So it is ordained, so it is done.
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So it is ordained, so it is done.
TIDQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Minnesota game has shitload of scoring at the end of 1H and now might lose that too.
If I lose 7 in a row after rarely losing 3 in a row over my first 160+ picks, that's gonna super tilting.
1-2 about the best I can do at this point.
Sorry to hear. I lose 7 bets in a row at least once a week. Sometimes multiple times a week. I would like to say it hurts less with time, but it doesn't.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
The Oklahoma play calling was just so atrocious coming down the stretch and OT. Whoever was calling the plays never even gave them a chance to win the game. He should take full responsibility for this loss.
Two shots at OT in that Orlando over and both 3-pointers missed.
Of course fair chance I still lose in OT because I would have needed 23 points.
Need a slow 4Q with Minn or I'm 0-7 in past 2 days.
The other game (that had already gone over) wend to OT. That is when you know it is just not your day.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
In the Laker game, despite only being down 14 in beginning of 4th looks like Walton has thrown in the towel. I watch a lot of Laker games and don't recognize these guys, that is how deep down the bench he has gone. Such luminaries as Zubac, Blue and Caruso getting long 4th Q run in a manageable game.
The blowout nature of that game saved me and I stopped the bleeding.
1-2 day
99-67-2 record
Pride cometh before the fall. You proclaimed here and on radio that statistically your run was beyond mathematical explanation. You must know something.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Weeeeellllllllllll.......
I didn’t have a dog in the fight but I hate when refs blow calls in Big Spots
The first pic is when OU had 3rd down and short with about 330 left in the 4th up by 7. Obvious tackle by the face mask on Ga which should have been 15 yards and a 1st down which would have forced Ga to use their TOs and another 1st down the game is over
Want to know how GA was able to score so easily in OT to end the game? holding by Frohm on the edge. Should have been a 10 yard penalty from the 22 (where the hold actually started) pushing Ga back and if they gain no more yardage makes the FG more difficult at the very least....obviously other outcomes could have happened but at least it plays out
I said on radio that there was a 99.55% chance it was not just due to luck.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Pride cometh before the fall. You proclaimed here and on radio that statistically your run was beyond mathematical explanation. You must know something.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Weeeeellllllllllll.......
If I do go into a slump from which I can't escape, I will determine that 2nd half NBA betting is too tough and shut it down.
I'm not going to panic over a single 1-6 streak.
Meh. Its football. There is probably 50 plays like that a game that aren't obvious that the refs don't see. I was watching those plays live and don't remember anything obvious. Oklahoma got super conservative play calling in the 4th Q when they took back the lead and OT. They went multiple drives and never even threw the ball downfield once except for a free play.Quote:
Originally Posted by lvpkr1009I didn’t have a dog in the fight but I hate when refs blow calls in Big Spots
The first pic is when OU had 3rd down and short with about 330 left in the 4th up by 7. Obvious tackle by the face mask on Ga which should have been 15 yards and a 1st down which would have forced Ga to use their TOs and another 1st down the game is over
Want to know how GA was able to score so easily in OT to end the game? holding by Frohm on the edge. Should have been a 10 yard penalty from the 22 (where the hold actually started) pushing Ga back and if they gain no more yardage makes the FG more difficult at the very least....obviously other outcomes could have happened but at least it plays out
They played a prevent offense and it prevented them from winning.
The odds against losing 6 straight coin flips is 98.44%. So was this just bad luck or are you that bad?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI said on radio that there was a 99.55% chance it was not just due to luck.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
If I do go into a slump from which I can't escape, I will determine that 2nd half NBA betting is too tough and shut it down.
I'm not going to panic over a single 1-6 streak.
See what I'm getting at? You can't say 99.5% this is skill based yet the 98.44 chance was just run bad
I know you like to troll but even you can't be as stupid to not consider sample size. 1-6 is 98.44% but the probability and sample size need to be considered here. Him saying it is 99.5% skill is over 170games at 59% which is above average and diminishes variance which can lead to a 98.4% run, same way you can have 20 blacks in roulette. You're just being a d-bag for the sake of being one. Get fucked.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22The odds against losing 6 straight coin flips is 98.44%. So was this just bad luck or are you that bad?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
See what I'm getting at? You can't say 99.5% this is skill based yet the 98.44 chance was just run bad
Read your 'tired, old, rehashed..' thread and see how it could apply in this thread.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22The odds against losing 6 straight coin flips is 98.44%. So was this just bad luck or are you that bad?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
See what I'm getting at? You can't say 99.5% this is skill based yet the 98.44 chance was just run bad
Cavs -8.5 tonight.
Blazers on a road back-to-back after winning in OT against the Bulls last night. They looked pretty tired last night, too.
Lillard returning after missing last 5 due to hamstring injury.
In the spirit of this forum my new years resolution is for no one else to start a post with "I know you like to troll but." These woahhvicky dis videos have finally made me see the light. Either you think he's trolling or you don't. Having it both ways must stop.
I'm sorry if this makes me look like I support Jesearles' unfounded attacks on owner because I obviously don't but Jesus Christ either you think a guy is trolling or you don't. I personally think he's being serious here but that is neither here nor there. The days of posts where people tell others they are trolling succeeded by sentence after sentence of telling the guy what a retard he is for his opinion must end pronto.
So just to recap, I have a $200 ML straight up bet with Tellafriend on a team that is somewhere around a -400 favorite. I could just bet the underdog now and lock in ~$50 profit. However, not gonna do it. Maybe it if was $2k, but for $200 just gonna let it ride. Still, huge thanks to Tellafriend for giving me all the equity. Much love.
Sacramento under 205 (204.5 -110 ok)
That's it for today.
Was traveling all weekend, so let's start off 2018 with a couple more NBA props.
E. Kanter under 13.5 points -130
E. Kanter under 10 rebounds -115
Both on Bovada