Thought we were talking Ohio St v Michigan St -3.5Originally Posted by verminaard
It was looking promising for a second until the Ohio QB took a horrible, completely avoidable safety.
Instead it’s 3rd world Ohio
Nvm
Thought we were talking Ohio St v Michigan St -3.5It was looking promising for a second until the Ohio QB took a horrible, completely avoidable safety.
Instead it’s 3rd world Ohio
Nvm
From anecdotal evidence I've been picking up by casual browsing of NBA lines and their results, it has seemed to me that totals lines like 215 are pure AIDS for unders, and should be avoided, even if it appears the play is smart on the surface. Pace of play these days (and the 14 second offensive rebound clock) just makes these too difficult to rely upon going under. In fact, I might start hammering overs on these.
Looks like the smart play right now is to find totals greater than 225, and then see which ones have factors aligning properly to be a +EV under pick, and then go with it.
That's what I did with Chicago today (albeit too late for anyone to grab it besides myself), and it worked well. It was my first decisive NBA under win this year. Prior to this, I was 1-3-1, with the sole win being a lucky one due to trash time in the 4th.
Anyway, that's where I'll be focusing for the time being.
On a side note, I saw a lot of reasons to go with over 239 on the Lakers tonight, but stayed away.
I think those may be too much the other way. Totals like 239 don't hit easily as overs unless everything goes "right" with consistent fast scoring. So if I do pick overs, it won't be on totals like those.
It's the same reason I rarely picked unders last year where the total was below 190.
The NBA has turned into a 3pt shooting contest.
I have had Issues with credit cards in Europe
Yeah that's the other problem
239?
Had to laugh
11/8/2018 12:24:58 AM
DESCRIPTION:
MOBILE - MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES AT LOS ANGELES LAKERS [BASKET PROPS] TOTAL UNDER 225.5
The story is a simple one. T-wolves don’t drive paint. Townes has no courage. Just hoisting 3’s. Teams were hot shooting then they went stone cold.
No risk they would adjust. Nope, keep launching
Easy game. NBA jk
Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-08-2018 at 08:51 AM.
I'm going to keep my eye on the Lakers.239?
Had to laugh
11/8/2018 12:24:58 AM
DESCRIPTION:
MOBILE - MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES AT LOS ANGELES LAKERS [BASKET PROPS] TOTAL UNDER 225.5
The story is a simple one. T-wolves don’t drive paint. Townes has no courage. Just hoisting 3’s. Teams were hot shooting then they went stone cold.
No risk they would adjust. Nope, keep launching
Easy game. NBA jk
They have been under the last 5 in a row all with high totals. If they keep posting 235+ totals then there has to be money there.
Post game, Paul Pierce, Jalen Rose and some other ex pro were talking about Townes. He takes no shots and NOBODY IS IN THE PAINT looking for the ball.I'm going to keep my eye on the Lakers.
They have been under the last 5 in a row all with high totals. If they keep posting 235+ totals then there has to be money there.
The T-Wolves obviously have issues. Jimmy Butler etc. Townes is a spectacular talent and doesn’t assert himself amidst that mess.
Pierce & Rose were talking about how back in the day someone would plant themselves in the paint. “Pass it to me or I’m gonna get called for 3 seconds.” I’m gonna be in the paint every trip and get called every time until you idiots pass me the ball low.
Thought that was funny and spoke volumes about today’s game and some teams.
Verm - where we at tonight pal?
Under 69 in college - normal play, 1 unit
Wake is the second fastest play runner in the NCAA behind Houston. Tonight they taking 30 seconds plus and all runs.
Shit this bet may go up in flames but shit if we ain’t on the right side of it.
I guess over looks good now for nfl
Crazy start for Pitts
GS -225 live bet
Adding gsw+195
Pounding them 3rd quarter too
3rd quarter -4
I see ya dog
11/9/2018 12:08:34 AM
DESCRIPTION:
MOBILE - MILWAUKEE BUCKS AT GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS POINT SPREAD WARRIORS +13.5 -120
Warriors so fucking public
Saw ML 1000
Just grabbed +16 -120
I’m done. Watching total
I just took points that will cover everything else.
Or I just doubled down the pain.
I sense the possibility of Warriors quit
I’m gonna try to unwind from Warriors if I can
Watcha thinkin?
Interesting spot
Edit: I saw +13 here and bailed.
What a disaster.
Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-09-2018 at 12:14 AM.
Sorry, was busy.
I had under 67.5 in CFB and Pittsburgh -3.5
2 easy wins, although had to sweat OT for a little bit.
I'll try to get Friday's plays in early before games start, but I am traveling right now so no guarantee.
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