Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #35121
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    We have dozens of Musk threads. Let’s add sports books & stupidity wagering.

    Financials - Specials - TSLA Share Price Jan 31st at Close - Under 143˝ $ -120

    Betonline. “Other sport” —> “Financials”

    Was in a boring meeting at 11:00 am and I was just poking around hit it and then got distracted by life.

    Max bet $120. Free money why not

    BOL was asleep at the switch. I think TSLA was trading @ $133 at the time.

    It’s $139˝ now. Trading @ $123
    Did you grab a little Druff?

     
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      Daly: I got my free $100, tyty

  2. #35122
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Smile

    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Lines are completely blurred. No turning back

    Parlay
    Jim “Long Lehman” Cramer/Crypto/Legalized Wagering



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    cloud storage lulz
    I already have a betmgm from PA, but I just signed up for draftkings this morning. I created accounts for like 6 books because everyone is flooding my email with Ohio going legal 1/1 and all of them are competing with bonuses. Most suck and are 10x play though shit, but still give you a 1x fee bet for like $100 or $200 if you sign up early.

    This place looks like the type of place you can really get a knife stuck in you and the most interesting. Never heard of it. Australian bookmaker.


    https://www.betohio.com/pointsbet

    From what I can tell, there is a betting option like China used to use with his action points bets back in the day

    .
    Like Steelers-3, you set a point wager of like $50 a point, and if they win by 4, you win $50 if you bet on Steelers. If they win by 7, 4x $50.

    If they lose by 14, 17x $50 loser.

    Shit can get interesting in a hurry. I’m dying to know if they do it for props as those would be nuts as you’re often way right or wrong. It appears from reviews they do.

    I just can’t figure out how it’s done because it’s not live here yet, if you need a line of credit or what? Seems like you can set stop loss for like 10x your wager, but if you don’t set one, I have no idea if you need a credit line or whatever because any bet can hypothetically be a 100 point loser, and it’s not rare at all to be 100 yards off on a football prop. All the reviews are great because it says they spread -105 lines and supposedly like nickel and dime lines on baseball.


    This is going to be nuts with all these options. We have kiosks being installed in bars all over town. Said you can only bet $1000 anonymously a week, but no idea if it’s anonymous how they track it?

    I miss the old days when Mansion just handed us free $1000 SB bets. All downhill since then.

    I’m definitely going to be paying closer attention to Daly props and your first 5 bets and K props and Simps NHL stuff. My numbers always sucked compared to the unregulated market, but I’m going to have like 20 options now. I might need to put the local plasma center in my contacts for a cold spell of betting and look into the stolen catalytic converter market.
    Last edited by BCR; 12-27-2022 at 10:28 AM.

  3. #35123
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    If they do fast Kash bats, like they did back in the day with China on Props they’ll be broke within two weeks

  4. #35124
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Z Moss opened at 59.5.

    He had 24 touches last week (and 81 yards)

    Chargers not good vs run

    Line all the way down to 49.5


    Chalk this up to “someone knows something”

    So apparently Jackson was listed as the starter And was gonna get approximately 60% of the touches. He was listed as the starter in the pregame sheets, and was announced as the starter on the broadcast.

    Apparently he got into a screaming match with the head coach the day of the game and they didn’t think it important to update the starting lineup. That’s why he had one snap up until the final drive of the game.

    This is why these fucking jokers can kiss my ass when it comes to an “integrity fee”.

    And while we’re on the subject, it’ll be a cold day in hell if I start tweeting to all the sports books that I should be getting a refund because they didn’t list the right starter. There’s been a ton of people crying to DraftKings and FanDuel over Booker only playing like three minutes the other night it was trending on Twitter and they ended up capitulating and giving the crybabies a refund. Of course the big difference here is everyone who bet Booker overs are square as fuck they’ll never refund the moss unders or the Jackson overs Because it was all sharp action

     
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      Dan Druff:
      
      Tellafriend:

  5. #35125
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Well we got the first one right today. Went back and forth between ML and points as it felt a total coinflip. Should have sprinkled.

    Line was 5.5. Eventually settled on taking it down to 4.5 and +104 as I’ve been running so bad. They won of course, but didn’t even care as it felt a lot better having the +4.5 as they needed a long conversion to keep ball and easily could have lost by FG at end.

    Single @
    +104
    Won
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 5339233
    Point Spread: Buffalo +4.5
    Georgia Southern vs Buffalo

    So is Georgia a ploppie bet now? Most of us have money on Georgia, as do 80% of public, and line hasn’t moved or went down a .5.

    That Everson guy has me nervous as he spoke of seeing large 6 figure bets on Buckeyes. Didn’t say sharp, just large

  6. #35126
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I’m a little delinquent in my sports today but one idea immediately lept out at me.

    The juicy plus $
    Predators -˝ +143 for 1st Period
    Chicago is 1-14-2 1P PL

    Meh look
    Predators team total over 3˝ +100
    Mrazek in net for Chicago. He is likely the worst goalie in the NHL. He has a cult following.

    We are gonna recycle Chicago 1st Period impotence and Mrazek awfulness. See above.


    Carolina Hurricanes -˝ -120 for 1st Period

    Since the last post Chicago is now 2-15-2 1P (I’m posting this from memory)

    We’ve cashed this pretty regular on PFA. Gotta run it again.

    The ML is -460 Carolina some places to show which way the wind blows. Pyotr Kochetkov confirmed some places expected in others. Love Pyotr

    We are supposed to 2P over 2 by the numbers this game but I have stone tools with BOL and must bet live. 2P’s are the new 1P’s. I’m trying to stay fashionable.

    First NHL games since last Thurs so just factor the possible athlete stupor in your mind

     
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      Rayo88:
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 12-27-2022 at 03:21 PM.

  7. #35127
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Well, we are ending in the green today regardless of how the rest of the day plays out. Nice 3-0 start to the day after bad run of late. Didn’t bet ECU straight out as I don’t do 7.5, just backend of parlay down at -2.5


    Still to be decided:


    Single @
    -109
    Open
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 53405739
    Point Spread: Wisconsin -4.5
    Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State

    Parlay (2 Picks)1 of 2 settled
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 533925
    Point Spread: Memphis -2.0 @ -230
    Memphis vs Utah State
    Point Spread: East Carolina -2.5 @ -230
    Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina
    +118

    Wins

    Single @
    -109
    Won
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 534060
    Point Spread: Memphis -21.5
    Live
    Memphis vs Utah State

    Single @
    -110
    Won
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 533927
    Point Spread: Memphis -7.0
    Memphis vs Utah State

    Single @
    +104
    Won
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 53392
    Point Spread: Buffalo +4.5
    Georgia Southern vs Buffalo

  8. #35128
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Avs under 5.5 seems ok

  9. #35129
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Carolina Hurricanes -˝ -120 for 1st Period
    (deleted all my bullshit)

  10. #35130
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Avs under 5.5 seems ok

    Guess i need to stick to vegas totals.

  11. #35131
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Well, we are ending in the green today regardless of how the rest of the day plays out. Nice 3-0 start to the day after bad run of late. Didn’t bet ECU straight out as I don’t do 7.5, just backend of parlay down at -2.5


    Still to be decided:


    Single @
    -109
    Open
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 53405739
    Point Spread: Wisconsin -4.5
    Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State

    Parlay (2 Picks)1 of 2 settled
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 533925
    Point Spread: Memphis -2.0 @ -230
    Memphis vs Utah State
    Point Spread: East Carolina -2.5 @ -230
    Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina
    +118

    Wins

    Single @
    -109
    Won
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 534060
    Point Spread: Memphis -21.5
    Live
    Memphis vs Utah State

    Single @
    -110
    Won
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 533927
    Point Spread: Memphis -7.0
    Memphis vs Utah State

    Single @
    +104
    Won
    Dec 27 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 53392
    Point Spread: Buffalo +4.5
    Georgia Southern vs Buffalo
    Rare perfect day. 5-0, really 4-0 as the live bet was a weird odds booster/free bet thing I had to clear out of account and use specifically on live event and it was only live game going when I bet it. Was a small fraction of the other bets.

    Was nice after recent cold run. Early games. I just added another UCF Moneyline -130 straight bet I didn’t copy. The ML parlay and straight up ML bet are obviously lesser than the single game bets. Both add up to half a single bet. I’d love the UCF game, I like it, but they have 3 defensive opt outs. I guess their defense as their strength, so hard to gauge who is behind them and etc. I don’t know UCF depth charts. Wanted to bet Man City on Asian lines, but unfortunately it went from -1.75 to 2 for same juice from when I went to bed and woke up, and see no value. I’ve been hitting these premier league games at high rate, but never post them as I’m just kind of winging it, don’t bet much on them. and most here aren’t interested.

    UCF ML+130-just added

    Single @
    -114
    Open
    Dec 28 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 5342350
    Point Spread: Arkansas -2.5
    Kansas vs Arkansas


    Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
    Dec 28 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 5342350
    Moneyline: UCF @ +130
    UCF vs Duke
    Point Spread: Arkansas -2.5 @ -114
    Kansas vs Arkansas
    Odds:
    +332


    Single @
    -107
    Open
    Dec 28 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 53423253
    Point Spread: UCF +3.0
    UCF vs Duke

     
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      Sanlmar: Rollin' in my 5.0 With my rag-top down so my hair can blow

  12. #35132
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Great job on the 5-0, BCR. Unfortunately one of my NCAAF picks today opposes yours.

    I like Kansas. Also going with UNC.


    Kansas +115 vs Arkansas
    North Carolina +13 -109 vs Oregon

  13. #35133
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    More NCAAF

    Central Florida vs Duke - Over 62.5
    Kansas vs Arkansas - Over 70

     
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      BCR: Missed you had over 70 here. I was wondering why you didn’t parlay it with Kansas, but this is safer.

  14. #35134
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NCAAB dogs

    San Jose State +169 vs UNLV
    Colorado State +215 at New Mexico

  15. #35135
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NHL

    Calgary -111 at Seattle

  16. #35136
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Dook/UCF:
    Bowser U63.5
    Leonard U267.5
    Coleman U47.5
    Calhoun U88.5
    Leonard First TD +750
    Dook -2

     
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      Dan Druff: Took a few of these

  17. #35137
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Great job on the 5-0, BCR. Unfortunately one of my NCAAF picks today opposes yours.

    I like Kansas. Also going with UNC.


    Kansas +115 vs Arkansas
    North Carolina +13 -109 vs Oregon
    You have the far better coach and all of these bowl games are scary and can go either way. I don’t like betting against better coach and more engaged team. Kansas is always happy to make any bowl.

    I always find myself looking through schedule and seeing how they’ve fared against teams like their opponent. I went Arkansas because Kansas doesn’t usually fare well against powerful run it down your throat teams, whereas someone like Ole Miss is most similar to Kansas, and Arkansas overpowered them. That said, I vacillated because Kansas was really good early, have a great coach, and sometimes the break between last game and bowls let’s teams get healthy and more like early season versions. Kansas is the type of team I like to bet in bowl games.

    It’s a shame the total is so high for you given you like Kansas. Arkansas is going to run for a lot of yards and put up points. They average over 200 yard rushing against far better defenses in SEC and Kansas gives up 200 a game. If Kansas wins, it almost has to be a high scoring affair and a Kansas bet to win would almost always go over low 60s, but 70 is harder call, or it would be nice Kansas ML and over parlay that’s probably +300. If I liked Kansas to win I’d sprinkle on over parlay as it’s hard to see them winning a game that isn’t at least mid 60s.

    Good luck. At least someone here is winning

  18. #35138
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Just had to jump in car and placed a bigger bet on UCF +13, which makes it even at half than I did the game. All about the first drive. Duke gets ball. Need a stop.Unlikely to win earlier one down 13, but I bet against UCF earlier this year a few times and lost as they’re a second half team, so I don’t consider it dead by any means.



    Single
    @
    -112
    Open
    Dec 28 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 5343244
    Point Spread: UCF +13.0
    Live
    UCF vs Duke
    7-20
    3rd Quarter 15:00

  19. #35139
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I haven’t bet a prop in months

    Tampa Bay vs Montreal and sad goalie John Gibson. 3.99 GAA & .896 SV%
    He is a defenseman. There is that but he had a 2 point effort just before the holiday break.

    Name:  E71D7B4B-0135-4C8F-AEB9-6AA49FFA9D3C.jpeg
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    Over 2.5 shots on goal +102

  20. #35140
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    So irritating. Just horrible. QB had it if he just ran. I’m toast now all around. Fucking UCF.

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