Quote Originally Posted by GrenadaRoger View Post
Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

That the Dodgers benefit from a cupcake schedule has been the cornerstone of my argument that the Dodgers regular season success gives false hope.

That I might be wrong is so painful to consider that I am reluctant to look myself.

You made the claim, Grenade. Show me.


.


http://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/



see 3rd order win projection: "offensive and defensive stats adjusted for quality of opponents"

i am interpreting that to mean so far the Dodgers schedule has been difficult and the remaining schedule is easier--perhaps i have that wrong, and if anyone knows exactly i welcome their sharing.

You can slightly infer that from the 2nd and 3rd order columns, but the primary thing those show is a teams "clutch" level....or in reality, their luck on clustering hits. That shows the Dodgers have been the 2nd unluckiest team thus far, with only Oakland worse (and much worse lol). On the flip side, the Twins have been by far the luckiest team. So say Twins-Dodgers had played a 3-game series so far and the box scores went

Game 1 Twins 5 runs off 7 hits
Dodgers 2 runs off 10 hits
Game 2 Twins 4 -6
Dodgers 3-12
Game 3 Twins 1-3
Dodgers 8-14

The twins would have won 2 of the three games, but the underlying stats would show the Dodgers should have won like 2.5.