Quote:
Originally Posted by ok25
If you understand nba well enough to cap the “if then” (If when a player is out/reduced then X will happen) nba player pros are as good as they come.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ok25
If you understand nba well enough to cap the “if then” (If when a player is out/reduced then X will happen) nba player pros are as good as they come.
If you missed that one, here are three more NBA picks for you, with some time left to bet:
Philadelphia vs Utah - Under 218.5
Golden State at Sacramento - Over 237
Brooklyn -4.5 at Lakers
Note that Lebron is highly likely to miss tonight with his groin injury. In this battle of two dyfunctional teams, one of them seems to have gotten its act together (at least somewhat), and the other is a continuous disaster. Kyrie's suspension seems to be addition by subtraction. Anthony Davis will play, but is still hurting, and the surrounding cast is horrible.
Saw this late, took the hit on number. Like the logicQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Under
(213.5)
@ 1.87
Total Points
Washington Wizards v Memphis Grizzlies
Singlesx1
Total Stake:$250.00
Potential Return$467.50
Down to 207.5
Druff running thangs around here
Where we at w snf Verm?
Agree was just salty and that it caught me out, hard one to know is gonna roll out.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by ok25
If you understand nba well enough to cap the “if then” (If when a player is out/reduced then X will happen) nba player pros are as good as they come.
Take the underQuote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Those are the three games I need Embiid, Curry and Durant to pick up 100 comboQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Taking over and Brooklyn with you
Quote:
Originally Posted by ok25Last 2 for me if you want to get some back, like both a lot.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Jonathan Taylor Over
(71.5)
@
1.90
Jonathan Taylor - Rushing Yds
Las Vegas Raiders v Indianapolis Colts
Dalton Schultz Over
(34.5)
@
1.87
Dalton Schultz - Receiving Yds
Green Bay Packers v Dallas Cowboys
Cashed these two easily
Disappointing watching games with great "under" starts go into the toilet.
Rams/Cardinals a TD away from losing, with 7 minutes remaining.
Washington/Memphis had 42 in 1Q, then 64 in 2Q. Ugh.
This is why the ploppies love overs. It's hard to sweat games rooting for teams NOT to score. Ploppies also love locking up wins when something hits, rather than having to sweat to the end.
If you have BOL
Sharks Wild NHL
End of 2nd period.
Blast under 4.5 +110
Score is 1-0 after 2 periods.
This is a fuck up. Very plus EV. It’s sports but that’s my opinion …. Bookmaker offering u 3.5 -170….
You can get down up to $10k. It’s your party
Shaking a little bit I’ll admit
BOL has had mobile seizures today
I bet on the Packers, lose lose lose. Bet against them after (lose lose losing on the other end) and of course they win. I cannot win a game with these motherfuckers for nothing.
Had Dallas teased down to -2.5.
I know it isn't perfectly accurate, but I just lost 2 games today where my win % in the 4th Q was over 95% according to the ESPN model. Going to need to take a break after this one I think.
You are very wiseQuote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarIf you have BOL
Sharks Wild NHL
End of 2nd period.
Blast under 4.5 +110
Score is 1-0 after 2 periods.
This is a fuck up. Very plus EV. It’s sports but that’s my opinion …. Bookmaker offering u 3.5 -170….
You can get down up to $10k. It’s your party
Shaking a little bit I’ll admit
BOL has had mobile seizures today
Jesus bro I feel like trash for you.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
I took packers live. Honestly wish I lost it now
We good pacoQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Ignorant to what a ploppy is??
Got bitch slapped. Loss
That’s why there is whisky
I’m at peace cause it was a bad price and they were having issues with the live service.
I got it in good. Bad river card. 3 goals in the 3rd period Where only 1 goal in the previous 2 periods.
2-2 at the end of regulation. Overtime is a total 5
Last I looked it was 1.37 for u3.5Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarGot bitch slapped. Loss
That’s why there is whisky
I’m at peace cause it was a bad price and they were having issues with the live service.
I got it in good. Bad river card. 3 goals in the 3rd period Where only 1 goal in the previous 2 periods.
2-2 at the end of regulation. Overtime is a total 5
Great bet
Got screwed
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarGot bitch slapped. Loss
That’s why there is whisky
I’m at peace cause it was a bad price and they were having issues with the live service.
I got it in good. Bad river card. 3 goals in the 3rd period Where only 1 goal in the previous 2 periods.
2-2 at the end of regulation. Overtime is a total 5
San - this is a spot all advantage players dream about. Not sure what true value is here. Got to be north of -400.
Its like making the final table with A-A and going down to A-K when you would be the chip leader. Fucking nightmare
No OT, we win Philly under.
Otherwise we lose
Gogogo regulation
The betting public.Quote:
Originally Posted by ok25
They fall into certain predictable patterns which the books exploit.
:sftrueQuote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarGot bitch slapped. Loss
That’s why there is whisky
I’m at peace cause it was a bad price and they were having issues with the live service.
I got it in good. Bad river card. 3 goals in the 3rd period Where only 1 goal in the previous 2 periods.
2-2 at the end of regulation. Overtime is a total 5
San - this is a spot all advantage players dream about. Not sure what true value is here. Got to be north of -400.
Its like making the final table with A-A and going down to A-K when you would be the chip leader. Fucking nightmare
I can't miss after those couple of bumps. embiid and curry locking me up 4k return and druffs over is sealed i followed
sabonis is a bully
Kevin Huerter
@
1.73
3+ Made Threes
Sacramento Kings v Golden State Warriors
Michael Porter Jr.
