Is Vasilevsky not back? I thought they started Elliott against the Sabres only because of back-to-back games. (?)Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
If Elliott is confirmed I may jump on the Penguins at + money too!
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Is Vasilevsky not back? I thought they started Elliott against the Sabres only because of back-to-back games. (?)Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
If Elliott is confirmed I may jump on the Penguins at + money too!
I’m not thrilled with Vasilevsky this year. He has a negative GSAA (think WAR). He strikes no particular fear in my (dark) heart.Quote:
Originally Posted by SandwichIs Vasilevsky not back? I thought they started Elliott against the Sabres only because of back-to-back games. (?)Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
If Elliott is confirmed I may jump on the Penguins at + money too!
Also keep your eyes peeled on my Florida Panthers. Their coach might be getting the axe despite them being 6-0 because he was involved in the assault scandals that are getting heads to roll in Chicago. Great Panthers PL empty net win last night for me and my cardiologist. Got me some sweet sweet live wagering lovin’ too
If you are over 45 I would recommend packing a go bag
Hate to muck up my playoff success with a flip but I took Braves +123 small.
I jumped off ATL.after L.A. . got onto HOUSTON......in 5!?!
Disappointing to start off 0-4 in NBA after my nice baseball season.
2 very close ones, 2 not-so-close ones.
Still not good. I haven't had a single pick of the four go as expected. I'll take a day off and come back at this tomorrow or Thursday.
Brother are you scared to bet the World Series?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Saw Braves series price dropping all day, was at +105 right before game last I saw. I personally would have made the Braves a bigger dog than that, though I respect them as a great team. That’s why I am not a bookie though after this first inning. Hope it’s a great series I kind of like both teams. Houston Astros do spring training in WPB, so do the Nationals. When they played in the World Series I watched from a casino in Puerto Rico with a girl who wouldn’t stop talking about how she went to college with Alex bregman and was on the softball team, I said we get it you slept with him
Brother there's a difference between being "scared" to bet something, and having a desire to be positive expectation in betting it.
I do not like betting games with a highly scrutinized line, for the most part. Occasionaly there's an exception, when a highly overrated team is too heavy of a favorite, or where a team with little chance isn't big enough of a dog. However, that doesn't happen often, especially nowadays.
I don't judge those who wish to bet these games, but I personally choose not to.
Quote:
Originally Posted by shoeshine box
quick and painless....ty
At the risk of going 0-5 to start the season....
New Orleans +190 vs. Atlanta
Pelicans broke out to a 16 point lead in the 1st. Now they're barely ahead in the 2nd.
What a failteam.
I might start doing 1H bets on these dog moneylines. Underdog NBA teams tend to collapse in the second half a lot.
Brother you are so negative, it probably holds you back in life. Did you ever think of that?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
You have a 2-1 dog and you’re up at the half at home. That is something to be positive about brother. I think you will win. Good luck.
There are a few teams in sports I don’t ever touch. The Pelicans are one of them. At least you bet them as a dog, which is about the only thing to do with them. Team is baffling and I don’t think I’ve won a bet on them in two years. I truly hate that team.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
If I had to bet them, I’d probably be best to bet against whatever I think they’re going to do. If they look like they might be getting it together, bet against them. If they seem sure to lose, take them. They are that strange.
Hopefully they pull it out for you.
Yeah didn't win.
Pelicans actually took a 5 point lead in the 4th, then gave it up quickly.
There was a bad non-foul-call with 8.5s left in the game, with Pelicans up 100-99, which basically iced it.
Had I bet the spread or 1H, I would've won.
Sad!
Seriously, after watching/following the Blazers so far, I'm not betting NBA at all for a bit. Shits all over the place.
I bet NO season wins U37.5 due to analysis of Bill Simmons. His main rationale is that Zion wouldn't be back anytime soon, and the team would be bad without him, and so far seems to be holding up.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRThere are a few teams in sports I don’t ever touch. The Pelicans are one of them. At least you bet them as a dog, which is about the only thing to do with them. Team is baffling and I don’t think I’ve won a bet on them in two years. I truly hate that team.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
If I had to bet them, I’d probably be best to bet against whatever I think they’re going to do. If they look like they might be getting it together, bet against them. If they seem sure to lose, take them. They are that strange.
Hopefully they pull it out for you.
Been on a bit of an NBA heater recently. Been fading Lakers, Clippers and bottom feeding teams like Orlando and Detroit; and generally working out. I assume at some point the books will adjust and that will be that. But if it aint broke not going to fix it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
From the NBA thread
I’m no NBA guy but we aren’t talking about subtle dysfunction where you gotta be an insider to appreciate the subtle cues. No, there are Lakers teammates involved in fistfights and arguments. Plus, you have the LeBron thing that attracts the casuals and ploppies. Classic overhyped fade candidateQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Druff wrote about his experience with Los Angeles acquaintances who forecast great things for the Lakers.
I’m still laughing at myself how I bet against the Lakers on Dec 25th by accident. Didn’t even look that closely. Offer me a Lakers game and I’ll auto fade them.
If you could tolerate watching the Lakers you woulda made a fortune live. The Laker believers and bargain hunters got murdered.
Actually watching trash NBA is too high a price to pay though.
