*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

I love you Daly

Outstanding performance

[BCR]

Well Vegas got rich today. They can give the public a win hopefully on my game.

I hit my only game Kentucky. dodged all the other traps. Time to get greedy. Bye week. Dissed by playoff committee, but mostly ND is just so fucking slow on offense I struggle to see how they string together much.

Let’s get greedy.

Single @
+195
Open
Nov 5 • 2022
Ticket ID: 515093
Point Spread: Clemson -9.5
Clemson @ Notre Dame

[Dan Druff]

I'll throw one NBA game onto today's big pile of NCAAF (which I'm currently sitting at 5-3, +2.14 units, with 3 games to go).

Houston at Minnesota - Over 234

[Dan Druff]

Didn’t even realize it was breeders cup until I was at the Borgata today. It’s the only casino with a race book in AC. Just saw this on the classic. The heavy favorite won easy but look at the payouts…. 100s of millions of dollars would of been lost if the horse came second and you would of gotten a slightly better return if you just bet to place. Pari-mutual wagering is so diseased. You see this shit in small pool harness tracks. Never though I’d see it in a BC Classic.

Yeah that is weird. I had a painful experience in 1996 at Hollywood Park, which stayed with me forever regarding both parimutuel betting and "can't miss" favorites.

Three was a high profile showdown between Gentlemen, one of the top horses in the nation, and another top horse whose name I forget. It was on June 19, 1996. A big crowd showed up for that matchup, only to be disappointed when the other top horse was scratched. This left Gentlemen racing against 5 scrubs.

I noticed that win, place, and show were all 1:20 for Gentlemen. That's how good he was compared to the competition. I realized that show paid the same as win because 1:20 was the lowest possible odds they could offer, and that there might actually be some value, despite the -2000 line. After all, while it was possible one of the five opponents would have an unusually great race, what was the chance Gentlemen wouldn't finish at least 3rd of 6? Up until then, his worst finish was 4th out of 13, and that was against better competition.

I walked up to the counter and placed $200 to win $10.

Gentlemen started off behind, but of course that was no big deal. However, as the race wore on, he fell further and further behind the front, and eventually finished dead last.

I actually yelled out, "NOOOOOOOOOOOOO!" as it happened. The $200 I lost was my biggest gambling loss to date, as I was not really a gambler at that point.

The crowd then loudly booed as Gentlemen was walked back. I calculated that, due to the disproportionate betting on Gentlemen, the track made a cool million dollars on the whole thing -- which of course isn't supposed to happen on parimutuel betting. Had Gentlemen showed, it would have gone the other way.

[Sanlmar]

I'll throw one NBA game onto today's big pile of NCAAF (which I'm currently sitting at 5-3, +2.14 units, with 3 games to go).

Houston at Minnesota - Over 234

I woulda shoved Astros and under 7

[Sanlmar]

6 pitches and you see the umpire is corrupt.

Druff is at the height of his powers

[Dan Druff]

LOL this SMU game.

34-21... in the mid-2nd!

Is the total going to end up over 100? I only have SMU -3.5, not any total, but wow.

FSU/Miami off to a fairly good start for my over.

JMU not looking all that hot in the early goings. Might go 1-4 on my dogs today, which is par for the course when four are +230 or higher, but still.

[Dan Druff]

SMU with 42 points so far, with 6:22 left in the 2nd. Anyone know what the record is so far this season for 1H points by a team?

[Dan Druff]

SMU with 77 late 4th. Didn't expect to win this one with Houston scoring 63 (!!), but here we are.

FSU/Miami had scoring completely die after 34 in 1H. Disappointing loss.

JMU fell apart after taking a brief 10-7 lead. I went 1-4 on my dogs, for a 2.5 unit loss.

Will still walk away ahead in NCAAF but only by 1.05 units, going 6-5 for the day.


Houston/Minn NBA over covered.

[Sanlmar]

I woulda shoved Astros and under 7

Good job with the Houston/Minny over Druff but the Astros money is so much sweeter.

The night of the fight, you may feel a slight sting. That's pride fucking with you. Fuck pride. Pride only hurts, it never helps

[Dan Druff]

I can't root for the Astros under any circumstances. Sorry.

[Sanlmar]

I can't root for the Astros under any circumstances. Sorry.

Joe Davis excitedly calling the final out for the Astros victory in the World Series sent ironic chills down my spine.

It really doesn’t get any weirder.

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

Rams +3
Jets +10.5
Titans +12.5
Panthers +7

GL

[Dan Druff]

Got 4 NFL picks today.

Washington +150 vs Minnesota
Buffalo at Jets - Under 45.5
Tennessee at Kansas City - Under 45.5
Rams at Tampa - Under 42.5 -107

[Sanlmar]

I acknowledge Druff has made some picks.

[Daly]

Had epic day yesterday so taking it super easy today.

Washington at 1 (nice to see todd here)
Cardinals at 4
Under tonight

If you see a middle aged man get arrested at the 5000 person venue at the hard rock for the Metallica show tonight, i promise ill try to post a pick for Monday night by mid afternoon.

[Sanlmar]

Daly resisted the Dolphins/Bears weather temptation.

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

Rams +3
Jets +10.5
Titans +12.5
Panthers +7

GL

Great start… lol

[country978]

The Patriots are dominating the Colts in spite of Mac Jones, who is terrible. I don't know how Belichick can stick with him much longer.

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

Washington ML in play +200 right before that TD
JETS ML in play +400
Tailing Rams u42.5