +460).

My bet
Lehecka, Jiri/Tsitsipas, Stefanos over 36 -115 for Match

or

Lehecka +6.5 -118.

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

Tennis anyone?

I had Pegula to win the whole thing, thought I had a chance when Swiatek got knocked out ffs

[Dan Druff]

4:40am EST

Once again, the mega talent Lehecka is undervalued. Tsitsipas has not looked like a top player this event. If Lehecka holds his nerve, which it seems he does quite well, an upset is not at all out of the question. He certainly has better than a 25% chance of winning. . (Lehecka +460).

My bet
Lehecka, Jiri/Tsitsipas, Stefanos over 36 -115 for Match

or

Lehecka +6.5 -118.

Damnit, didn't see this until now.

Good luck.

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

4:40am EST

Once again, the mega talent Lehecka is undervalued. Tsitsipas has not looked like a top player this event. If Lehecka holds his nerve, which it seems he does quite well, an upset is not at all out of the question. He certainly has better than a 25% chance of winning. . (Lehecka +460).

My bet
Lehecka, Jiri/Tsitsipas, Stefanos over 36 -115 for Match

or

Lehecka +6.5 -118.

I’m on Tsitsipas/over 33.5 games at +140

Come on!

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

Tough ask now

Edit: sigh, should have option B lol

[Sanlmar]

4:40am EST

Once again, the mega talent Lehecka is undervalued. Tsitsipas has not looked like a top player this event. If Lehecka holds his nerve, which it seems he does quite well, an upset is not at all out of the question. He certainly has better than a 25% chance of winning. . (Lehecka +460).

My bet
Lehecka, Jiri/Tsitsipas, Stefanos over 36 -115 for Match

or

Lehecka +6.5 -118.

I’m on Tsitsipas/over 33.5 games at +140

Come on!

Lehecka fought to extend the match to 4 sets and a likely win - in second set (7-6) but FAILED.

Losing sucks.

[Tellafriend]

alright, enough of this faggot shit. can we get back to the divisional games this weekend?

where we at? lines are so sharp. last possessions will win. but we have to have action on it to make it watchable.

verm, you are dead to me now.

cinny.
sf.

lfg.

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

alright, enough of this faggot shit. can we get back to the divisional games this weekend?

where we at? lines are so sharp. last possessions will win. but we have to have action on it to make it watchable.

verm, you are dead to me now.

cinny.
sf.

lfg.

LOL

[Tellafriend]

alright, enough of this faggot shit. can we get back to the divisional games this weekend?

where we at? lines are so sharp. last possessions will win. but we have to have action on it to make it watchable.

verm, you are dead to me now.

cinny.
sf.

lfg.

LOL

Am i rite or am i rite?

[Rayo88]

There's a 245.5 line tonight in the NBA.

That's also not an outlier. There's 7 games tonight. The lowest total is 229.

The others all range from 236.5 to 240.5.

This is why it's so hard to handicap NBA these days.

Second attempt at this:

All seven NBA games on Bet M6M have the lines for the spread and the over/under paying -105 to -115. The set up yesterday was the same for both NBA and NHL. Is this a bunch of horrible lines to choose from or do I have more to learn?
Serious question - thanks in advance.

[simpdog]

Carl Cheffers will be the referee for Super Bowl LVII in Arizona this year, the NFL announced Tuesday.

#1 ranking in flags thrown per game by his crew this year.
Flagged the Chiefs hard in 2021 Superbowl. 8 first half penalties = record 6 first downs = record 95 yards in penalties.

[Dan Druff]

There's a 245.5 line tonight in the NBA.

That's also not an outlier. There's 7 games tonight. The lowest total is 229.

The others all range from 236.5 to 240.5.

This is why it's so hard to handicap NBA these days.

Second attempt at this:

All seven NBA games on Bet M6M have the lines for the spread and the over/under paying -105 to -115. The set up yesterday was the same for both NBA and NHL. Is this a bunch of horrible lines to choose from or do I have more to learn?
Serious question - thanks in advance.

Spread and over/under lines are usually both -, and rotate around -110. So they're either both -110, or one is -105 while the other is -115, or one is -120 and the other +100.

If it's worse than that, it's not a good book.