*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

Definitely making a YUGE bet on Clemson winning it again next year, I dont see anyone even close to these guys..

I’d dial that one down a little bit...... the O will be good but most of the front 7 will be starting week one in the NFL.

and don't underestimate the state of pissed off saban is gonna be after getting his ass handed to him...

plus CLEM is one hit away from not looking this good...Lawrence isn't a scrambler, but he will run...he got lit up in the CUSE game this year, the week Kelly Bryant left and they almost lost to CUSE because he got knocked out...

[BeerAndPoker]

Be very careful tonight Trevor Lawrence and be sure to wrap it up.

No raw dogging it but have fun kiddo.

I can't wait to see how insanely favorite he will be for the Heisman as next years season gets close to the start.

[OSA]

Be very careful tonight Trevor Lawrence and be sure to wrap it up.

No raw dogging it but have fun kiddo.

I can't wait to see how insanely favorite he will be for the Heisman as next years season gets close to the start.

Id put out

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

Be very careful tonight Trevor Lawrence and be sure to wrap it up.

No raw dogging it but have fun kiddo.

I can't wait to see how insanely favorite he will be for the Heisman as next years season gets close to the start.

hes obviously gonna be a fade at whatever price they put him out at...I cant imagine they aren't gonna romp through the ACC again next year unless MIA gets their shit together offensively so Lawrence might get the tua treatment and only play a lotta 3 quarter games, or play all 4 but they might run the hell outta the ball in the 4th....


jt daniels with KKKKliff will be interesting, ehlinger at texas will be interesting, shenault at Colorado is gonna be hella interesting if he has a decent QB (don't know if Montez is coming back), moore at purdue will be interesting if he has a decent QB...tua might be mildly interesting...

[Dan Druff]

Sac at Phoenix - under 227.5

Starting in a few

[Dan Druff]

Sac at Phoenix - under 227.5

Starting in a few

What a sweat.

Won, though...despite a bad first quarter.

[Daly]

It’s always nice to see the real playoff bets start to be posted.

[ErickAA]

hes obviously gonna be a fade at whatever price they put him out at...I cant imagine they aren't gonna romp through the ACC again next year unless MIA gets their shit together offensively so Lawrence might get the tua treatment and only play a lotta 3 quarter games, or play all 4 but they might run the hell outta the ball in the 4th....


jt daniels with KKKKliff will be interesting, ehlinger at texas will be interesting, shenault at Colorado is gonna be hella interesting if he has a decent QB (don't know if Montez is coming back), moore at purdue will be interesting if he has a decent QB...tua might be mildly interesting...

This take didn't age very well. I kinda think this is a bad sign of the talent on the USC offense. I don't think Az is a very good job opportunity, and I am sure he could have gotten better offers in a year or two if USC offense kicked ass. So I wonder if Kingsbury looked at the USC offensive talent and decided to get out while his stock was still (relatively) high.

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

This take didn't age very well. I kinda think this is a bad sign of the talent on the USC offense. I don't think Az is a very good job opportunity, and I am sure he could have gotten better offers in a year or two if USC offense kicked ass. So I wonder if Kingsbury looked at the USC offensive talent and decided to get out while his stock was still (relatively) high.

I think the take is fine...he had a chance to jump to the NFL...daniels is a top rated QB and they have a decent WR core...this is kingsbury...in college as long as he has halfway decent talent, his offenses are going to be explosive...its tough to talk about his offense this year as he lost his 1st and 2nd string QBs for decent chunks of the year and his 3rd string guy was more of a runner than a passer...and his team still threw for 4200 yards...you have to look at what he did offensively with what he had...I don't know if mahomes was highly rated coming outta HS, but he turned manziel into a Heisman winner...im sure klay helton coulda gone into any living room in America and said to a skill offensive player, 'yeah you get to play for this guy'...there would be no shortage of kids looking to play for him...

the AZ opportunity is interesting...supposedly rosen had an NFL IQ coming into the pros, but that offensive situation was complete shit in AZ last year...im sure kingsbury figures he can mold rosen into a great NFL QB or he wouldn't have taken the job...two years is a great unknown...what jobs are gonna open up? will those jobs have an established, young QB or will the team be drafting a QB? will that be a QB that can work well with a spread offense? he knows what he has in rosen and he has david Johnson who they fucked up in using last year...

EDIT: I think a lot of his success hinges on him finding a defensive yoda like mcvey has in wade phillips...so watch that DC hire there...greg Williams possibly since hes not being retained by the browns? that's the only guy that comes to mind that can totally take the defense completely off his hands to let him do his magic with the offense...

[ErickAA]

Rosen was always hurt at UCLA and was banged up a lot this year. I think he is going to keep getting injured and not amount to much. Time will tell.

[Sanlmar]

Simpdog, you really retired? The Russia Canada bet really pissed you off, it appears.

NHL has been god. I’m only following 4 teams and 2 face off tonight.

1st period overs have been insane.

Lightning have gone OVER the 1st period total in 18 straight, and are 35-8 O/U in the 1st period on this season.

Columbus (30-12 O/U 1st period) tonight and I'm seeing OVER 1.5 at -170. It’ll be -190 by tonight. Got news for you. You take this. If you lose - you do it AGAIN.

Get on SBR and look at the juice. That pretty much tells you this has been automatic. This has been like Red Sox overs couple years ago, LeBron Cleveland ATS fades - HOF ATM’s

Let me know if you’re alive or not. There are a couple more.

Daly, you book anything for NFL yet? I only have Chargers ML from a while ago.

[simpdog]

Simpdog, you really retired? The Russia Canada bet really pissed you off, it appears.

NHL has been god. I’m only following 4 teams and 2 face off tonight.

1st period overs have been insane.

Lightning have gone OVER the 1st period total in 18 straight, and are 35-8 O/U in the 1st period on this season.

Columbus (30-12 O/U 1st period) tonight and I'm seeing OVER 1.5 at -170. It’ll be -190 by tonight. Got news for you. You take this. If you lose - you do it AGAIN.

Get on SBR and look at the juice. That pretty much tells you this has been automatic. This has been like Red Sox overs couple years ago, LeBron Cleveland ATS fades - HOF ATM’s

Let me know if you’re alive or not. There are a couple more.

Daly, you book anything for NFL yet? I only have Chargers ML from a while ago.

Still here but following plays more than making moves. Needed a reset ended 2018 and started 2019 with a nice losing streak.

Nashville @ Columbus tonight. Bobrovsky sent home for a game over an 'incident'. Take Nashville -110ish while you can.

Edit: Or take the over, and the goalie situation will help your over first period too.

[Sanlmar]

We will post more hockey then.

I previously decided to give NHL a crack and track with segregated money. It all started with your Leafs “from behind” live betting tip.

What I stumbled into was kind of a magical period in the NHL. I didn’t even know the goalie pads were reduced. I’m just betting trends and numbers. It just works. I don’t know shit about anyone and that lack of fundamental thinking has kept things pure.

I heard the buzz about overs early on. I posted a little here. Here’s what’s magical. Nobody really knows what the fuck is going on. Is it variance? Is it the pads? Is it the refs? No one really knows. So not only am I playing a smaller sport but no one can model this shit. Absolute luckbox timing for me.

I posted a love sonnet about Bobrovsky couple weeks ago. It was more of a theory and he really didn’t reward me. Kinda hurt me, in fact. Fuck him. Hit the showers

People must think I’m just fucking around with my Simpdog schtick but a lot of money I have stumbled into over the years has started with you. I think I can read you pretty good. What you really believe vs action. Maybe it’s luck, I don’t care.

Tablet - Hockey - NHL - 8 Nashville Predators/Columbus Blue Jackets over 6 -110 for Game

Tablet - Hockey - NHL - 8 Nashville Predators/Columbus Blue Jackets over 1½ -138 for 1st Period

Tablet - Hockey - NHL - 7 Nashville Predators +101 for Game

And of course ...

Tablet - Hockey - NHL - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs/New Jersey Devils over 1½ -150 for 1st Period


Remember, “when you win, you don’t pay juice”. I keep telling myself that every morning as I see this crazy juice.

That saying is right up there with, “when you bet AGAINST a trend you are only right once.”

[simpdog]

One post and now the adrenaline is flowing. I'll let my GA sponsor know that I won't be at the meeting tonight.

Ottawa @ LA. Both teams are awful. Ottawa won in Vegas + SJ right before Christmas

+190 for Ottawa, also took a bit of +1.5 -135.



I think my main concern was that I usually had a good grasp on Toronto teams. Jays were a moneytruck and safety net for any poor decisions. Leafs right now with Anderson out are like taking on the roulette table. You would think they would be an over machine or fade right now but they're bumping up and down.

Talked myself into some Leafs -160. Bounce back game, and they are better on the road than at home. Young kids like the hotels/restaurants better than ordering Uber Eats.

Ottawa +190
Ottawa +1.5 -135
Leafs -160
Nashville -110 (kind of mad I got a bad line but could be -500 as long as it wins)

[Sanlmar]

One post and now the adrenaline is flowing.

Then you’ll love the ESPN article

The game-day caffeine routine that powers the NBA's most frequent flyers

https://www.google.com/amp/www.espn....3fplatform=amp

This reminded me of my kid playing travel baseball. I had just bought him a car. So he drives to the game early and parks next to his pals. I arrive later and spot his car and walk by. The ground is littered with 5 hour energy containers. Kids were woke

In college you saw all manner of shit. The best one was nicotine gum. - multiple pieces parked between gum and cheek. Chewing tobacco was banned. I tried one and I can easily see getting hooked.

[simpdog]

1-1 down to Ottawa.

Did take Nash over 6 with you as well. Didn’t take first period.

[Sanlmar]

1-1 down to Ottawa.

Did take Nash over 6 with you as well. Didn’t take first period.

Not pretty but no regrets.

1 goal going into 3rd. Finished 7 points and over.

Anybody who considers betting under in NHL should watch the Normandy Beach landing at the beginning of Saving Private Ryan first

[Sanlmar]

If you had Spurs Thunder under 300 - you lost

[Sanlmar]

Nice work with Ottawa Simp. Amazing. Thx

[Sanlmar]

Circa Las Vegas To Open The Largest Sportsbook In The World In 2020

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.the...portsbook/amp/

The pool with the wall of television is pretty good.

Of course, the amenities are headline grabbing but it also looks like they are bringing off-strip level management downtown. (that’s a good thing)

Wish it opened this summer