UHHHHHHHHHHH OHHHHHH WE KRAKEN YALL
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UHHHHHHHHHHH OHHHHHH WE KRAKEN YALL
what was that a light 6 goals in the 2nd todge youre welcome slash fired
The legal books are insidious with promoting parlays. I recognize that I do too many. Doing ANY is negative EV b/c you don’t get true odds. I am much nittier than your average bear but I gotta ad it sometimes they are irresistible with these boosts.
DraftKings
Fans of the Diamondbacks like me and Druff will appreciate this is a love letter to Gallen just shoving it down Miami’s throat.
It’s a leak but the legal books are so good at the entertainment aspect which is synonymous with planting the parlay hook. Insidious.
How about them Panthers, eh Chaps? TSN post game Leafs crying and anger the likes of which I haven’t heard since the Dodgers playoffs last year.
The Kraken were +6500 in the 1st period of their last game with the Avalanche. I was looking at it when the Kraken scored and the square went blank. +2400 and +950 now. I keep having remorse over missing the top and don’t push the button. I still haven’t. Ughh
Playoffs have been good to me otherwise.
Starting very shortly:
Cleveland (Bibee) vs Detroit (Wentz) - Under 7.5 -105
More soon.
Another last minute one:
Tampa Bay (McClanahan) at Baltimore (K. Gibson) - OVER 8.5 -105
One more for tonight:
Houston (H. Brown) -120 at Angels (P. Sandoval)
Hunter Brown is an under-the-radar pitching prospect. In 55 innings since his 2022 debut, he has a 1.96 ERA and 1.145 WHIP. The only knock against him this year is the 15 BB he's given up in 34 innings. He's coming off a wild start against the Giants where he walked 5 in fewer than 5 innings, but I believe he will right the ship today.
Neither of my totals are going well so far. Detroit/Cleveland has 6 runs through 4 innings, so that's likely toast. Tampa/Baltimore has just 1 run through 2 2/3 innings. Sad!
Missed it in the 5th when a Miami runner blew past the stop sign put up by the third base coach and scored.
It was such a sure thing lol.
We’re still all over the Diamondbacks today obv
0-3 day. Cherry on top was the Astros blowing the lead, being locked in a 4-4 tie for awhile, losing 6-4 late.
Also lost the Tigers under by 0.5.
My MLB season so far:
April 21 and May 8: 0-6, -6.00 units
All other days I made picks: 25-12, +11.19 units
:fail2
Let's try to recover from yesterday with this pick:
New York (D. Peterson) at Cincinnati (Weaver) - Over 5.5 -125 - FIRST 5 INNINGS
All the offense is on the Reds side. This annoys me a bit because I was considering a dog bet on the Reds, but I just really thought Weaver sucked and didn't want to back him, despite how bad as Peterson has been. Figured both pitchers would suck balls and the safer bet would be the first-5 over.
Well, Weaver has spun 2 no-hit innings, while the Reds have scored 3, and just left 2 runners on.
A little bit close.
Bottom 5th, one out, one on. 4-1 Reds.
Newman hit it up the middle, and Myers probably interfered with the ball headed to second base. Umps ruled it was no interference, Showalter got thrown out, ended up runners at 1st and 2nd.
TJ Friedl, off to a great start, hit a triple, and 2 runs scored. That was it. One more run came home from a sac fly, and it was 7-1 after 5. So it looked like it was an easy win, but it was anything but that.
I'll take it.
The alternate first-5 line, over 6 +100, seen on some books, also hit.
Morning baseball!
Colorado (Senzatela) +124 at Pittsburgh (Hill)
In case you didn't get in the bet on the Rockies at 9:35am, here are some games a bit later:
Cincinnati (Greene) +134 vs Mets (Verlander)
Philadelphia (Wheeler) vs Toronto (Gausman) - Under 8.5 -115
St. Louis (Montgomery) at Cubs (Steele) - Under 7.5 -120
Clinched a winning day, by narrowly hitting the Colorado pick and easily winning the Phillies under (though the extras thing with the runner on base always scares me).
Reds tied 1-1 in the 2nd. Cardinals haven't started.
Just a reminder, our friend Rally, who seems to mostly post about iPhones for some reason, shared this gem with us how to read paywalled articles (for all devices, not just iPhones).
It works for ESPN+.
Just sayin'.
Very tilting when you start off 2-0, and picture a big day coming, and then your other 2 picks brick.
That looks likely, as St. Louis is awful and has coughed up 5 runs, and the Reds can't score. So it's 2-1 NY after 8, and 5-2 in the St. Louis under in the 5th. Both are pretty unlikely to win, though I guess the Reds are just 1 run away so it's not totally hopeless yet. But boy are those bats dead.
2-2 it is.
Hard for a shit offensive team like the Reds to break through in the 8th/9th against the Ottavino/Robertson combo, who have been quite effective this year for the Mets.
Chicago/St. Louis already has 9 runs. Oh well. I can't complain too much because the Rockies game was down 3-0 early, then was 3-3 for a long time, and the Rockies scored that deciding run late and it held up. That one could've easily gone the other way.
I tailed all today. Tough luck on Reds, i used my sweat free DK bet on that one thoQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I have under 8.5 SDP Minny (2-2)
Going to extras and I will be sodomized - I have drifted away from the No under rules for 2023.
Reminds me of old Druff back in the day.
I was looking at my betting history today and I didn't see my Colorado +124 bet. I got really pissed because this meant a slight winning day turned into a loser. I bet it when tired, so I didn't have a clear memory of it confirming. Ugh.
I kept looking over and over, but didn't see it. I complained about this out loud next to my girlfriend, who got stressed listening to me.
Then I noticed that the book listed it a different way because I bet on a subplatform they provide, and for whatever reason it just has the resulting payout but not the game listed. So there was indeed no Colorado +124 listed, but I did get paid for the win, which is what matters.
I'm so glad I noticed that because it was about to ruin my day.
Forgive me Nicky Pipes
Yankees (German) -116 vs Tampa (Rasmussen)
Nicky Pipes was right. Hard to bet against the Rays, especially when not getting a dog line.
:fail2
It’s funny you should say that. I did get a dog line last night. A bet made on a prayer involving Tampa regression and the observation that Yankees were scoring and Tampa were not last few games.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
F5 Texas team total over 2.5 vs Oakland. Oakland finally found a pitcher for tonight.
This picture tells the story best
That's an excellent catch, Sanlmar.
Here is our friend Luis Medina this year: https://www.baseball-reference.com/r...=pgl&year=2023
Note he got bombed by a very tough offense on May 3 -- the Sacramento River Cats.
Over 2.5 Texas -130 first 5 innings is a great bet.
I'm firing on this, as well.
Well I still like the bet but it's not what you think.
Medina is no longer starting. It's now Zach Neal, who hasn't pitched in MLB since 2018.
Actually, I'm not sure which one is starting. I have conflicting sources, but now I'm back to believing it's Medina. Either way, it's good.
Came up short. Texas 3-0 after 6 innings (not 5)Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
0-2 in MLB. I’m at peace with the picks
Not many hands per hour this Thursday.
Hit the Reds Miami under 8 before it disappears. 6’8” flame throwing stud Perez for Miami.
Don’t have time to do a whole Sanlmar lulz post.
Under 8 -120 (DK)
STL @ Boston over 10 -120. 10.5 tomorrow morning
Paxton recalled from AAA Worcester (40 min bus ride and the bus will leave its motor running to return him)
Old man Adam Wainwright STL
10 is not that big a deal. You followed Sawks overs this year?
I’m not a prop guy but some HR props like Goldy or Devers might take some of my coin. Have to wait to see how they price the HRs tomorrow morning
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Have Perez on my fantasy team / kid is going to be the real deal. Next randy johnson
Strider has been lined at 8.5 K every game this year.
Every game the sharps jump on the under because thats what they do, making the over 8.5 available at +125
He is now 7-1 vs the number, with the one loss being a delay into a Monday morning….. when he had 8 ks and was pulled early……. So effectively 7-0 in games you could bet
And for those of you paying attention to the season long bets / Strider will wake up 12 clear of the lead in Strikeouts. 10-1 looking great
Florida was huge for me Chaps
Marner Matthews Day tomorrow
That Leafs goal/no goal/blown whistle is gonna be added to the legend.
There is a whole Strider sub genre that pays tribute to the size of his package. Funny as hell. Hung like a horse. Needs a tailor for his uniformQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Not surprised
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarThere is a whole Strider sub genre that pays tribute to the size of his package. Funny as hell. Hung like a horse. Needs a tailor for his uniformQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Not surprised
raaaaaaaaaays burning me here
do any of you white nerds have anything on this angels total at 8.5 im hearing under
Last minute:
Cleveland (Quantrill) vs Angels (Detmer) - Under 8 +100
Detmers has weird stats. He's 0-3 with a 5.10 ERA, and gave up a lot of hard contact so far.
Usually not the guy I'd want on one side in an under.
However, somehow his stuff has been much BETTER in 2023 than before. His results should be considerably better. They're just... not. But I don't expect this to last if his stuff remains good. I'm picking today's game for Detmers to pitch considerably better.
Detmers looking good so far like I thought. Sadly Quantrill is having a bad game, and it's 3-0 Angels in the 3rd. Toss up so far whether this wins.
Here's another one starting soon:
Baltimore (T. Wells) vs Pittsburgh (R. Contreras) - Under 8.5 -113
One more pick.
Ranger Suarez is back from injury, and has to face the Rockies in Denver for his first assignment. Not easy. I don't predict this goes well for him.
Colorado (Feltner) +125 vs Philadelphia (R. Suarez) -FIRST 5 INNINGS