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So on these 235+ totals...Druff have you studied any of these game types...these last two that you posted the teams came out on fire and would assume blew away the HT line, but the scoring seemed to flatten a touch in the second half...possible to bet HT over and full game under on these? I know lol 2 game sample...
No. I'm just doing these on feel, and honestly that feel mainly comes from the fact that I don't believe 235+ totals can cover the over reliably.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
But yeah, LOL 2 game sample space.
True story with the Clippers... I totally forgot about it, then ran down to bet it in the final minutes. Wish I forgot. What a disaster that was.
2-2 day thanks to Houston, and I move to 127-92-2.
Nice card this is.
Oh, and regarding the last-minute Dallas pick I posted and retracted (which I don't think anyone bet, fortunately, and I didn't either), I made a critical error which, if anything, meant I should have picked the other way.
But it was so last minute that I didn't have time to do anything but erase the post and not bet it myself.
It's losing by 15 so looks like that was a good decision. If I had more time, I actually would have gone with Portland, but either way, whatever... it's a no-pick/no-bet.
Going under 1.5 in the main.
Need this one to avoid a truly bad night.
Every now and again it's good to get a reminder what it's like to have a sportsbook account and just "fire away for action".
Goodnight i
I almost never play props but I grabbed Gronk over 80 and Amendola over 40 before Brady warm up
This is RAC thinking
GL today. You role over the season's Patriots win $ onto this one game?Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I like both those props. Both of those guys are injury prone though, so that is the concern.
So if I showed you what I played for props I'd get the "#stalelines for sure.
I like Brady over comps
Bortles over comps and yards
Just about every WR under longest pass
Fournette and Lewis under Rush and rush&rec
GRONK first TD is worth it at 5-1 or better.
I’m up about 10 units. I cashed out some.Quote:
Originally Posted by CharhamGL today. You role over the season's Patriots win $ onto this one game?Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
What started out as a Sun/Mon -9.5 one unit play has morphed into 5 units including the player props which is just a proxy on Pats winning anyway.
My plan and my advice is to have that live game tab open. More importantly, get an early read on Brady and don’t dink around - you gotta be first cause everyone is gonna bet this hard. It will reflect true life fast.
I have a cute little runner in Vegas with South Points app open so I can bet big if I have to hedge
I have no lean on later game and am only considering in game there.
I am resigned to the possibility that I may see all profits smoked by midnight.
Degens know how one mistake (betting on Monday) can spin into denial and tilt tbh.
I have thought this through to the conclusion.
I have a strong rope and a rickety chair in the basement.
More exotics
Longest FG under 50.5 for both games
Shortest FG over 26.5
Jax first penalty
Jax longest Kickoff return
Never been more fascinated by a man’s hand since BGC.
Brady looks like shit. He doesn’t know cameras are on him lol. Could be another troll job
NBA
Detroit over 209 (its -105 on Bovada right now)
Might have one more on last game later.
well good start, NE looking the better team.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI’m up about 10 units. I cashed out some.Quote:
Originally Posted by Charham
What started out as a Sun/Mon -9.5 one unit play has morphed into 5 units including the player props which is just a proxy on Pats winning anyway.
My plan and my advice is to have that live game tab open. More importantly, get an early read on Brady and don’t dink around - you gotta be first cause everyone is gonna bet this hard. It will reflect true life fast.
I have a cute little runner in Vegas with South Points app open so I can bet big if I have to hedge
I have no lean on later game and am only considering in game there.
I am resigned to the possibility that I may see all profits smoked by midnight.
Degens know how one mistake (betting on Monday) can spin into denial and tilt tbh.
I have thought this through to the conclusion.
I have a strong rope and a rickety chair in the basement.
seems 100% reasonable in this city...whoever came up with this idea should get a raise and a promotion...
You can tell NE is desperate, because they are throwing seam routes to Gronk where he is exposed to getting lit up. And Church just went blatantly helmet to helmet and may have concussed him out of the game. Stay tuned kiddos.
there is no fucking way that gronk misses the second half unless TV cameras physically catch him walking like he's drunk...the regular season has shown that the concussion protocol is bullshit...Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard