*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Kalam]

Clippers Live ML and Over
Los Angeles Clippers / Over 224.5
@ 4.00
Head to Head/Total Points Double
Los Angeles Clippers v New Orleans Pelicans
Singlesx1
Total Stake:$100.00
Potential Return$400.00

Marcus Morris
@
4.20
To Score 20+ Points
Los Angeles Clippers v New Orleans Pelicans
Singlex1
Total Stake:$150.00
Potential Return$630.00

Already has 6 in first 3.5mins off 3 Attempts

Morris got 10 with 3 left in 1Q

Locked up

I went to this game. Morris kinda stopped shooting after the first quarter. Clippers play a real flat rotation. He obvious can possibly score 20 points with the right game script, but IMO even with Kawhi out he is always a big dog to score 20 points, as he is never playing more than 27-29 minutes. And guys like George, Jackson and Powell are going to take a lot of shots, regardless of who has the hot hand.

This was Zion's first game back. I was of course worried he wasn't going to play, which would have been a bummer. I dont know what a good strategy for containing him is, but the Clippers didn't have it. Maybe you have to aggressively blanket him when he doesn't have the ball to deny him the ball in the first place, and/or blitz him as soon as he gets the ball.

The Clippers strategy was to basically let him get the ball in the midrange and clog the lane and dare him to shoot wide open 10-15 jumpers. However, he never did. He always just dribbled into the paint and either created a high % shot for himself or passed it to someone on the perimeter for a wide open 3. Between his big body, quickness, and his long arms it is very easy for him to create angles for high % layups, at least against that defense.

Also, as is well known his second jump is so quick when he does miss layups, he is very good at getting the rebound and putting it back up before guys like Zubac can even react.

[DJ_Chaps]

Guy on reddit had a nice parlay ticket that needs Buf -10.5 to finish. brutal beat.

[Dan Druff]

Not a good day. Squeaked by with the Buffalo under, thanks to a fairly dead final 18 minutes of the game. It was 37 points in the mid 3rd, so I thought I was losing the under 47, but it finished 27-17.

2-2 in the NFL, 0-2 in the NBA. Both NBA unders looked totally dead in the first half, but slowed considerably in the 2nd half, and had a shot going into the 4th. Neither came all that close to covering, however.

[4BET]

Guy on reddit had a nice parlay ticket that needs Buf -10.5 to finish. brutal beat.

Bills up 17 4q and has 1st and goal on the 6 comes away with 0.0. I had a bad feeling everyone with the bills are fucked gonna land on 10 when GB scores cheap TD. Really BS bills don’t cover, Glad I bet small

[NaturalBornHustler]

Love Ravens -3. Coming off a 10 day rest. As healthy as they have ever been, with Saints coming off big win which makes them look better than they are. (going into last week Ravens were 5th in DVOA Saints were 20th).

Think it will be 4.5 by game time.

[BCR]

I’m not advocating this bet. If anything I could make a better argument the opposite direction. Ja’Marr Chase is out. The Browns have just been breaking down on defense in a way that allows big players, but scoring more than you’d expect with Brissett at qb. Nothing much more than gut feel shit. Stay away.


Single
@
-109
Open
Oct 31 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5130767279
Total Points: Over 45
CIN Bengals @ CLE Browns

[DJ_Chaps]

Love Ravens -3. Coming off a 10 day rest. As healthy as they have ever been, with Saints coming off big win which makes them look better than they are. (going into last week Ravens were 5th in DVOA Saints were 20th).

Think it will be 4.5 by game time.

JESUS BRO THAT GAME IS NEXT WEEK.

[NaturalBornHustler]

Love Ravens -3. Coming off a 10 day rest. As healthy as they have ever been, with Saints coming off big win which makes them look better than they are. (going into last week Ravens were 5th in DVOA Saints were 20th).

Think it will be 4.5 by game time.

JESUS BRO THAT GAME IS NEXT WEEK.

Gotta bet those favorites early!

[4BET]

Fired bet on bengals -3

[NaturalBornHustler]

Bengals ML and the under parlay FTW. No Chase really hurts Bungles offense but they are clearly better team. Bored af.

[4BET]

The more I thought about this game the more I liked the bengals so bet them 3 different times, Man I hope this doesn’t backfire

[4BET]

Cincy playing like bums in the early going, Could be trouble

[NaturalBornHustler]

Cincy playing like bums in the early going, Could be trouble

They got this,. Eventually.

This is going to be a brutal watch that is for sure. I switched to under at last second.....glad I did lol.

[NaturalBornHustler]

Slightly concerned at this point. Just a little bit.

[4BET]

Slightly concerned at this point. Just a little bit.

That makes 2 of us, hard to watch these teams, Just picked them off , Maybe now the bengals can wake up

[NaturalBornHustler]

Slightly concerned at this point. Just a little bit.

That makes 2 of us, hard to watch these teams, Just picked them off , Maybe now the bengals can wake up

Chase might be MVP if this is what the offense looks like without him. Browns defense isn't even that good. This is embarrassing.

We are clearly a massive dog right now, shit I'm not sure they can even get into the endzone period much less multiple times.

[BCR]

I can live with the two missed FGs, but pushing on a missed xp stings.


Of course, the total was 29 in the second quarter, so push isn’t horrible. Be nice to catch another miracle. I’ve ran well on weird shit to go over.

[4BET]

What a fucking shit show, This team was in the super bowl last year? I was even dumb enough to live bet the bengals at half + 6.5. Had to shut the game off after 1st drive in 3q just found out this morning no miracle saved the bengals or me. normally go out of my way to avoid betting ether one of these trash teams. Hard lesson

[4BET]

The more I thought about this game the more I liked the bengals so bet them 3 different times, Man I hope this doesn’t backfire[/QUOTE]

[ok25]

Morris got 10 with 3 left in 1Q

Locked up

I went to this game. Morris kinda stopped shooting after the first quarter. Clippers play a real flat rotation. He obvious can possibly score 20 points with the right game script, but IMO even with Kawhi out he is always a big dog to score 20 points, as he is never playing more than 27-29 minutes. And guys like George, Jackson and Powell are going to take a lot of shots, regardless of who has the hot hand.

This was Zion's first game back. I was of course worried he wasn't going to play, which would have been a bummer. I dont know what a good strategy for containing him is, but the Clippers didn't have it. Maybe you have to aggressively blanket him when he doesn't have the ball to deny him the ball in the first place, and/or blitz him as soon as he gets the ball.

The Clippers strategy was to basically let him get the ball in the midrange and clog the lane and dare him to shoot wide open 10-15 jumpers. However, he never did. He always just dribbled into the paint and either created a high % shot for himself or passed it to someone on the perimeter for a wide open 3. Between his big body, quickness, and his long arms it is very easy for him to create angles for high % layups, at least against that defense.

Also, as is well known his second jump is so quick when he does miss layups, he is very good at getting the rebound and putting it back up before guys like Zubac can even react.

Thanks for the detailed thoughts

Didn't watch it all but PG was off and gave morris some terrible set ups

+ Money drew me in

Zion looking very good I agree