this thread is bananas
Have we come to a conclusion on the value of China's pieces yet?
I write things about poker at my Poker Blog and elsewhere on the Internets
China's deal is unfair for a few reasons:
1) Making a package that includes cash games and tournaments is unfair to the investor. (Cash games don't have the same upside as tournaments, and it gives China the ability to basically dilute your returns from the tournament.)
Ex: Let's say you buy 20% of the package for $2000 (getting 65% of 20%= 13% of the profit). You have essentially bought him into the first tournament and are only entitled to 13% of the winnings?
Short-term staking is supposed to be a +EV lottery ticket. This means you only want to invest in the tournaments. His cash game portion of the deal adds no value; it actually negatively affects the value from an investor's point of view.
2) Claiming that there is make-up is ridiculous. You are playing two tournaments and probably a few hours of cash games. Don't act like your "make-up" adds that much value compared to the deal Druff structured. Make-up is used for long-term staking agreements. That would not apply to this case.
I didn't even mention the 65/35 split...
It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?
It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?
Your deal is terrible. Combining cash games and tournaments on such a short-term deal is obviously great for you, but horrible for an investor. There's no way that LHE cash games provide a better ROI than WSOP events. Also, it gives you too many built-in options. Let's say you strike out in both tournaments. Are you really going to bust your ass to grind back the money you blew on the tournaments before you will ever see a dime? Let's say you cash for $100k in the tournaments. Are you really going to grind out those cash games? No, you'll probably play a few hours and that will be that. That way, you only have to pay out 13% of the winnings (on a 20% investment) from the tournaments instead of 23.6%.
Everyone knows your cash game portion of the deal is a creative way to dilute the returns from the tournaments. How about you offer separate packages. If your ROI from cash games is so great, then people will jump at the opportunity to buy-in to that separate package!
Cash games would provide a better ROI% long term but MTTs are better if you are looking to bink a big win in a short amount of time. Thats what WSOP staking is about. I agree he is throwing the cash in just to make the deal appear better. I also agree that throwing around the word "stakeback" is just a fancy way to muddy the waters for unsuspecting donors.
Also, did you just ninja drop in the 23.6% for LOLZ? Isnt that the exact amount of DD that DD owned?
It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?
You are being very vague on the terms of the cash game portion of the stake. Set some defined hours, and play prior to the tournaments. That way you can't adjust your allocation of time depending on how you do in the tournaments.
As far as the 23.6%, I looked at the percentage you would get if you only invested in the tournaments with 2k (2000/5500 = .3636* .65 = 23.6%), compared to if you invested in the entire package (2000/10000= .20 * .65 = 13%)
It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?
I must admit that I've been confused about this mention of "stakeback" since the offer was announced. Can somebody provide an example -- a simple mathematical hypothetical -- of a deal offering "stakeback" and a deal not offering "stakeback"? (which, in my limited understanding, is just that the staker gets his investment back before "profits" are calculated... well, duh!)
A stakeback is in basically every staking arrangement. I skimmed his thread and I thought I saw someone mention make-up, but apparently I was mistaken.
Let's say someone stakes you for a $10,000 tournament and you agree to split the winnings 60/40. You end up cashing for $50,000
W/ Stakeback:
50,000-10,000= 40,000 * .4 = $16,000 for the person being backed, and $24,000 profit for the backer
W/o stakeback:
50,000 * .4= $20,000 for the person being backed, and $20,000 profit for the backer.
Basically, when you don't have a stakeback and you cash for more than the buy-in, the investor loses out on 40% of the buy-in compared to an arrangement w/ stakeback. (Using the 60/40 split mentioned above.)
So, if you cash 15% of the time, a stakeback adds around 6% per tournament. (Using the same 60/40 split)
Math:
$2,000 tournament, 15% cash rate (assuming the min-cash is > the buy-in, and same 60/40 split in favor of the backer)
$2,000 * .40= $800 * .15= $120 in EV gained by the backer (relative to a non-stakeback deal)
120/2000= 6% per tournament
Last edited by DABADASS; 05-23-2012 at 01:22 PM.
Lol phoneaments
Last edited by lewfather; 05-23-2012 at 01:33 PM.
so why don't you write up a fail blog about it already. Fucking loser.
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