Also how is horrible UMass tied at 10 in the mid-2nd?
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Also how is horrible UMass tied at 10 in the mid-2nd?
Of course I pick the day to fade the Nets when they're actually playing well. Washington also just looks off. They're behind by 17. I can't say this is a lock loss because it's the fail Nets we are dealing with, but this might be one of their rare strong games.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Haven't watched a lot of UConn eh Todd?
U Mass is worse, but they aint great
Looks like the Levee finally broke with Georgia don’t think we’ll see anything above 10 but I wouldn’t be shocked if it got there
Geez how bad is Washington? Lose by 42 to the nets
UMass confirmed awful.
Now we need no scoring in final 6:51. 27-10 Conn right now, after Mass just allowed two consecutive big rushes to get a TD on them. What a fail team.
Going to take a stab at the under 53.5 tonight. Lot of injuries and a much slower brand of football out of Washington past few weeks, or thats the angle.
They want to put the gas to the floor for 4q i could look stupid
I almost took this but it was bet down like 7 points, so I couldn't bring myself to fire.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Agree with you though.
UMass under squeaked by. They had a chance to hit a meaningless TD at the very end but they threw an INT, so that was that.
lol at this All Star game in LA
75-62 Utah, on pace for 274 points.
Thankfully I don't have the under
Utah scored 71 points in the final 20:07 of 1H
Lakers defense so bad
Utah melting down. They had a 16 point lead in the 3rd
Come on now
Thanks Lakers for being awful.
You saved my day.
Totals:
Purdue vs Iowa - Under 39.5
Northwestern vs Ohio State - Under 55.5
Miami Florida vs Florida State - Over 53.5
Spread:
Marshall -3.5 at Old Dominion
Kansas -1 vs Oklahoma State
SMU -3.5 -106 vs Houston
Moneylines:
Tulsa +230 vs Tulane
Texas Tech +260 at TCU
Virginia +240 vs North Carolina
Iowa +150 at Purdue
James Madison +230 at Louisville
My record in NCAA thus far is 20-20-1, +1.47 units
Hats off. Once again you manage to find the sides no-one would ever want to play in the games that no one would ever want to watch. Which if you are actually trying to make money probably isn't a horrible idea.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I am against you on a couple of these, but nothing major.
GL.
I don’t love a thing today. Too many game time decisions on QBs. I’ve rode Kansas a bunch, but that defense, I need more than 2 even if Sanders doesn’t play. I love watching Volunteers, but I can see a world where Georgia simply gets more stops than they do. Ryan Day has went easy on NW multiple times where it made me wonder if he’s friends with the their coach. I can’t lay 38. I like TCU, but that 8 is not fun. I can’t recall the last time it was after 10 and I didn’t have any bets down, but I don’t atm.
I’ll probably end up with TCU and then evaluate as day goes on. The lines just feel right on the mark for these games. I’d rather just load up on Cavs tmrw against Lakers if Garland or Mitchell plays. It’s been a super profitable year to be a homer with Guardians and Cavs thus far.
Edit-didn’t see Druff was on a few of those. Most notably TT. Wouldn’t shock me. In state game and good value. TT look great or horrid on any given day. I’m going to lay off TCU, maybe he knows something.
My only early bet Kentucky +1
Plenty of sharp action this morning apparentlyQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
My bookie had the line at 9.5, couldn’t pull the trigger
Took over in the Army/AF game. Never had a chance. LOL.
In other news I had Nebraska +15, and they were up 10-0 at halftime and in serious danger of not covering.
Fuck it, come on Bulldogs. Lol
Well... dogs aren't working out great.
Lost Tulsa, will be losing Virginia & Texas Tech. Iowa will win. Only one left (JMU).
Both unders will hit.
That leaves me 3-3, up +0.32 for the first 6.
Marshall up 6 early but that doesn't mean much.
Didn’t even realize it was breeders cup until I was at the Borgata today. It’s the only casino with a race book in AC. Just saw this on the classic. The heavy favorite won easy but look at the payouts…. 100s of millions of dollars would of been lost if the horse came second and you would of gotten a slightly better return if you just bet to place. Pari-mutual wagering is so diseased. You see this shit in small pool harness tracks. Never though I’d see it in a BC Classic.
I love you Daly
Outstanding performance
Well Vegas got rich today. They can give the public a win hopefully on my game.
I hit my only game Kentucky. dodged all the other traps. Time to get greedy. Bye week. Dissed by playoff committee, but mostly ND is just so fucking slow on offense I struggle to see how they string together much.
Let’s get greedy.
