Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #31441
    Silver BlunderMaker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Seems like occasional posters like BlunderMaker & Dr Peters have a good track record with their pricks as well. Jsears is super respectful in here.
    Can confirm my prick has a better track record than my picks, yet both are world class.

     
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      Sanlmar: You are a world class prick. Confirmed
      
      JeffDime: LOL…autocorrect does present these little gifts sometimes. Good eye!

  2. #31442
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    So what effect has the new basketball had Druff?

    If not decreasing scoring just more randomness?

    As baseball switched balls there were actionable plays to be made.

    To be out in front of this woulda been pretty cool.

    under bettors are making a killing. Unders are 59-34 (63%) on the season.
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    Underwater: What’s Behind the NBA’s Early Unders Rage?
    https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/un...jmRAAAAA%3D%3D
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-02-2021 at 10:17 AM.

  3. #31443
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I’m kidding Blunder.

     
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      BlunderMaker: you just made an enemy for life pal

  4. #31444
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Raiders star wide receiver Henry Ruggs III -- the 12th overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft -- was involved in a serious car accident in Las Vegas Tuesday morning.

    Looking like DUI causing death. What's the penalty for that in Vegas? In Canada you would likely be looking at around 4-7 yrs in jail depending on some other factors.


    Edit: Do we think about taking a Giants position at all? Does this shake up the locker room? Or what happens in Vegas stays there?

  5. #31445
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    10xx rotation #’s are regulation so the woeful Toronto team taking money

    Half unit bets. Kinda splashing here. Anything you especially like Simp? Firing before goalies confirmed admittedly

  6. #31446
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Seems like most matchups have at least 1 goalie not confirmed yet, wtf

  7. #31447
    Silver BlunderMaker's Avatar
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    Kings v Jazz u222

    and Braves to win.

  8. #31448
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Soler at bat was incredible. Ball left the park

    3-0

  9. #31449
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    I am on under 81 on the Toledo game, and I will probably lose it halftime, no defense in this game. Under 81 who loses that shit. Fuck, I have been on a huge cooler lately. Whatever.

  10. #31450
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    I’m contemplating doing something wreckless on the GB +1 vs Kansas City
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  11. #31451
    Silver Sandwich's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    I’m contemplating doing something wreckless on the GB +1 vs Kansas City
    Aaron Rodgers has Covid… what recklessness were you thinking exactly?

  12. #31452
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sandwich View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    I’m contemplating doing something wreckless on the GB +1 vs Kansas City
    Aaron Rodgers has Covid… what recklessness were you thinking exactly?
    I was looking to do 10-20x what I normally bet. Won’t be happening now……

     
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      Sanlmar: Greasy fuck Kaaron Rodgers
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  13. #31453
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    How do we not do a Oilers/Avs parlay tonight?

    or Oilers/Carolina?

  14. #31454
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    How do we not do a Oilers/Avs parlay tonight?

    or Oilers/Carolina?
    Cause AV’s have sooo many injuries. Blue Jackets line has fallen like 50 points since last night. I had to take Jackets +156 W

    Blue Jackets Avs over total 5.5 now that I think of it. W

    I did Hawks Canes 1P over W just off psuOtto numbers. Wish I had 5.5 over but missed it. Maybe live.

    I did the side Canes -140 W but I’m a little concerned by that low number. Nothing about it feels or acts right.


    Degen juices coursing thru my veins now.
    You can get almost 4:1 on a Blue Jackets ML & game over 5.5 parlay. W

     
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      d1sposition: nice work
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-03-2021 at 08:42 PM.

  15. #31455
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I have zero.zero NFL mostly cause I’m not interested enough to plow through NFL numbers.

    Thank goodness. Green Bay isn’t the only mess.

    I will reiterate my strategy posted many weeks ago that as NFL lines get more efficient (Covid aside) playing off them with teasers is the bet for the times. The fact that legal books are reacting by charging more teaser juice confirms my belief. Offshore is still tight juice. I’ve done very well not working very hard and not really watching.

    I can easily take a week off.

