No hedge btw, Tom Brady and I are both GOD
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No hedge btw, Tom Brady and I are both GOD
Good news and bad news. Good news is there is only one golfer in the top 10 in the world playing this week. Bad news is it’s Dustin Johnson. He is around +350 at most places. He honestly could of won in Saudi Arabia by 12 shots instead of 2 if the putter just worked normally for him.
He is very likely to win but there no way I’m taking +350. This is week where you can get a good price on a lot of guys that have been around the leaderboard lately.
I got a few free bets from super bowl promos and I’ll prob pick 3 guys and hope one of them pops. More importantly hope DJ shits the bed somehow. Maybe that flight from Dubai will at least cause him to start off slow.
Cantlay +1000Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
DJ never plays well coming back from Saudi Arabia - he can be caught.
*** MONEYLINE ALERT ***
The Bucks are 4-0 in February, winning by blowout each time. They face the enigmatic Nuggets in Denver, now 1-3 in their last four (and looking bad in all of the three losses), and the Bucks are just a 3.5 favorite.
Do you think I'm picking Milwaukee?
Of course not. That would be the ploppy play.
Denver will surprise the Bucks and hand them their first February loss.
Also, tonight the Suns and Cavaliers play, in what looks like a simpdog autobet type situation. In the past 6 contests, Cavs have scored 81, 104, 100, 99, 105, 99. Phoenix has scored 114, 111, 109, 101, 109, 100. In three of those, Phoenix also held their opponent to 91-93 points. Going with the under for this and other reasons.
Phoenix vs. Cleveland - Under 214.5
Denver +140 vs. Milwaukee
Does anyone believe this is true? I can’t imagine a book exposing themselves like this.
No, don’t believe it, but in some world he actually got that amount of $ down on a prop, the fact he did it and didn’t keep quiet means they’re 100% going to fuck him. He is all over the place bragging about it.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Does anyone believe this is true? I can’t imagine a book exposing themselves like this.
I saw some story about him being paid by a YouTube channel to promote it on NY Post this morning. I can’t link it for some reason.
Nuggets 79 point 1st followed by 42 point 2nd. Ugh....Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I’ll give anyone $100 that comes up with hard evidence that guy collects 200k from any offshore book.
0.0% chance that’s true.
Arizona over hits with 1 second remaining. Lol, never in doubtQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I also need the Nuggets to score. My Phoenix under is already dead, and the Nuggets had a halftime lead, but are down 18-9 in the 3rd, and now trail by 6.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Nuggets 79 point 1st followed by 42 point 2nd. Ugh....Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I've dodged a losing day for a long time, but looks like it might be coming.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI also need the Nuggets to score. My Phoenix under is already dead, and the Nuggets had a halftime lead, but are down 18-9 in the 3rd, and now trail by 6.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
I've dodged a losing day for a long time, but looks like it might be coming.
Ugh.....
Yeah, lost them both.
I regret not seeing the OKC moneyline against the Lakers, who have been dogshit in some games where Davis is out. Since there's no AD today, it wasn't a stretch to think OKC had a decent chance, and indeed they're up 7.
That would've been a nice payday. It's not over though.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Does anyone believe this is true? I can’t imagine a book exposing themselves like this.
LOL I had to use 4 diff books to get 2k down on the coin toss
This is fake news
Kaia Kanepi isn't hope you all listened
Fuck DJ withdrew so all the prices just went down on everyone. Cantlay +650/+700. Betting yesterday was the value. B/C he was such a heavy heavy favorite the odds shift on everyone else is the most dramatic since Tiger withdrawing in his prime. Dam yesterday was the day to bet.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyCantlay +1000Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
DJ never plays well coming back from Saudi Arabia - he can be caught.
I’m happy and heated.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeFuck DJ withdrew so all the prices just went down on everyone. Cantlay +650/+700. Betting yesterday was the value. B/C he was such a heavy heavy favorite the odds shift on everyone else is the most dramatic since Tiger withdrawing in his prime. Dam yesterday was the day to bet.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I was able to get some Cantlay at 10-1 yesterday but some books didn’t post until today.
I got a hybrid line of 8.5-1.....
Autobets 1-1 yesterday for 6-5 on year.
Brooklyn over is the autobet for today.
NHL
Oilers in regulation -130
Oilers over 6.5
Tampa in regulation +104
SJ over 5.5 -125
If you want to get fancy do Vegas/Oilers moneyline parlay?
*** MONEYLINE ALERT ***
Detroit +205 vs. Brooklyn
Durant out
So far so good with Detroit, up 38-26 after 1. Long way to go, though, and the Nets can put up points quickly.
Here are two more I've been mulling over today, and have decided to fire:
Golden State -1 at San Antonio (Draymond "probable")
Philadelphia at Sacramento - Over 232
Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Decided to go with your last one, except I chose o6 +110 instead of 5.5 -126.
My first simpdog NHL tail of the year.
I see both Oilers bets looking decent so far.
GL us
FYI Draymond WILL play tonight. Just announced.
However, that also sent the line up to -1.5.
As shitty teams are known to do, the Pistons chunked off half of a 17-point lead, and went into halftime only up 8. Still a good half for me, obviously, but sad to see the Pistons couldn't put them away, or at least hold a double-digit lead.
I might revisit the 1H thing pushed by Sanlmar last season, and apply them to NBA moneylines. I've noticed that a lot of bad teams can hang for a half, and then get blown out in the 3rd and 4th. (In their heyday, the Warriors were famous for burying teams in the 3rd.)
Pistons let the lead get reduced to 2, but finished the 3rd up 8.
Right now they're back to 5, with 11 minutes left. Would be great if this shit team could hold this somehow. They've been ahead the entire game.
:yes
11 point victory. Shitty Pistons have now won 6 games this season, two of which I bet at over +200.
Spurs can't shoot in the 3rd. Warriors up 17 after a tie at halftime.
Nice.
Much better day today.
Detroit +205 wins
GS -1 pretty much a lock now
Sac/Phil 93 points in 15 min
Wow, the Sac over looked like a lock, with 137 in the first half. Amazingly, only 35 points in the first 10.5 minutes of the 3rd, and now it's a sweat.
:fail
I can't believe I'm probably going to lose this Sac over. Pretty bad beat.
Also, if the Sharks could score one more to tie it up, that would be great.
I need the fouling bullshit at the end, usually an enemy of my unders, to save me here. 112-107 with 2:12 left. Need 232 to tie.
Also LOL @ the Sharks not scoring for the final 2.5 periods.
Wow, saved by the fucking bell. With 45 seconds remaining, the Sharks heard me whine on PFA and scored, to tie it 3-3
:yes
All these missed free throws at the end are gonna screw me. 3 already missed in the final minute.
230 points, all down to the final shot taken by Sac. If they make it, they foul and I win. If they miss, Philly holds the ball and it's over.
119-111
Well, they didn't miss the last shot.
They missed the last 2 shots. Miss, offensive rebound, miss again. Done.
93 points in the second half.
2-1 in what should have been an easy 3-0 day.
:gay2
NBA auto bet won. 5-1 day including a nice parlay hit.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Druff 2-1 day
:entertained
If you aren’t making money ITT you just aren’t paying attention.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Does anyone believe this is true? I can’t imagine a book exposing themselves like this.
It's Vitaly Uncensored. it's on his leotard.
NBA auto bets 1-0 yesterday, 6-4 on year
Lakers under 218.5
Denver over 219
Brooklyn over 235
Atlanta under 232.
Fading one auto-bet.
Also have a moneyline I like a lot.
Chicago +120 vs. New Orleans
Washington vs Toronto - Over 234.5
Denver vs Cleveland - Under 219
Zalatoris for the AT&T 18/1
Kids going to win a lot on tour but this isn’t the prototypical first win venue.Quote:
Originally Posted by YUUP
hall of mother fucking fame right here...