Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #31321
    Silver Sandwich's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Penguins vs Tampa

    Penguins seems like stealing if the projected goalies are confirmed. Have established a small position +113.
    Is Vasilevsky not back? I thought they started Elliott against the Sabres only because of back-to-back games. (?)

    If Elliott is confirmed I may jump on the Penguins at + money too!

  2. #31322
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sandwich View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Penguins vs Tampa

    Penguins seems like stealing if the projected goalies are confirmed. Have established a small position +113.
    Is Vasilevsky not back? I thought they started Elliott against the Sabres only because of back-to-back games. (?)

    If Elliott is confirmed I may jump on the Penguins at + money too!
    I’m not thrilled with Vasilevsky this year. He has a negative GSAA (think WAR). He strikes no particular fear in my (dark) heart.


    Also keep your eyes peeled on my Florida Panthers. Their coach might be getting the axe despite them being 6-0 because he was involved in the assault scandals that are getting heads to roll in Chicago. Great Panthers PL empty net win last night for me and my cardiologist. Got me some sweet sweet live wagering lovin’ too

    If you are over 45 I would recommend packing a go bag

  3. #31323
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Hate to muck up my playoff success with a flip but I took Braves +123 small.

  4. #31324
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    Question

    I jumped off ATL.after L.A. . got onto HOUSTON......in 5!?!

  5. #31325
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Disappointing to start off 0-4 in NBA after my nice baseball season.

    2 very close ones, 2 not-so-close ones.

    Still not good. I haven't had a single pick of the four go as expected. I'll take a day off and come back at this tomorrow or Thursday.

     
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      shoeshine box: man....yes tk a break, I had Clippers ez..1-1. slowly go NBA season.

  6. #31326
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Disappointing to start off 0-4 in NBA after my nice baseball season.

    2 very close ones, 2 not-so-close ones.

    Still not good. I haven't had a single pick of the four go as expected. I'll take a day off and come back at this tomorrow or Thursday.
    Brother are you scared to bet the World Series?

    Saw Braves series price dropping all day, was at +105 right before game last I saw. I personally would have made the Braves a bigger dog than that, though I respect them as a great team. That’s why I am not a bookie though after this first inning. Hope it’s a great series I kind of like both teams. Houston Astros do spring training in WPB, so do the Nationals. When they played in the World Series I watched from a casino in Puerto Rico with a girl who wouldn’t stop talking about how she went to college with Alex bregman and was on the softball team, I said we get it you slept with him

  7. #31327
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Brother there's a difference between being "scared" to bet something, and having a desire to be positive expectation in betting it.

    I do not like betting games with a highly scrutinized line, for the most part. Occasionaly there's an exception, when a highly overrated team is too heavy of a favorite, or where a team with little chance isn't big enough of a dog. However, that doesn't happen often, especially nowadays.

    I don't judge those who wish to bet these games, but I personally choose not to.

     
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      NickyPipes: Scared to death

  8. #31328
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    Red face

    Quote Originally Posted by shoeshine box View Post
    I jumped off ATL.after L.A. . got onto HOUSTON......in 5!?!


    quick and painless....ty

  9. #31329
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    At the risk of going 0-5 to start the season....

    New Orleans +190 vs. Atlanta

  10. #31330
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    Pelicans broke out to a 16 point lead in the 1st. Now they're barely ahead in the 2nd.

    What a failteam.

    I might start doing 1H bets on these dog moneylines. Underdog NBA teams tend to collapse in the second half a lot.

  11. #31331
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Pelicans broke out to a 16 point lead in the 1st. Now they're barely ahead in the 2nd.

    What a failteam.

    I might start doing 1H bets on these dog moneylines. Underdog NBA teams tend to collapse in the second half a lot.
    Brother you are so negative, it probably holds you back in life. Did you ever think of that?

    You have a 2-1 dog and you’re up at the half at home. That is something to be positive about brother. I think you will win. Good luck.

  12. #31332
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Pelicans broke out to a 16 point lead in the 1st. Now they're barely ahead in the 2nd.

    What a failteam.

    I might start doing 1H bets on these dog moneylines. Underdog NBA teams tend to collapse in the second half a lot.
    There are a few teams in sports I don’t ever touch. The Pelicans are one of them. At least you bet them as a dog, which is about the only thing to do with them. Team is baffling and I don’t think I’ve won a bet on them in two years. I truly hate that team.

    If I had to bet them, I’d probably be best to bet against whatever I think they’re going to do. If they look like they might be getting it together, bet against them. If they seem sure to lose, take them. They are that strange.

    Hopefully they pull it out for you.

  13. #31333
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yeah didn't win.

    Pelicans actually took a 5 point lead in the 4th, then gave it up quickly.

    There was a bad non-foul-call with 8.5s left in the game, with Pelicans up 100-99, which basically iced it.

    Had I bet the spread or 1H, I would've won.

    Sad!

  14. #31334
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Seriously, after watching/following the Blazers so far, I'm not betting NBA at all for a bit. Shits all over the place.

  15. #31335
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Pelicans broke out to a 16 point lead in the 1st. Now they're barely ahead in the 2nd.

    What a failteam.

    I might start doing 1H bets on these dog moneylines. Underdog NBA teams tend to collapse in the second half a lot.
    There are a few teams in sports I don’t ever touch. The Pelicans are one of them. At least you bet them as a dog, which is about the only thing to do with them. Team is baffling and I don’t think I’ve won a bet on them in two years. I truly hate that team.

    If I had to bet them, I’d probably be best to bet against whatever I think they’re going to do. If they look like they might be getting it together, bet against them. If they seem sure to lose, take them. They are that strange.

    Hopefully they pull it out for you.
    I bet NO season wins U37.5 due to analysis of Bill Simmons. His main rationale is that Zion wouldn't be back anytime soon, and the team would be bad without him, and so far seems to be holding up.

  16. #31336
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    Been on a bit of an NBA heater recently. Been fading Lakers, Clippers and bottom feeding teams like Orlando and Detroit; and generally working out. I assume at some point the books will adjust and that will be that. But if it aint broke not going to fix it.

  17. #31337
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Been on a bit of an NBA heater recently. Been fading Lakers, Clippers and bottom feeding teams like Orlando and Detroit; and generally working out. I assume at some point the books will adjust and that will be that. But if it aint broke not going to fix it.

    From the NBA thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I faded Lakers vs Suns last matchup. It was a pk. Lulz. 30 point beat down with fights and dysfunction. I then started fading upcoming games and ended up accidentally betting Nets -1 vs Lakers on Christmas.
    I’m no NBA guy but we aren’t talking about subtle dysfunction where you gotta be an insider to appreciate the subtle cues. No, there are Lakers teammates involved in fistfights and arguments. Plus, you have the LeBron thing that attracts the casuals and ploppies. Classic overhyped fade candidate

    Druff wrote about his experience with Los Angeles acquaintances who forecast great things for the Lakers.

    I’m still laughing at myself how I bet against the Lakers on Dec 25th by accident. Didn’t even look that closely. Offer me a Lakers game and I’ll auto fade them.

  18. #31338
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    If you could tolerate watching the Lakers you woulda made a fortune live. The Laker believers and bargain hunters got murdered.

    Actually watching trash NBA is too high a price to pay though.

  19. #31339
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    If you could tolerate watching the Lakers you woulda made a fortune live. The Laker believers and bargain hunters got murdered.

    Actually watching trash NBA is too high a price to pay though.
    I bet OKC -1.5 for 2nd half (they were down 16 at the time I believe). At no point in 2nd half was that cover ever in doubt.

  20. #31340
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    From the NBA thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I faded Lakers vs Suns last matchup. It was a pk. Lulz. 30 point beat down with fights and dysfunction. I then started fading upcoming games and ended up accidentally betting Nets -1 vs Lakers on Christmas.
    I’m no NBA guy but we aren’t talking about subtle dysfunction where you gotta be an insider to appreciate the subtle cues. No, there are Lakers teammates involved in fistfights and arguments. Plus, you have the LeBron thing that attracts the casuals and ploppies. Classic overhyped fade candidate

    Druff wrote about his experience with Los Angeles acquaintances who forecast great things for the Lakers.

    I’m still laughing at myself how I bet against the Lakers on Dec 25th by accident. Didn’t even look that closely. Offer me a Lakers game and I’ll auto fade them.
    I bet hawks +1 and nets +1 for Christmas. I think it very likely both teams are favored by Christmas and I can arbitrage if I want.

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