Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #31241
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,167
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Special shout out to the Gay Pride Dodgers.

    They know precisely who they are starting and who will follow the opener. They have even prepared the post game press conference that addresses today’s loss and why Mary Hart should remain optimistic.



    Name:  A3FABA1A-DB69-45AA-A571-1D0BFDDB6A00.jpeg
Views: 229
Size:  14.5 KB

  2. #31242
    Bronze
    Reputation
    49
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Posts
    226
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Today I went with the blanket unders idea and some sides, here is the card:

    Hawks -2
    Hawks under 224.5
    Bucks +2.5
    Bucks under 224
    Warriors -3
    Warriors under 228


    gl

  3. #31243
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,167
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Dodgers gonna bullpen. We knew that. Opening with Evil Knebel.

    Let’s start with this.

    Dodgers pitcher Julio Urias visibly showed up Gavin Lux over his poor effort in center field

    Name:  56A5F898-28CC-485F-BA43-A0F9538417FB.png
Views: 194
Size:  820.2 KB


    I think the Dodgers have quit. The attitude is poor and turning inward. They are tired and mismanaged (whole org not just Roberts). They know this iteration of the Dodgers and this chapter is coming to an end.


    Plus money Braves with Max Fried? This is an example of the sharp playoff handicapping from the books Druff preaches about? LOL
    The only question is has LA quit on the Dodgers? I saw the fans streaming out of the stadium before the 9th. I think they have. Imagine Atlanta’s mood in contrast.

    As you know, normally we wait for the dumb Los Angeles money. If we like the Dodgers we try to bet before LA wakes up. Dodger always are lined heavily in their favor. The Dodger tax. Yeah, playoffs are so tough to beat cause razor sharp lines - c’mon Druff…. not how sportsbooks operate.

    Now I am holding a 16:1 Dodgers Red Sox World Series matchup and that would be nice but that’s in the past.

    Baseball - 919 Atlanta Braves +100 for 1st 5 Innings
    Baseball - 919 Atlanta Braves +127 for Game

    If Dodger money comes in (it won’t) we take another helping.

  4. #31244
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,167
    Load Metric
    67300737
    I am pumping out nonsense in volume here. My time is valuable Simpdog. I ask for very little in return.

    Let’s dish those NHL picks.

  5. #31245
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1961
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,568
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Carolina money line

    Oilers -1.5

     
    Comments
      
      Sanlmar: Thank you.
      
      d1sposition: simp-wise

  6. #31246
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,167
    Load Metric
    67300737
    The useless fucking Todgers started Kelly not Knebel.

    I can’t believe it.

    AAAAAAARRRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!


    My bets are gonna get cancelled.


    I hope they lose 30-0 those cock suckers. It’s gonna be hard not to tilt. I am so upset

     
    Comments
      
      shoeshine box: hindsight is 20/20 ACTION goes AS IS is for chumps...PITCHERS as LISTED was correct
      
      Kalam: San. I'll honor all those bets if you still want to make them. :/

  7. #31247
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    67300737
    I took SMU -13, which seemed like the right play as they quickly got a 24 point lead. But then inexplicably after getting behind so much there was no chance to win, Tulane decided to throw the kitchen sink just to try to cover. So far in 2nd half we have a fake FG, going for it repeatedly on 4th down in their own side of field and a successful onside kick. WTF? So they are going to lose by 10 instead of 20. What is going on here?

  8. #31248
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    420
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,767
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    I took SMU -13, which seemed like the right play as they quickly got a 24 point lead. But then inexplicably after getting behind so much there was no chance to win, Tulane decided to throw the kitchen sink just to try to cover. So far in 2nd half we have a fake FG, going for it repeatedly on 4th down in their own side of field and a successful onside kick. WTF? So they are going to lose by 10 instead of 20. What is going on here?
    You definitely have a sweat, but I think you will be ok. But college is tricky in the 4th quarter, I cannot tell you how many times I have been burned in the last two minutes with a freak interception, fumble for six, etc.. Of course, I have also been rewarded as well, goes both ways I guess.

  9. #31249
    Rest In Peace
    Reputation
    142
    Join Date
    Jun 2015
    Posts
    930
    Load Metric
    67300737

    Exclamation

    I shall deposit this Pick/NFL here on a Thursday so it is a hidden Gem Sun night or un-seen eyesore Sun eve....

    Money line Parlay

    NY JETS a Good Spot for a upset...I like the 7 line. it is boding and begging for a DOG straight up W.

    Parlay with

    INDIANOPOLIS Colts

    50/585 shd be about right.....

    good luck.

  10. #31250
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    I took SMU -13, which seemed like the right play as they quickly got a 24 point lead. But then inexplicably after getting behind so much there was no chance to win, Tulane decided to throw the kitchen sink just to try to cover. So far in 2nd half we have a fake FG, going for it repeatedly on 4th down in their own side of field and a successful onside kick. WTF? So they are going to lose by 10 instead of 20. What is going on here?
    You definitely have a sweat, but I think you will be ok. But college is tricky in the 4th quarter, I cannot tell you how many times I have been burned in the last two minutes with a freak interception, fumble for six, etc.. Of course, I have also been rewarded as well, goes both ways I guess.
    I guess when you are 1-5 with no hope for a bowl covering 13 points against a ranked team is your SB. I could have taken Tulane +3 at halftime. That is really what I should have done. That is clearly massively EV, given how these teams are playing. But there was no indication Tulane was going to treat the 4th Q of a blowout like this. Who the hell does a fake FG on 4th and 7 and an onside kick when they are down 20 points?

  11. #31251
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    420
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,767
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Quote Originally Posted by shoeshine box View Post
    I shall deposit this Pick/NFL here on a Thursday so it is a hidden Gem Sun night or un-seen eyesore Sun eve....

    Money line Parlay

    NY JETS a Good Spot for a upset...I like the 7 line. it is boding and begging for a DOG straight up W.

    Parlay with

    INDIANOPOLIS Colts

    50/585 shd be about right.....

    good luck.
    I think the Colts might be ready for a playoff run, in that they might peel off 4 wins a row and be neck and neck with Tennessee. Jets, I dunno, this teams just screams 3 wins max, but yeah any NFL team can cover a 7. You'll earn this parlay for sure, going to be a sweat but doable.

     
    Comments
      
      shoeshine box: and it Pay$!

  12. #31252
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    420
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,767
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post

    You definitely have a sweat, but I think you will be ok. But college is tricky in the 4th quarter, I cannot tell you how many times I have been burned in the last two minutes with a freak interception, fumble for six, etc.. Of course, I have also been rewarded as well, goes both ways I guess.
    I guess when you are 1-5 with no hope for a bowl covering 13 points against a ranked team is your SB. I could have taken Tulane +3 at halftime. That is really what I should have done. That is clearly massively EV, given how these teams are playing. But there was no indication Tulane was going to treat the 4th Q of a blowout like this. Who the hell does a fake FG on 4th and 7 and an onside kick when they are down 20 points?
    You have a 9 point buffer as of 9 minutes left. You should be in good shape, but yeah, I get the sweat, Tulane gets a quick score and somehow manages a field goal at the end, SMU takes a knee and you are short. It happens all the time. I usually get burned on over/under, but I have to be honest I had an interception return with 20 seconds left which got me over on a certain loss a few weeks ago. Good luck!

  13. #31253
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post

    I guess when you are 1-5 with no hope for a bowl covering 13 points against a ranked team is your SB. I could have taken Tulane +3 at halftime. That is really what I should have done. That is clearly massively EV, given how these teams are playing. But there was no indication Tulane was going to treat the 4th Q of a blowout like this. Who the hell does a fake FG on 4th and 7 and an onside kick when they are down 20 points?
    You have a 9 point buffer as of 9 minutes left. You should be in good shape, but yeah, I get the sweat, Tulane gets a quick score and somehow manages a field goal at the end, SMU takes a knee and you are short. It happens all the time. I usually get burned on over/under, but I have to be honest I had an interception return with 20 seconds left which got me over on a certain loss a few weeks ago. Good luck!
    I think I am gonna need Tulane to turn the ball over. I dont see how they dont score 2 TDs otherwise in the last 7 minutes the way these teams are playing. Anything is possible, but still kicking myself on not taking Tulane +3 at half.

    Refs have called 3 personal fouls on SMU in the last couple minutes. Looks like the refs are in on it. I am calling it now, if SMU gets anything going on the next drive the refs are going to call a penalty to kill the drive. Guaranteed. Sucks.

  14. #31254
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    420
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,767
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post

    You have a 9 point buffer as of 9 minutes left. You should be in good shape, but yeah, I get the sweat, Tulane gets a quick score and somehow manages a field goal at the end, SMU takes a knee and you are short. It happens all the time. I usually get burned on over/under, but I have to be honest I had an interception return with 20 seconds left which got me over on a certain loss a few weeks ago. Good luck!
    I think I am gonna need Tulane to turn the ball over. I dont see how they dont score 2 TDs otherwise in the last 7 minutes the way these teams are playing. Anything is possible, but still kicking myself on not taking Tulane +3 at half.

    Refs have called 3 personal fouls on SMU in the last couple minutes. Looks like the refs are in on it. Sucks.
    You'll go crazy second guessing halftimes, they are always a sucker bet. Stay away from them. Yes, I do them in the heat of the moment, they rarely pay off. Best to stick with the opening line and ride it.

     
    Comments
      
      Tellafriend: so much wisdom here

  15. #31255
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post

    I think I am gonna need Tulane to turn the ball over. I dont see how they dont score 2 TDs otherwise in the last 7 minutes the way these teams are playing. Anything is possible, but still kicking myself on not taking Tulane +3 at half.

    Refs have called 3 personal fouls on SMU in the last couple minutes. Looks like the refs are in on it. Sucks.
    You'll go crazy second guessing halftimes, they are always a sucker bet. Stay away from them. Yes, I do them in the heat of the moment, they rarely pay off. Best to stick with the opening line and ride it.

    Yep. Last week I bet 2 second halfs on games I had bet the game and was in great shape to give myself massive middles, and lost both second halves and easily covered the game bets.

    Also UNLV +5

  16. #31256
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,167
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Obviously Druff went to the game

  17. #31257
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,167
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    NFL ploppy stories

    Teaser W
    Football - 309 Denver Broncos +7½ for Game
    Football - 309 Denver Broncos/Cleveland Browns under 47 for Game

    It checks all the ploppy boxes
    X Teasing points
    X Same game teaser
    X Public as fuck Cleveland injury fade
    X NFL

    Thats 4X just like my condom size. Yeah, right. Totally a cuck bet.

    Gonna need some more hockey Simp if I am to stay liquid. None of that 3-1 stuff. Sharpen your skates
    So my ploppy parlay won.

    Simpdog standard 2-0

    The Dodgers make sure my losing bets are cancelled before the first pitch.


    Great day but of course, everything I win will go to my therapist.

    5 hours after the game Druff is still in traffic.

     
    Comments
      
      simpdog: 4BET: Awful kid, Go back to school. Try next year
      
      JeffDime: Plop win Rep. Rep the Rep Rep for Simp.
      
      Kalam: You could have done a 3 game teaser and teased Cleveland through the 0. Left money on the table. :)
      
      d1sposition: classy ploppy teaser

  18. #31258
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1961
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,568
    Load Metric
    67300737
    4BET does not rep on winning posts.

     
    Comments
      
      JeffDime: He can do has he pleases but I will always offset in this thread. San prob will too. So his tomato is actually +EV for the Rep.

  19. #31259
    Silver Sandwich's Avatar
    Reputation
    66
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    974
    Load Metric
    67300737
    UFC Fight Night 196 on ESPN+ at Apex in Las Vegas. Prelims start at 1pm Eastern Saturday….

    Zviad Lazishvili -125, 1u
    Livia Renata Souza -125, 1u
    Jeff Molina -160, 1u
    Khama Worthy +155, 1u
    Tabatha Ricci -240, 2u
    David Onama +360, .75u
    Gregory Rodrigues -105, 1u
    Parlay Villanueva, D. Grant & M. Vettori +950, .5u

     
    Comments
      
      simpdog: the ufc announcers should check your posts for pre game thoughts

  20. #31260
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
    Reputation
    2027
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,915
    Load Metric
    67300737
    Started out really hot in the NBA, so I’m sure I’ll jinx myself here. Have Pacers ML +102 tonight, and Pacers -4 +143. Beal is a little banged up and this is dropping fast. When I went to bet it I had to approve odds changes twice moving against me before I got it in. I assume he will go, but I liked Pacers before it became more questionable. Any of these alternate lines I’m always at maybe a quarter of a unit at most on. As I said, Wizards are probably a lock now that I’m posting it, but ok straight up NBA games I’m at five straight and 2-3 on the alternate lines.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 6 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 6 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. Offers of thought on this one needed.
    By son of lockman in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 17
    Last Post: 09-20-2013, 03:54 PM
  2. Sportsbook suggestions
    By Walter Sobchak in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 02-02-2013, 10:04 AM
  3. negotiating compensation from job offers
    By mulva in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 11-12-2012, 08:17 PM
  4. Best Sportsbook on the strip ?
    By FrenchJew in forum Poker Community Discussion
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 06-09-2012, 10:50 AM
  5. Vwls-Props for doing radio and making it interesting!
    By Pokehermaniac in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 9
    Last Post: 06-01-2012, 07:36 PM

Tags for this Thread