@
1.73
3+ Made Threes
Chicago Bulls v Denver Nuggets
2 leg multix1
Total Stake:$111.00
Potential Return$332.21
cashed in 3Q for 2/3 and Porter pulled it out
Domantas Sabonis Over
(11.5)
@
1.95
Domantas Sabonis - Rebounds
Sacramento Kings v Golden State Warriors
Singlex1
Total Stake:$250.00
Potential Return$487.50
Condolences San, fucking BS.
Thanks. Only familiar used for casino gamblersQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffThe betting public.Quote:
Originally Posted by ok25
They fall into certain predictable patterns which the books exploit.
Ignoramus25
Over
(237.0)
@
1.87
Total Points
Sacramento Kings v Golden State Warriors
Singlex1
Total Stake:$250.00
Potential Return$467.50
Austin Ekeler Over
(5.5)
@
1.72
Austin Ekeler - Total Receptions
San Francisco 49ers v Los Angeles Chargers
Singlex1
Total Stake:$125.00
Potential Return$215.00 7 in 3Q 11 tgts. God bless Justin Herbert
Under
(213.5)
@
1.87
Total Points
Washington Wizards v Memphis Grizzlies
Singlex1
Total Stake:$250.00
Return$467.50
Green Bay Packers
@
2.25
Head to Head
Green Bay Packers v Dallas Cowboys
Singlex1
Total Stake:$250.00
Return$562.50
Youngstown State
(+11.5)
@
1.90
Points Start
Youngstown State v Notre Dame
Singlex1
Total Stake:$149.08
Return$283.25
Youngstown State
(+10.5)
@
1.87
Points Start
Youngstown State v Notre Dame
Singlex1
Total Stake:$100.00
Return$187.00
New York Giants
@
1.44
Head to Head
New York Giants v Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
@
1.76
Head to Head
Tennessee Titans v Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
@
1.21
Head to Head
Kansas City Chiefs v Jacksonville Jaguars
Nick Chubb
@
1.73
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Miami Dolphins v Cleveland Browns
4 leg multix1
Total Stake:$175.00
Return$928.42
Running way better than I deserve
Druff you are sharp action, Hats off.
Have over 45.5 and 49ers ML. Of course now a FG and TD lose by .5 instead of winning by .5
But could go FG-FG and won't matter, or TD-TD same thing.
It's mainly used for casino gamblers, you're correct. It is sometimes also applied to sportsbettors because it means the same thing. I think it's mainly casino advantage players using that term.Quote:
Originally Posted by ok25Thanks. Only familiar used for casino gamblersQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Ignoramus25
Anyway, occasionally the ploppy side also happens to be the sharp side, but not usually. Usually it's when there's a good value over totals bet. I tend to like the "sharp" overs because that usually means it's a good position if it happens to coincide with ploppy betting yet is still the right play.
Often ploppy tendencies are cooked into the line, which is one factor that can make for +EV opportunities.
Still think Brooklyn can get this back
:stonks
Durant will want to beat Russ
This GS/Sac game has 208 points with 8:08 to play. Looking pretty good (need 29 to tie, 30 to win). Not a lock though.
However, the Lakers are actually playing well today, amazingly. Up 72-59, and been leading the whole way. Sadly I almost didn't make this pick, but I was too tempted for the reasons I stated. Last time my fade of the Lakers worked out, but I felt a lot more confident about that one (it was in Utah, a team which has been underrated this year).
Yeah they are on tonight but might still blow itQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Fading lakers this year is very +EV
BOOSTED!
@
4.50
Embiid, Curry & Durant 100+ points combined
NBA Monday Power Plays
Singlex1
Total Stake:$712.50
Potential Return$3,206.25
Joel Embiid, Stephen Curry & Kevin Durant score 100+ points combined
@
3.50
Power Plays
NBA Monday Power Plays
Singlex1
Total Stake:$250.00
Potential Return$875.00
:boom
Kalam thanks for convincing me it was a good spot or would have stuck with 250 only
Sorry for hogging all the good fortune
Told ya druff
Motivated Durant is top tier
Brooklyn Nets
(-4.5)
@
1.90
Points Start
Los Angeles Lakers v Brooklyn Nets
Singlex1
Total Stake:$250.00
Potential Return$475.00
Riding the lightning
Brooklyn Nets
@
1.95
Head To Head
Los Angeles Lakers v Brooklyn Nets
Singlex1
Total Stake:$291.99
Potential Return$569.38
Big screw job on that Golden State Game.
236 points in a 6-point contest, 121-115 at 1:29. That's a lock to get 2 more points, right? I mean, fouling's gonna happen no matter what, right?
Nope... a minute's worth of missed shots, finally a foul, 1/2 free throws made, and then after GS missed yet again, Sac held the ball for the final 20 and GS decided not to foul.
122-115, and I tie.
That was 100% a sure win and a horrible way to tie.
First two NBA picks (Wizards under, 76ers under) both won. Nets trying to battle back from 13 down, now 83-87.
Ended up 4-2 in NFL. Should've been 5-1, to be honest. That Rams one hurt.
Two bad beats today. Really deserve the Nets to come back here and cover by 5 (though that's gonna be tough given the short time left). Will end up either 3-0-1 or 2-1-1 in NBA.
Nicely done. Was worried at half. But no reason. Bravo.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffTake the underQuote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
So, what’s the mnf play??Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendNicely done. Was worried at half. But no reason. Bravo.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Garbage D by Nets
Fucked so badly on GS
Aids
Push at least but runner runner not to collect. Painful
Also underQuote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendSo, what’s the mnf play??Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
I bet O237.5, so lost by 1/2 point. Bet 2 props on the game that both won, so still won a little on game, but horrible way to end it. Teams missed last 5 shots combined and went 1-2 on free throws and GS decided not to foul with 20 seconds left. So much fail.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff