This really hurt today. That’s all I got. No point in typing the story. It is what it is.
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This really hurt today. That’s all I got. No point in typing the story. It is what it is.
It’s official. Webb Simpson gave away the Wyndham
Double on he first hole
Tripple yesterday
Has missed 5 puts of 5 ft, including two on the same hole. But more importantly ON 15 AND 16 ON SUNDAY FOR BIRD DOWN BY TWO
At this point I hope Kisner pulls it out for you Jeff because I’m not really sure why I don’t have Sw Kim after betting him here last year and nearly winning and Henley sure as fuck don’t deserve this either.
Why the fuck aren’t they showing this live on television?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I’ve been following on Radio.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Why the fuck aren’t they showing this live on television?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
They went of in groups of three early this AM due to weather. My guess is cbs will do a replay this afternoon.
Two guys I bet more than anyone else - SW Kim and B Grace. Both have made me a bunch of $$.
Watch my my Grace swoop in here and rip this away.
First guy to 16 wins (which is exactly where Webb should be)
6 way playoff and not on television. What a bed shit. The Golf Channel can’t even cut away from early play to show it live…..Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyI’ve been following on Radio.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
They went of in groups of three early this AM due to weather. My guess is cbs will do a replay this afternoon.
If they cut away now what would they show in 3 hours?Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles226 way playoff and not on television. What a bed shit. The Golf Channel can’t even cut away from early play to show it live…..Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
It sucks but I get it. More excusable than cutting away between 2:45 and 3:00 every week on a normal Sunday.
Story of the weekend for me!Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Congrats Jeff!
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Bets for August 9 -Aug 15 (Week 3)
Settled
Lydia Ko to win Scottish Open $1000 at +1200 (Loser)
Kevin Kisner to win Wyndham Championship $200 at +4000 (Winner +$8000)
Start $50,000 Remaining $53,000 Current Week +$7,000 Last Week -$2,600
What am I missing with this Sunday Night Baseball matchup?
Dodgers (Scherzer) -166 v Mets (Carlos Carrasco)
Scherzer only pitched 3 innings in a rain shortened outing 5 days ago. Guy is gonna be FRESH
Carlos Carrasco has only pitched 3 games this year since coming back from a lengthy hamstring injury. He has only pitched 4 inn, 4 inn, 1 inn (4 runs). He isn’t stretched out. He isn’t lights out. Mets bullpen? C’mon.
Scherzer is a beast and will go 115 and 7 inn if you let him. You will have minimal Dodgers shitpen exposure. If anything folks are freaked about Kenley Jansen. He’s prolly back tonight.
I’m a 1st 5 guy but I’d go full game here.
the line is weak if not falling. “They” have been buying the Mets since last night. Dodger lineup? I’m mystified.
just watched the playoff...knew kis wasn't missing that putt...always nice to be able to make a putt for a nice fat $800 large...Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
just amazing seeing all of scott's talent kinda be "wasted" because he can't putt for shit...i seriously cannot believe he has won a masters...i dont even know how the hell that is possible for how piss poor he putts...
Very fortuitous set of circumstances in many respects. Not only the crazy shit that happened on the course, but just getting the bet in the first place was lucky. I’ll take it. But very fortuitous.
Full disclosure , I don’t see how I can’t take Lydia Ko again at the Women’s Open this week. She basically came second two weeks in a row on me. Today she shot fucking 9 under and a golfer that absolutely no one would have bet, played out of her fucking mind to win easy.
Luckily this will be the end of me Simp’in for Lydia. Three kicks in the nuts and I’ll be done with her. I can’t say fatigue should really be a problem, as she won’t have to travel much. But I am just stuck here having no choice but to pound her again.
So it will be in the tally but there will be zero thought to it other than she’s playing well and my head will explode if she wins and I don’t have her. Simp’in ain’t easy.
So rare a game goes exactly as scripted.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Carrasco 2 innings 6 runs
Scherzer 6 innings 2 runs 7 SO
Dodgers 14
Mets 4
Was so good looking I got spooked and didn’t lay the lumber. Not -180 Daly but close enough.
nice hit Jeff...I missed that one...you get plenty more...gd job. keep posting em...solid.
I know you have an interesting story to tell JeffDime.
I’ll tease it out of you “What’s My Line” style
Are you a golf bettor exclusively?
As soon as Dodgers broke out to that 6-0 lead, I thought, "Sanlmar said it would be like this."
San breezing through the last few pages and noticed you are big on first 5s..
You might want to look at the KBO as a continuation of that theme…follow a pretty sharp/profitable guy on Twitter and that’s all he bets because in a few words ‘KBO bullpens are shit’…
I've generally been only picking spots for MLB overs since June, but this one stood out to me today
Cle/Min u5, first 5 -115
Quantrill and Jax have both been very good lately. Tempted to fire on u9.5 for game but I can see this being close/extras and am not as masochistic as Druff for those bets.
Love itQuote:
Originally Posted by gut
Cleveland Indians/Minnesota Twins under 5 -110 for 1st 5
Had you encouraged these good people to take a full game under there would have been consequences. Bullpen bingo belongs in the Chrissy thread.
Brain dead parlays are killing the books. These bullpens have been vaccinated and breakthrough infections are possible but should be mild.
Here is the Roblox-like parlay construction kit.
Cincinnati Reds -205
San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees -270
Tampa Bay Rays -250
You go first.
Dare you to fade the jet lagged Dodgers fresh off fulfilling marital obligations and severely beating their girlfriends. Dodgers having a bullpen day with that bullpen is an interesting experiment
I'm on Rays/Giants for my brain dead parlay of the day
Rays Josh Fleming is expected to be the bulk guy and he got knocked around bad last time. I trust the Rays to manage a pen but I am eyes wide open with thisQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
It wasn’t intentional at first but it seems the Giants and their rested pitcher has found it’s way into a couple of mine.
Balanced brain dead portfolio NOT
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
A brain dead parlay bonanza - let’s put ‘em out of business Simp
Nice going San.
Mets in a freefall, Reds on the upswing, Giants seemingly never lose.
ThanksQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Wonder what Max Muncy MVP odds will be tomorrow morning. Prolly buying
Of course the full under hits and not the first 5. Nice D Twins.....Quote:
Originally Posted by gut
Bets for August 16 - Aug 22 (Week 4)
New Today
LPGA -Lydia Ko to win AIG Women’s Open $1000 at +1400 (Offered now at Bet MGM)
Euro Tour - Sam Horsfield to win D & D Czech Majors $1000 at +1100 (Offered now at Bet MGM)
Start $50,000 Remaining $51,000 Current Week $0 Last Week +$7000
—————————————————————————————————————————————-
Already gave my diatribe on having to back Lydia again. Bet MGM currently has her at +1400 while other places have her at +1200. Don’t think we can do better than +1400.
Horsfield is pure chalk but he opened at 10-1 and we can do slightly better at +1100. Weak field and he has been knocking on the door. He seems to always have one sub par round that makes him come up a little short. Typically it’s been the second round so waiting to bet him live isn’t a great option imho. If it’s mental we got to hope he gets through it and plays well this week.
I just hope we don’t see our old friend Dean Burmeister get back to that form when I took him a few months back. Guy can play, but doesn’t seem to play to his potential enough to take him at a price like 20-1 pre-flop, even in a weakfish field.
Finally, the Northern Trust. JFC the amount of names that I think can win are tough to narrow down. I know Rahm is the most likely winner even after all this shit has gone down with him. But to ship in on him at 9/10-1, I can’t see myself doing that. Next week I can see that being a possibility.
Too many guys too mention and this is a new year but DJ ended up playing well last week. Shot -30 here last year and won by 11 strokes. Plus +1800? That can’t be a bad bet.
The mid tier guys all have their prices compressed because of the slightly smaller field. English in good form and played well here last year, but after shitting the bed the price that I see him at is just not very good. Reed loves it here but form hasn’t been there. Morikawa under valued again. Speith can certainly win. I can go on but I won’t.
A lot of different ways to go and it may just be that sitting this one out may be the play. I’ll update as early as I can if I decide to play.
GL.
Sorry guys, bet MGM moved Lydia to 12-1 after I bet her. Try and shop around. Looks like I may have to start do that soon.
I think it most likely was just a fuck up and they saw it when I bet her, because I do see her at 12-1 in most places
Update - She’s 12-1 everywhere I can see. Draft kings has terrible prices on the Northern Trust
If you want to ship it on Rahm, Fanduel has him at +1100 and DK +800. So if access to both, you know where to go. +1100 best I’ve seen, but I did expect Rahm to float up a bit.
I should have my head examined but at the price offered and recent form Rory at 22-1 isn’t a bad deal at all.
Since Aug. 1, when all the players dealt at the trade deadline had joined their new teams, the Magnificently Bad Seven -- the Arizona Diamondbacks, Baltimore Orioles, Chicago Cubs, Kansas City Royals, Pittsburgh Pirates, Texas Rangers and Washington Nationals -- have gone 20-76 with a minus-262 run differential.
There’s now a name for them which I love.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
My hands start shaking when I see this stuff.
In college especially, Friday night you threw your ace and it got progressively weaker through the weekend.
Actually, the song has it backwards. Monday serves up the dregs. Travel day? Marry it with the Magnificent 7 if you can and you have magic. Stuff you CAN trust.Quote:
Monday, Monday
Can't trust that day
Monday, Monday
It just turns out that way
LFG Simp
14 games and I don’t have much.
David Price is still awful. This keeps paying so here we go.
David Price of the Los Angeles Dodgers will have under 4.0 strikeouts -123
Correlated play
Baseball - 913 Pittsburgh Pirates team total over 2½ -145
Cubs auto fade
Cincinnati Reds -½ -115 for 1st 5 Innings Price Is Fixed
I posted a snap Rockies auto-bet in the MLB thread convo with gut yesterday and I might do 1st 5 again. Idea, ya know.
Braves?
Bets for August 16 - Aug 22 (Week 4)
Current
LPGA -Lydia Ko to win AIG Women’s Open $1000 at +1400
Euro Tour - Sam Horsfield to win D & D Czech Majors $1000 at +1100
New Today
PGA - Dustin Johnson to win Northern Trust $950 at +1800 (Standard Price BOL you can get +1900)
No Fucking Way Parlay (Prob Don’t try at home) $50 Lydia Ko/Horsfield/D Johnson +341900
Start $50,000 Remaining $50,000 Current Week $0 Last Week +$7000
——————————————————————————————————————————
If we brick we start all over from square one. BTW if you are betting outrights and the site allows you to parlay them, I do like from time to time to give myself a chance at a huge score if somehow a miracle occurs. We are talking a small investment. If you are betting $100 on the outrights, I don’t see the harm in throw 5 bucks or so in case of a miracle. Better odds than the powerball at least.
This week Ko and Horsefield sort of forced my hand. I didn’t want to have this much action but sometimes circumstances arise you have to ship it and hope one comes in. Just one.
GL
New threads for my Fantasy Football draft.
You don’t need an exam. You were on it as usual. He took money today. Down to +2000 on a lot of sites.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Jays and Rays +115
Joke of the day: Price -345. It's too bad Pittsburgh is brutal I can't go against Price at home....but taking the road dog has to be +EV here long term?
Starting at 5:05pm PT
Texas (Hearn) +120 vs. Seattle (Ty Anderson)
I think I set a record today.
Got a new local 1.5 weeks ago. 2000 credit 200 max
Lost $510 in 3 days, shipped Monday AM.
This week lost $735, shipped yesterday.
Got a text from the agent.
“Yeah xxx shut you off. I knew something was up when we asked me if you paid yet.”
What happened? He doesn’t like players that lose?
“He said he fucking hates your bets. Every time he looked at your open bets you beat the line and he just didn’t want to deal with you anymore”
OK cool - tell him to enjoy the $$
What a fucking joke. Even beating the lines you couldn’t do much damage with those fucking limits. It’s not even about the money, but the sub-agent should return his piece to you 100%. Typically at least half the action. Jerk-offs.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Brothers I am going to bet against these teamsQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog