*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

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Originally Posted by NickyPipes

PHILLIES LUNG GAME

Bet as much money as you have access to on the Phillies tonight, 100% chance they win

You think Bryce Harper the greatest player on the game is losing at home tonight?

Pal, Ranger has a date with the Rangers

Phillies vs Rangers is destiny, the Bank will be rocking and the Phillies will win no doubt about it

WE ARE TALKING ABOUT THE FIGHTINS! THE FIGHTINS!

SAID! SAID!

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Harper is an animal. He is what Trout never became. Trout seems fine with it too. Ughhh

I wrote a while back that I had been using Phillies in every chalky parlay and such. I had them -170 before the series. It seemed “free” as the noobs like to say. When I look at my open bets it’s an endless list. Then Kimbrel coughed up 2 games etc etc.

Last night I decided not to hedge. Yeah, I think Phillies win but DBacks Pfaadt is gonna be an ace someday. A rookie on the road though in the playoffs. In Philadelphia whose fans are insane. We will see.

Remember to look at PsuOtto twitter @simpdog. He’s got some under ideas.

Last night before I looked at Psu (I forgot) I bet

Dal/Pit un 1P +105

Canes/TBL o 6.5 -120

GIFT Parlay Edm/Min & Carolina/TBL +164.

I never did anything as sick as a GIFT parlay but Psu has taken GIFT sickness to the stratosphere. The statistics dare you not to ride the trend.

I have an hour to look for more ways to lose money.

There is a sports blackout tomorrow. Make this count

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Originally Posted by simpdog

NHL 10/24 giving First periods a shot

Anaheim/CBJ under 1.5 +115
Arizona/LA under 1.5 +120

Edm/Min over 1.5 -160

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Our favorite blackjack player Evander Kane moved up to the 1st line and PP1 so I took a rare anytime goal scorer prop +230.

I also parlayed with the 1P over for +310 …. ok I see we are developing a problem

@San , looks like DK addressed more of your issues.... i think you said something about this also a few days ago?

@1dollarboxcar

That’s something I wasn’t aware of. I never read the messages.

Can’t tell you how many times I forget to select SGP. SGPs with alt lines have been good to me.

DK is far and away the best app.

I’ve drifted back to BOL. Stone Age tools. You can’t even combine live game with preflop lines cause it’s two different companies in a way. The live service is a contracted.

BOL live service shuts off a live line during a fly ball now. It’s a new contractor the past year or two.

It’s still good to have them as an out. Sometimes you find a nice price


They offered to send me swag the other day. See what hideous t shirt I get.

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

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Originally Posted by simpdog

NHL 10/24 giving First periods a shot

Anaheim/CBJ under 1.5 +115
Arizona/LA under 1.5 +120

Edm/Min over 1.5 -160

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Our favorite blackjack player Evander Kane moved up to the 1st line and PP1 so I took a rare anytime goal scorer prop +230.

I also parlayed with the 1P over for +310 …. ok I see we are developing a problem

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Maybe there aren't any casinos in the area. I know McDavid is out with injury but did Draisaitl decide he wasn't going to put up his usual 3 pts ?

Blew the Arizona game should have been a no bet due to no Vejmelka


2-1 ain’t bad but that’s just a brutal mistake

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Originally Posted by simpdog

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Our favorite blackjack player Evander Kane moved up to the 1st line and PP1 so I took a rare anytime goal scorer prop +230.✅

I also parlayed with the 1P over for +310 ✅ …. ok I see we are developing a problem

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Maybe there aren't any casinos in the area. I know McDavid is out with injury but did Draisaitl decide he wasn't going to put up his usual 3 pts ?

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Kane got a Power Play goal in the 3rd. The pick was more than a dart throw. McDavid’s injury was nothing but a positive for Kane and the books were slow to adjust

LeftWingLock @Simp - line change news

The Simpdog did well too I see.

NFL quad

Colts
Vikings
Texans -3
Dolphins -9

So ill start to track a few of these here. Expect these to work for a few more weeks as the house slowly adjusts.

Bs under 6
Jets Over 6.5
Rangers Over 6.5

Looking at
Islanders under 6
Flyers under 6
(Both of these would/should have been listed at 6.5 but it seems like the house isn't just blindly throwing up averages).
Lightning over 6.5 (sharks never score)
Hurricanes over 6.5 (only one home game)
Pitt under 6.5
Stars under 6.5
Flames under 6

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Originally Posted by Daly

Flyers under 6
(Both of these would/should have been listed at 6.5 but it seems like the house isn't just blindly throwing up averages).

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I suspect it has to do with Gustavsson giving up 7 goals to Toronto last week lol. I'll look into that more.

NHL 1p : 2-1, +1.15

Ana/Bos under 1.5 -105
StL/Cgy under 1.5 -105
Tor/Dallas under 1.5 +115


Oilers/Rangers over 1.5 -125

The Boston no GIFT +124 can be argued from our short sample size.

I’m just about to push button and enter a new level of degeneracy. Has anyone EVER no gift since the Obama years?

Ducks, Yotes, Bruins fewest GIFts …

I did it. It’s like having 10 mins to disable a bomb.

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

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Originally Posted by Daly

Flyers under 6
(Both of these would/should have been listed at 6.5 but it seems like the house isn't just blindly throwing up averages).

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I suspect it has to do with Gustavsson giving up 7 goals to Toronto last week lol. I'll look into that more.

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Yeah not exactly stellar play. This has more to do with the flyers games playing snug at home.

Phoenix Suns +6 at LA Lakers.... Suns beat Golden State straight up at GS the other night as dogs also...

edit: sorry... also Lebron is gonna be on a minutes restricted schedule....

if you don't have amazon prime ( like me ) and would like to watch the NFL game tonight use this link https://nfl-streams.xyz/

FAIR WARNING IT IS A BIT SPAMMY AT FIRST .... you will get a few pop ups the first couple of times you attempt to play it....

DO NOT CLICK THE HD LINK.... just click or press right in the middle where the game is advertised..... it always works for me after the 2nd attempt and closing out the popups....

i imagine this would be nice for people outside the USA also....

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

The Boston no GIFT +124 ✅ can be argued from our short sample size.

I’m just about to push button and enter a new level of degeneracy. Has anyone EVER no gift since the Obama years?

Ducks, Yotes, Bruins fewest GIFts …

I did it. It’s like having 10 mins to disable a bomb.

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Originally Posted by Daly

Lightning over 6.5 (sharks never score)

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i didn't mean literally….

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Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar

Phoenix Suns +6 at LA Lakers.... Suns beat Golden State straight up at GS the other night as dogs also...

edit: sorry... also Lebron is gonna be on a minutes restricted schedule....

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a little closer than i liked but it was Lakers 100 Suns 95.... Suns pretty much had control the whole game even had a 12 point lead to start the 4th

but we goin Sizzler anyways....

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Originally Posted by Daly

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Originally Posted by Daly

Lightning over 6.5 (sharks never score)

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i didn't mean literally….

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6-0 TBL

The humanity.

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Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar

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Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar

Phoenix Suns +6 at LA Lakers.... Suns beat Golden State straight up at GS the other night as dogs also...

edit: sorry... also Lebron is gonna be on a minutes restricted schedule....

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a little closer than i liked but it was Lakers 100 Suns 95.... Suns pretty much had control the whole game even had a 12 point lead to start the 4th

but we goin Sizzler anyways....

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By way of explanation. I resolved to abstain from spread betting NBA and I’ve been sober for over 2 years with few exceptions.

My place in heaven improved further when I backed off NFL.

I hate money. Let me prove it to you

My book gave me a free minimum 4 leg parlay for $50. In honor of tellafriend’s multi-leg parlay heartbreaks last weekend. , we will see which game fucks me. I took it out to 6.

Parlay (6 Picks)0 of 6 settled
Oct 26 • 2023 At 01:52:20 AM
Ticket ID: 6350039682
Moneyline: Oklahoma @ -400
Oklahoma @ Kansas
Moneyline: Oregon @ -245
Oregon @ Utah
Moneyline: Georgia @ -625
Georgia vs Florida
Moneyline: USC @ -435
USC @ California
Moneyline: Oregon State @ -157
Oregon State @ Arizona
Moneyline: Fresno State @ -275
UNLV @ Fresno State
Odds:
+465

I’m guessing Oregon state fucks me. They’re better, but I don’t grasp why it’s only -3.5. Feels more like it should be -6.

Qatar Masters Live (Suspended Round 2). Robert MacIntyre 4-1. Tees off in 6 hours. Price isn’t great. If you have profit boosts or bonus bets these are where you can get a little extra value. Bogey free so far just seems like he’s pretty locked in.

Can someone please tell me why Cinci have gone to +5 v 49ers, doesn’t seem to make sense given injury doubts especially

Purdue +105 at Nebraska
Southern Mississippi +16.5 -110 at Appalachian State

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Originally Posted by JeffDime

Qatar Masters Live (Suspended Round 2). Robert MacIntyre 4-1. Tees off in 6 hours. Price isn’t great. If you have profit boosts or bonus bets these are where you can get a little extra value. Bogey free so far just seems like he’s pretty locked in.

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Sorry to bring you guys into the torture chamber. All that work and things just all seem to derail on me towards the end. Middle of the fairway on 15 and be lucky to get double. It hasn’t been my year to say the least. In all honesty I may be walking away and just stopping. It’s not a snap decision I’ve been giving it some real thought. I have a knack for golf handicapping…I know I do. But it’s still gambling.

Thing with golf is you will lose much more than you win. You have to get used to losing. No matter what fashion you lose in you have to resist making tilt bets. You just have to take it. That’s not unique to golf but it what is. Especially handicapping all the tours across the globe it’s just taken its toll on me financially and as I get older physically. Last week I made tilt bets and of course got max punished and lost them all. It just is not good for my overall health. Of course as they say “winning cures everything”. But there just haven’t been enough of those lately.

My real strength is mainly consuming golf tournaments and content as much as humanly possible. I have to be all in or all out. I am much more of a feel better than a stats guy. I truly enjoy putting some winning picks here and sharing it with others. I really don’t have an ego about it. But if I continue to post infrequently here or even decide for a lifestyle the reason is because I’ve just decided to stop or take a break.

GL to all. Mac can still win this. Has to come back early morning to finish his round. But man it leaves a bad taste in your mouth to end on that note after not getting much sleep for weeks betting all this shit.

This thread has so many great posters. Very thoughtful and insightful stuff. You won’t find better free info anywhere. Unfortunately I’ve been so preoccupied with the golf I haven’t been able to participate as much as I would like.

Yes , this is sports betting it’s not warfare. I’m lucky to have been able to do it. But bottom line it has effected me and i may have to make some strong decisions. Really going up on two years of really fighting. That’s just too long to be fighting variance.

BTW I still haven’t won a playoff since I won the 7 man with Kisner. I have lost at least my last ten. Most hav been 2 person like the shady J Ko loss a few weeks ago. And of course the Aberg loss was a 5 man so can’t complain about that one. But that’s not been a fun experience to say the least.

My advice bet the other guys picks. GG

Jeff

The “good ones” take seasons and groups of time off all the time. You cant give what it takes to be successful at sportsbetting 365 days a year.

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Originally Posted by BCR

My book gave me a free minimum 4 leg parlay for $50. In honor of tellafriend’s multi-leg parlay heartbreaks last weekend. , we will see which game fucks me. I took it out to 6.

Parlay (6 Picks)0 of 6 settled
Oct 26 • 2023 At 01:52:20 AM
Ticket ID: 6350039682
Moneyline: Oklahoma @ -400
Oklahoma @ Kansas
Moneyline: Oregon @ -245
Oregon @ Utah
Moneyline: Georgia @ -625
Georgia vs Florida
Moneyline: USC @ -435
USC @ California
Moneyline: Oregon State @ -157
Oregon State @ Arizona
Moneyline: Fresno State @ -275
UNLV @ Fresno State
Odds:
+465

I’m guessing Oregon state fucks me. They’re better, but I don’t grasp why it’s only -3.5. Feels more like it should be -6.

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Was able to cancel my free bet after talking to a sharp guy and AZ was one of his top 2 picks this weekend. Purdue was his other, which Druff has.

So we just added in Duke with some extra points and went with garden variety 7 team free parlay.

Moneyline: Oklahoma @ -375
Oklahoma @ Kansas
Point Spread: Duke +8.0 @ -159
Duke @ Louisville
Moneyline: Oregon @ -240
Oregon @ Utah
Moneyline: Georgia @ -590
Georgia vs Florida
Moneyline: USC @ -400
USC @ California
Moneyline: Fresno State @ -360
UNLV @ Fresno State
Moneyline: Kansas State @ -1000
Houston @ Kansas State
Odds:
+505


As far as real bets, I’m going to ride with Purdue ML +100

Going Zona +134
Might put a little on -1.5 if i feel the need for speed.

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Purdue +105 at Nebraska
Southern Mississippi +16.5 -110 at Appalachian State

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As usual, I split my NCAAF picks.