I bet OKC -1.5 for 2nd half (they were down 16 at the time I believe). At no point in 2nd half was that cover ever in doubt.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I bet hawks +1 and nets +1 for Christmas. I think it very likely both teams are favored by Christmas and I can arbitrage if I want.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarFrom the NBA thread
I’m no NBA guy but we aren’t talking about subtle dysfunction where you gotta be an insider to appreciate the subtle cues. No, there are Lakers teammates involved in fistfights and arguments. Plus, you have the LeBron thing that attracts the casuals and ploppies. Classic overhyped fade candidateQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Druff wrote about his experience with Los Angeles acquaintances who forecast great things for the Lakers.
I’m still laughing at myself how I bet against the Lakers on Dec 25th by accident. Didn’t even look that closely. Offer me a Lakers game and I’ll auto fade them.
Houston +9.5 vs. Utah
I took Green Bay +6.5, I understand they have guys out but it’s a lot of points for Rodgers to get. BTW I respect Arizona as a truly elite team as well, Green Bay can run the ball they have a great back would not be surprised to see them slow the game down and run the ball have Rodgers make some key 3rd down throws.
Personally I am let down some key guys are out, it was set to be a star studded affair
You know Steve Stevens? His video came up on my YouTube tonight. What a guy. A classic character, you got to love him! He went on an amusing rant about “Mattress Mack” at the start, it’s all I listened to, he’s good in 30 second clips. You can learn a lot about how to sell from watching him. BTW his sales pitch isn’t aimed at guys like us so don’t be posting about “don’t you know he’s a scammer etc” yes I understand brother
Have you seen his TV Show? It’s classic stuff you can find the full episodes on his YouTube, I watched them all
The Steve Stevens office environment is amazing, he had them lined up in cubicles boiler room style pitching his plays. He had this big fat guy as his #2, forget his name pretty sure it was Captain or Sarge, was one of the slickest on the phone I’ve ever seen! The sales script is legendary and he delivers it perfectly. A work of art
The big Skipper. I think I heard he was in rehab for something. If you like SS watch this two part video. The ending is perfect.Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipes
https://youtu.be/OhNBcEzt_QU
I took U50.5. 7-0 halfway through the first. Not the greatest start.
Sorry Tella...Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Green Bay has 4th and 1 around the 10 yard line. They run the ball and the Cardinal defender meets the running back perfectly 2 yards behind the 1st down marker. And the running back goes through him and gets the 1st down. I am guessing that is the difference and this game goes over.
We move on.
Edit: Cardinals are playing this real weird soft defense. All the backup Green Bay WRs are seemingly open by 5 yards all the time.
I had San Antonio +6.5. They got out to a 25-5 lead and I thought would be smooth sailing. Nope. Dallas has already almost come back and it is early in 2nd. Gonna be one of those nights I guess.
Edit: Dallas goes on a 30-0 run basically and it is starting to blow out the other way. Brutal.
Why are you posting as if the under is dead? It’s in fine shape
If you had invested a little more effort the past few days in the wagering thread Pipes I might have gifted you a sure fire Tampa Bay Lightning lock or two.
TBL 4 - Coyotes 1
Need one more trash time goal for the extra style points here
Coyotes haven’t won a game yet.
Perfection baby 5-1
Let’s see what kind of middle I cooked up on the NFL. Can’t remember
Muffed punt by Moore gives GB another 7 points. Sigh.
Believe it or not, Utah getting blown out in the first half actually doesn't make the game hopeless, as it makes it more likely they will take out their starters early, and I can win the bet in trash time.
I had no faith that Houston would win this outright, so I took the spread. I really need the Jazz starters to sit soon, though.
Well, never mind. This is a beatdown. Houston is terrible. I might have to fade them going forward when the line is single-digits like this.
Iowa vs Wisconsin over is set at 36 this weekend.
Grizzlies +6. Looking for a big bounce back from Ja after last nights no show.
I took the warrior Good luck brotherQuote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Damn. Az just giving this game away. 2 turnovers inside their own 20, and then allowing two 4th and shorts that leads to 14 points. Probably for the best to get the L out of the way now and play the rest of the way with less pressure.
I doubt game goes under. But my own fault. I could have bet O25.5 at half and gotten out of it and I didn't. So this likely L is completely on me. It is fine.
Pipes never hedges. Never has, never will. Let it die. You don’t need to “get out” of your bet brother. You either win or you lose, we don’t play the games we just watch.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipesPipes never hedges. Never has, never will. Let it die. You don’t need to “get out” of your bet brother. You either win or you lose, we don’t play the games we just watch.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Fair enough. Az just doesn't have it tonight. GB is just running it down their throats, their WRs are all wide open, and Az is giving them gift points on top of it. It is what it is.
Nice plays brother. I haven’t paid much attention to hockey yet. Florida Panthers hot start, I’ve been to some of their games the crowd does the Rick Flair “wooo”Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarIf you had invested a little more effort the past few days in the wagering thread Pipes I might have gifted you a sure fire Tampa Bay Lightning lock or two.
TBL 4 - Coyotes 1
Need one more trash time goal for the extra style points here
Coyotes haven’t won a game yet.
Perfection baby 5-1
Let’s see what kind of middle I cooked up on the NFL. Can’t remember
I’ll look for some plays to follow.
Brothers please post your baseball analysis earlier in the day tomorrow, Braves very short favorite. Wish Astros were a bigger dog I’d take them gladly in that case. Now won’t bet anything until tomorrow see early morning how things are looking
You bet the under you should be thrilled Green Bay is running it down their throatsQuote:
Originally Posted by KalamQuote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipes
Fair enough. Az just doesn't have it tonight. GB is just running it down their throats, their WRs are all wide open, and Az is giving them gift points on top of it. It is what it is.