Single @
+195
Open
Nov 5 • 2022
Ticket ID: 515093
Point Spread: Clemson -9.5
Clemson @ Notre Dame
I'll throw one NBA game onto today's big pile of NCAAF (which I'm currently sitting at 5-3, +2.14 units, with 3 games to go).
Houston at Minnesota - Over 234
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeDidn’t even realize it was breeders cup until I was at the Borgata today. It’s the only casino with a race book in AC. Just saw this on the classic. The heavy favorite won easy but look at the payouts…. 100s of millions of dollars would of been lost if the horse came second and you would of gotten a slightly better return if you just bet to place. Pari-mutual wagering is so diseased. You see this shit in small pool harness tracks. Never though I’d see it in a BC Classic.
Yeah that is weird. I had a painful experience in 1996 at Hollywood Park, which stayed with me forever regarding both parimutuel betting and "can't miss" favorites.
Three was a high profile showdown between Gentlemen, one of the top horses in the nation, and another top horse whose name I forget. It was on June 19, 1996. A big crowd showed up for that matchup, only to be disappointed when the other top horse was scratched. This left Gentlemen racing against 5 scrubs.
I noticed that win, place, and show were all 1:20 for Gentlemen. That's how good he was compared to the competition. I realized that show paid the same as win because 1:20 was the lowest possible odds they could offer, and that there might actually be some value, despite the -2000 line. After all, while it was possible one of the five opponents would have an unusually great race, what was the chance Gentlemen wouldn't finish at least 3rd of 6? Up until then, his worst finish was 4th out of 13, and that was against better competition.
I walked up to the counter and placed $200 to win $10.
Gentlemen started off behind, but of course that was no big deal. However, as the race wore on, he fell further and further behind the front, and eventually finished dead last.
I actually yelled out, "NOOOOOOOOOOOOO!" as it happened. The $200 I lost was my biggest gambling loss to date, as I was not really a gambler at that point.
The crowd then loudly booed as Gentlemen was walked back. I calculated that, due to the disproportionate betting on Gentlemen, the track made a cool million dollars on the whole thing -- which of course isn't supposed to happen on parimutuel betting. Had Gentlemen showed, it would have gone the other way.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I woulda shoved Astros and under 7
6 pitches and you see the umpire is corrupt.
Druff is at the height of his powers
LOL this SMU game.
34-21... in the mid-2nd!
Is the total going to end up over 100? I only have SMU -3.5, not any total, but wow.
FSU/Miami off to a fairly good start for my over.
JMU not looking all that hot in the early goings. Might go 1-4 on my dogs today, which is par for the course when four are +230 or higher, but still.
SMU with 42 points so far, with 6:22 left in the 2nd. Anyone know what the record is so far this season for 1H points by a team?
SMU with 77 late 4th. Didn't expect to win this one with Houston scoring 63 (!!), but here we are.
FSU/Miami had scoring completely die after 34 in 1H. Disappointing loss.
JMU fell apart after taking a brief 10-7 lead. I went 1-4 on my dogs, for a 2.5 unit loss.
Will still walk away ahead in NCAAF but only by 1.05 units, going 6-5 for the day.
Houston/Minn NBA over covered.
Good job with the Houston/Minny over Druff but the Astros money is so much sweeter.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I woulda shoved Astros and under 7
Quote:
The night of the fight, you may feel a slight sting. That's pride fucking with you. Fuck pride. Pride only hurts, it never helps
I can't root for the Astros under any circumstances. Sorry.
Joe Davis excitedly calling the final out for the Astros victory in the World Series sent ironic chills down my spine.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
It really doesn’t get any weirder.
Rams +3
Jets +10.5
Titans +12.5
Panthers +7
GL
Got 4 NFL picks today.
Washington +150 vs Minnesota
Buffalo at Jets - Under 45.5
Tennessee at Kansas City - Under 45.5
Rams at Tampa - Under 42.5 -107
I acknowledge Druff has made some picks.
Had epic day yesterday so taking it super easy today.
Washington at 1 (nice to see todd here)
Cardinals at 4
Under tonight
If you see a middle aged man get arrested at the 5000 person venue at the hard rock for the Metallica show tonight, i promise ill try to post a pick for Monday night by mid afternoon.
Daly resisted the Dolphins/Bears weather temptation.
Great start… lolQuote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
The Patriots are dominating the Colts in spite of Mac Jones, who is terrible. I don't know how Belichick can stick with him much longer.
Washington ML in play +200 right before that TD
JETS ML in play +400
Tailing Rams u42.5