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Thread: *** OFFICIAL *** 2022 Midterm Election Thread

  1. #161
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    The Nevada electoral shitshow continues.

    The drop boxes had 56,900 ballots -- far short of the 100k Democrats had hoped to find.

    There is also a batch of 27,000 mailed in ballots in Clark County which also haven't been opened -- so that makes about 84k Clark County votes remaining to be counted, and that definitely skews D.

    There are another 57,000 in Washoe County (Reno area) which are also not counted yet. Those are more of a mystery, but very well might break evenish.

    They have proceeded to count those 84k in Clark County, and are 1/6 done. The first 14k broke heavily for Cortez-Masto, to the tune of +35 points. This shaved Laxalt's lead down to 18k, from 23k.

    If it continues at this pace, she will take a 7k lead, and whatever remains at Washoe is unlikely to make up the difference.

    HOWEVER... it may not continue at this pace, especially if they were counting the mailed ballots first, and not the drop boxes. Overall, Cortez-Masto needs probably to win by high-20s in points in order to beat Laxalt (it's hard to say exact numbers, because some go to third party).

    Joe Lombardo has a much safer 39k lead at the moment.

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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Diamond TheXFactor's Avatar
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    A spokesman for Heaven quoted God saying "I don't know these people", "I've never spoken to them" and "I wish they would STOP using my name".

    Everyone knows that God's chosen one is Donald J. Trump.



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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Laxalt's goose is probably cooked.

    About 1/3 of the Washoe votes were counted, and they broke heavily for Cortez-Masto, knocking off 5k of Laxalt's precious 21k lead in just 20,000 votes counted.

    That's before they get to the Clark ones.

    The only potential saving grace for Laxalt is more drops from rural areas.

  5. #165
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Laxalt's goose is probably cooked.

    About 1/3 of the Washoe votes were counted, and they broke heavily for Cortez-Masto, knocking off 5k of Laxalt's precious 21k lead in just 20,000 votes counted.

    That's before they get to the Clark ones.

    The only potential saving grace for Laxalt is more drops from rural areas.

    Laxalt would have tooken this by at least 8, and possibly 10+ if he had just caged up that monster Micon when he had the chance

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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    boebert is 5000 votes behind with 15,000 votes left to be counted out of about 300,000.

    its unlikely she fades that math but if i could find a line for her on predictit in the 5% or worse range, id fuck with it. weirder has happened.

    weirder is happening.


    shes up by 800 votes.

     
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      devidee: But did you bet it?
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  7. #167
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    devidee: But did you bet it?


    i couldnt find a line on predictit.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    devidee: But did you bet it?


    i couldnt find a line on predictit.
    Due to Predictit's legal status being revoked by the CFTC, they couldn't offer new markets since August, and they hadn't posted any House races yet, sooooooo....

     
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      sonatine: would have been so fucking sweet tho

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    Laxalt not looking all that hot. Still some rural votes left to count, but probably not enough.

    https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590841831297728512

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    Trump needs to go away, desantis is the way forward

     
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      country978: It is time

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    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post


    weirder is happening.


    shes up by 800 votes.

    worth noting; north denver is still being counted and my assumption is that AF is going to get some support out of there.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Diamond Sloppy Joe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by dwai View Post
    Trump needs to go away, desantis is the way forward
    Have to imagine there are many independents like me who will go back to considering R once the fascist retard is neutralized.

    I would vote for DeSantis versus any plausible dem at the moment.
    PokerFraudAlert...will never censor your claims, even if they're against one of our sponsors. In addition to providing you an open forum report fraud within the poker community, we will also analyze your claims with a clear head an unbiased point of view. And, of course, the accused will always have the floor to defend themselves.-Dan Druff

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    If a genocide is happening, it's Hamas against the people of Gaza.

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    Platinum devidee's Avatar
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    2% of the population, over 50% of the political donations…


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    Democracy LULZ

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    Quote Originally Posted by devidee View Post
    2% of the population, over 50% of the political donations…


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    Democracy LULZ

  16. #176
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    So I am assuming the Democrats doing better than expected means the market is going to be very red tomorrow??

    you are literally our jim cramer.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

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    Platinum Jayjami's Avatar
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    It’s pretty clear that suburban women control our elections. The GOP’s message that “if you get impregnated by rape, we’re gonna force you to carry that baby to term, provide you with no social services to raise it, and then when your kid gets shot in the face at school, we’ll send you our thoughts and prayers,” does not resonate with them. Oh yeah, the fact that the leader of the party is a serial pussy grabber doesn’t help either.
    Last edited by Jayjami; 11-11-2022 at 10:34 AM.

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    It’s pretty clear that suburban women control our elections. The GOP’s message that “if you get impregnated by rape, we’re gonna force you to carry that baby to term, provide you with no social services to raise it, and then when your kid gets shot in the face at school, we’ll send you our thoughts and prayers,” does not resonate with them. Oh yeah, the fact that the leader of the party is a serial pussy grabber doesn’t help either.
    This really is the unsolvable Republican riddle.

    They will rue the day Roe overturned. They should be now but I’m still not sure they understand what just happened yet.

    The MAGA conversation is a red herring.

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  19. #179
    Platinum mickeycrimm's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    It’s pretty clear that suburban women control our elections. The GOP’s message that “if you get impregnated by rape, we’re gonna force you to carry that baby to term, provide you with no social services to raise it, and then when your kid gets shot in the face at school, we’ll send you our thoughts and prayers,” does not resonate with them. Oh yeah, the fact that the leader of the party is a serial pussy grabber doesn’t help either.
    Got raped? Get the abortion quick. If you wait 8 months then say "Hey, I was raped" its fuck you. You're going to have the kid. I can't fathom how ordinarily moral and intelligent people have no qualms killing a fully developed unborn child that's been in the womb for 9 months.
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  20. #180
    Platinum mickeycrimm's Avatar
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    "ding dong the witch is dead
    wicked witch
    witch is dead
    ding dong
    the wicked witch is dead"

    Goodbye Nancy Pelosi
    POKER FAG ALERT! FOR BLOW JOBS SEE SLOPPY JOE, SONATINE, BCR AND JAYJAMI.

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