https://twitter.com/twt/status/1284959157905489925
the new normal for american politics.
macaffee has a legit shot rn.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
This article was in the NYT about a month ago when the Trump campaign was pushing for 4 debates rather than 3. I think it’s obvious the Trump campaign knows he’s trailing yuge and his aids know he needs the debates. I can’t see Biden’s team wanting him to be able to be portrayed in anyway as ducking debates.
Trump clearly wants packed houses where he can feed off the energy, no shot in hell he will get that. My best guess is the Biden campaign will negotiate either 2 or 3 debates, with very limited crowd size due to COVID. Trump will of course attack that directly, through surrogates or re-tweets etc. in the end, Trump will take what he can get. My best guess would be a reduction to two debates with a very limited (possibly just media) crowd. Trump’s (small) hand will be forced.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/18/u...ates-2020.html
They might not even be in the same room.
Because the debates are run by sane people, there's no way they allow a packed auditorium. Sparse socially distanced crowd at best, live by remote is possible. If Trump doesn't agree to that it's his fault and he will look like an asshole (again).
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I know you will just troll or say go fuck yourself but he’s trailing by 8.6% in the latest RCP average. There is no question he underperforms in (most) polls (shout-out Rasmussen). In the last election he was shown trailing in the final RCP average by 3.2% and he ended up losing the popular vote by 2.1%. So the final number was off by 1.1%.
I can go through the unfavorables of Hillary being close to that of Trumps, the fact that he won by just the right amount of votes in just the right states and in general how shitty a campaign she ran. Biden is no powerhouse but his favorables are to the moon when you compare him with Trump. With a near double digit lead, even if we want to give Trump 2% or 3% above the polling rather than the 1.1% from 2016, he can’t win the electoral college with a 5% or so deficit in popular vote.
Things can change but have not for some time. This is just math. Refute it all you want but it looks like Trump’s Toast.
Polls don't take into account the Republicans cheating, foreign exploitation of easily hackable voting machines and lawsuits to shut down counting of absentee ballots or recounts that will be in front of a partisan hack Supreme Court. I'd say it's 60/40 in Trump's favor right now.
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PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
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PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
Joking aside for a moment, my read on dwai is he is mostly a good person but a bit racist, and frustrated by what's happening in the country as most of us are. A lot of us get tribal on the internet, myself included sometimes.
Whereas bottomset is either a tremendous piece of shit or he does a great troll job of pretending to be a tremendous piece of shit.
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