Quote Originally Posted by Salty_Aus View Post
Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post


I just linked a guy who has been analyzing the virus since the start in other thread. He said it’s hard to know even for him without blood testing, but he thinks 2-3%, so like 6.6 million to 9.9 million was his best guess given all the work he’s done and some assumption
Something I read the other day from Iceland who have tested a larger percentage of the population then any other country.

They did random tests and figured 50% of all cases are asymptomatic.
Yeah, that was a day ago, so he thinks we are basically catching 1 of 20 at this point. Half being asymptomatic would make sense. That leaves a whole lot being anywhere from mild up to serious. I saw in my demographic 45-54, if you’re admitted, you are 10% to die at that point. Didn’t have number on what percentage of positives lead to hospitalization in same group. That would be more useful. Considering half of vent cases make it, and would be represented in the 90%, but have a lot of lung scarring and other bad effects, not something you want to get admitted over.