I've had so many weeks where I was 3-3, 4-4, 2-2, etc. Now I went 1-1.

Purdue was shit the entire game.

Southern Miss actually was winning OUTRIGHT most of the way, and then collapsed in the 4th quarter. I was impressed with how long they held on, as the heavy underdog. Fortunately there wasn't enough time for the collapse to bring them down 17, and they ended up losing 48-38, thus covering.

Looking at Green Bay right now as a likely NFL pick.

We did Baltimore (no spread) on the Circa Survivor contest week 8.

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Purdue +105 at Nebraska
Southern Mississippi +16.5 -110 at Appalachian State

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As usual, I split my NCAAF picks.

I've had so many weeks where I was 3-3, 4-4, 2-2, etc. Now I went 1-1.

Purdue was shit the entire game.

Southern Miss actually was winning OUTRIGHT most of the way, and then collapsed in the 4th quarter. I was impressed with how long they held on, as the heavy underdog. Fortunately there wasn't enough time for the collapse to bring them down 17, and they ended up losing 48-38, thus covering.

Looking at Green Bay right now as a likely NFL pick.

We did Baltimore (no spread) on the Circa Survivor contest week 8.

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God did Purdue suck. They got gifted a fumble on very first play. Got gifted another at opponents 10. They ended up -7 for both opportunities. Got nothing on opening fumble and got a FG blocked for a TD on the other. One of the worst offensive displays I’ve seen.


Something is fishy about that Minnesota game. GB sucks. Minnesota seems to finally have gotten it together. You look at it and instantly want to click Vikings. I’m just staying the fuck away.

This thread is where I make my weekly sacrifice to the devil Mike Tomlin and fade the Steelers. Jax 10 days off. Better offense. Actually better or equal defense defense than Pittsburgh. Give up less yards and roughly same PPG. They are just a far better team. But Tomlin probably sacrificed an extra baby this week,

Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
Oct 29 • 2023 At 08:39:49 AM
Ticket ID: 6367768
Point Spread: JAX Jaguars -2.0 @ -110
JAX Jaguars @ PIT Steelers
Point Spread: MIA Dolphins -2.5 @ -315
NE Patriots @ MIA Dolphins
Odds:
+152

Panthers +3.5

Green Bay +1 vs Minnesota
Houston vs Carolina - Over 43 -110

I like the Carolina over Druff, good spot

You guys have me nervous with GB & Carolina picks, don’t see how you can call those tbh but gl all

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Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket

I like the Carolina over Druff, good spot

You guys have me nervous with GB & Carolina picks, don’t see how you can call those tbh but gl all

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Ouch. 0-2 for me.

Once again Dr. Peters came through, who seems to have a really good record on his PFA-posted picks over the years.

BTW, our Circa Survivor ticket won again. We had Baltimore.

We are 40% of the way there, and our ticket's equity is already pretty high. We were hoping Chargers would choke tonight (half the field picked them), but sadly the Bears are back to being the Bears, after 4 weeks of playing decently.

NFL gonna NFL amirite

https://x.com/ScottsOnAir/status/171...727379670?s=20

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

https://x.com/ScottsOnAir/status/171...727379670?s=20

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Scott was overnight on VSIN a few years ago. He had amazing pipes. HOF voice.

He’d offer baseball handicaps for the next days games and he was fire. Everyone has a heater but he had to talk about the picks at length in the dead of night so props to him.

VSIN gets sold and he disappeared. Became a tout for some group last I looked. Shame. He had “on air” talent as his twitter handle alludes to.

I haven’t been following NFL at all this year and it’s clear I’m not missing a thing. I am curious about the quarterback train wreck overall. Would read a story if offered to me. Gut prolly has something.

Pacers ML
Lions -6
+186 parlay

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

I hate money. Let me prove it to you

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The above was a loser. X Rangers won in extra innings but not RL. We liked the plus money grrrrr

Gotta keep my stupidity wagering status active with a winner or else.

SGP Dallas ML & under 7.5 (alt) -115

CBJ Merzlikens / Dallas Oettinger confirmed.

Dallas is an under team and CBJ can’t score. CBJ Merzlikens not likely to embarrass us. Dallas Otter not Wedgewood tonight. Yada yada

This is off the record but I’m doing nGIFT +120 & under 1P +110. A man’s gotta do what a man’s gotta do. I think my 5th grade math teacher would be proud.