    If you told me 5 years ago I’d be betting nightly hockey I’d have laughed. I blame Simpdog. I remember him teaching me such basic stuff as starting goalies. It’s been fun and profitable.

    Surprised you ‘tahds haven’t reacted to the NBA “UNDERS” article above. I hate NBA but it’s very very interesting. I think there is still some opportunity left on that bone.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-03-2021 at 12:52 PM.

  16. #31456
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Somehow I'm 0-9 despite having 3 unders in those picks, even with unders doing well for everyone else this year.

    Here are two picks on the same game, coming up in a little more than an hour:

    Clippers at Minnesota - Under 212.5
    Clippers -2.5 at Minnesota

    Kawhi/Preston/Ibaka/Morris OUT for Clippers, Russell OUT for Minnesota

  17. #31457
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    I haven’t had the time to breakdown the PGA this week. Until this point I just can’t justify taking L Ko in the Saudi LET at +400. She is the most likely winner, but these super short prices in golf are just not a winning play long term.

    I have for the Portugual Masters 1K on Horsfield +3000 and $500 on Horsfield First Round leader +3500. He is in the morning wave. We came a one stroke short last time we bet him first round. This is a big gamble. I will reflect the $1500 in bets when I get a chance in the bankroll as this is enough time before tee off. Currently up 15K. So well will put $1500 in play this week and if Horsfield shits bed, this will be our last dance.

  18. #31458
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Bets for Nov 1 -Nov 7(Week 14)

    New

    Portugal Majors 1K Sam Horsfield to win +3000, $500 Horsfield 1st Round Leader

    LET Saudi - L Ko 2K +400

    Start $50,000 Remaining $61,500 Current Week $0 Last Week $-1,000

    Total Win/Loss +$15K

    ————

    Taking the shit price. Went back and forth on it. Had to even out the high variance bets on Sam. Unfortunately last weeks win doesn’t count. You may have difficulty finding LET odds. Bet MGM has them.

    *LET - Ladies European Tour. No sanctioned LPGA event this weekend.

  19. #31459
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    How do we not do a Oilers/Avs parlay tonight?

    or Oilers/Carolina?
    Cause AV’s have sooo many injuries. Blue Jackets line has fallen like 50 points since last night. I had to take Jackets +156 W

    Blue Jackets Avs over total 5.5 now that I think of it. W

    I did Hawks Canes 1P over W just off psuOtto numbers. Wish I had 5.5 over but missed it. Maybe live.

    I did the side Canes -140 W but I’m a little concerned by that low number. Nothing about it feels or acts right.


    Degen juices coursing thru my veins now.
    You can get almost 4:1 on a Blue Jackets ML & game over 5.5 parlay. W
    I avoided the Oilers/Avs parlay, thanks. Didn't have enough courage to take the Blue Jackets.

    Eichel is gone (finally). Buffalo +160. I don't view Seattle as a -180 team against anyone in the league. DO NOT release the Kraken tonight.

    Islanders -130.

  20. #31460
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Bets for Nov 1 -Nov 7(Week 14)

    New

    Portugal Majors 1K Sam Horsfield to win +3000, $500(L -$500) Horsfield 1st Round Leader

    LET Saudi - L Ko 2K +400

    Start $50,000 Remaining $61,500 Current Week $-$500 Last Week $-1,000

    Total Win/Loss +$14.5K

    ————

    Good news is Lydia finally got off to a good start and is tied for the lead. Bad news is the first round bet for Horsefield is dust. It was a high variance bet. But he’s the type of guy who can go super low. 7 birdies/4 bogeys.

    He is still in this tournament. When I sweat these bets that are not televised, I typically will put the threesome alone and that way when a score updates for one, I know it will soon for the other. In a cruel twist of fate the guy who had this ridiculous 10 under round was paired with Horsefield, and when he went to 3 under after 7 my blurry eyes though it was Horsfield at first. Anyways I do feel this is an outlier and he will come back to the pack. We do see these on the Euro Tour from time to time. Guy is ranked 400th or so in the world.

    Be nice if Lydia can continue to play well and get me a rebate on all those close calls.

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