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Quote:
Originally Posted by SetofKs
Why would he take an even money bet on trump against an anonymous person from the internet, when he could bet the field vs hillary at a very reputable sportsbook and get well over +200?Quote:
Originally Posted by rum dick
Have you heard of pride? If you are confident enough in your man then odds shouldn't matter.
http://a57.foxnews.com/media2.foxnew....jpg?ve=1&tl=1
At least we will get rid of these motherfuckers once Donald Trump becomes President.
We will gladly trade these for Bieber and a first round draft pick.Quote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactor
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
thesidedish: SCAM MUCH???
Dude what the fuck is wrong with you? If you don't want to make the bet because most likely you know you'll lose the $100 then just say so but don't start tossing around false accusations about scamming, especially on this site. For the record, I've made numerous bets with longtime posters here and on NWP and on Boris and on Skatz and I've paid every single time I've lost a bet. So get outta here with your bullshit.
Also, that was a total trump move on your part, ie you get a simple question you don't like and instead of answering it you throw out some retarded and blatantly false nonsense.
Maybe al Sharpton can fight for the disenfranchised black people of canadaQuote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactor
Quote:
Originally Posted by rum dick
wow dude ur a fuckin loser. No sense of humor like most worthless, talentless anti trumpers.
And another thing, it really is a fascinating, amazing, telling thing that I have not seen 1 man in THE ENTIRE WORLD that hates Trump that actually commands respect. So hmmmm who should really be in charge of electing leaders?
NATE SILVER: 'We basically got the Republican race wrong'
Wrongest? Guy is so off kilter he's now making Trumpism's.Quote:
In September 2015, writer and statistician Nate Silver urged people to "calm down" about the possibility of Donald Trump winning the Republican presidential nomination.
Two months later, he wrote that the media should "stop freaking out about Donald Trump's polls" and that Trump's odds were "higher than 0 but (considerably) less than 20 percent."
Six months after that, after Ted Cruz had dropped out of the race but before John Kasich had done so, Silver wrote: "Donald Trump is going to win the Republican nomination."
"Other than being early skeptics of Jeb Bush, we basically got the Republican race wrong," Silver wrote.
It's easy to cringe at how, in August, for instance, Silver outlined the "six stages of doom" that he foresaw for Trump in the coming months — and how, in December, he updated the post to note that "the most difficult hurdles between Donald Trump and the Republican presidential nomination are still to come."
So how did the site that prides itself on a numbers-based approach end up just another late-stage Trump bear with its tail between its legs? Silver has some ideas.
For one, some of Silver's earliest Trump doomsday analysis was, by its own admission, in line with the theories of "The Party Decides," a theory that posits candidates must be electable and believers in the party's positions. By January, Silver was rereading the book: Either the book's hypothesis that functioning parties nominate strategic candidates is wrong, he said then, or the Republican Party is not a functioning one.
But Silver isn't giving up on "The Party Decides" quite yet. So when, on Wednesday, Silver admitted that "in Trump, the Republican Party may have a candidate who fails on both counts," he unsurprisingly also argued for the "failings of the Republican Party as an institution."
Silver wrote:
To me, the most surprising part of Trump's nomination — which is to say, the part I think I got wrongest — is that Trump won the nomination despite having all types of deviations from conservative orthodoxy. He seemed wobbly on all parts of Reagan's three-legged stool: economic policy (he largely opposes free trade and once advocated for a wealth tax and single-payer health care), social policy (consider his constant flip-flopping over abortion), and foreign policy (he openly mocked the Bush administration's handling of the Iraq War, which is still fairly popular among Republicans).
But Republican institutional failure alone is only one of three major facets of Silver's analysis, which simultaneously addressed Trump's success and Silver's (predictive) failure.
The other two components are the incredible volume of media coverage of Trump and the tribal nature of Republican primary voters. On the latter, Silver said that Trump's appeal to "cultural grievance" worked.
"It's a point in favor of those who see politics as being governed by cultural identity," he wrote, "as opposed to carefully calibrating one's position on a left-right spectrum."
Statistical analysis is always still analysis and, as such, requires some assumptions. And though he didn't address it specifically in his post on Wednesday, Silver said in November that a statistical approach to presidential-campaign prediction is a hard problem because there's only so much data.
Perhaps Silver's most prescient prediction came in November: "Unprecedented events can occur with some regularity."
I grew tired of Nate Silver long ago.
Not just the election.
That post is for the 3 Nate nut huggers that read this thread.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I guess Trump was a black swan, so for more on that we can turn to Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who like Silver is overrated and full of himself and who managed to parlay a lucky guess into being paid to keep guessing about other things.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4DragonsThat post is for the 3 Nate nut huggers that read this thread.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I THINK ITS SAFE TO SAY RUM DICK IS SPINNING LIKE A TOP.
I can't for the life of me try to make sense what hes doing between all his posts and reps in the last couple pages
Leave rum dick alone. He's one of the good guys here despite his political beliefs. Don't hold that against him.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
I love how Druff thinks that only retards and religious freaks like Trump yet the guy hasn't lost a fucking county in the past six states. He makes it sound like Trump is just a passing fad like the godfather pizza n-word guy four years ago. Druff lives in a little bubble in the most libtard douche state in the country so obviously he doesn't understand what is going on in the real world. I know people with a hell of a lot more money and education than Druff who voted Trump without a gun to their head.
Please keep in mind Druff is wealthy because he got lucky in poker. He didn't necessarily earn it like other members of his family. God bless the guy but without poker he's just another socially awkward computer nerd making $90k a year.
Only idiots vote for Trump. Lots of idiots with money, which is how Druff made his money. (voting for HRC is also idiotic).Quote:
Originally Posted by Pooh
Thank you mumbles. Heard you on radio last night. Don't think Drex actually gets you yet.
Heres some food for thought folks that cuts to the core of the issue of whether you like Trump or dislike him. Hillary CAN NOT be allowed to win in November PERIOD.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ftpjesusHeres some food for thought folks that cuts to the core of the issue of whether you like Trump or dislike him. Hillary CAN NOT be allowed to win in November PERIOD.
Trump is not a conservative, hell, he is probably more liberal than Hilary!
The TRUMP train is steamrolling
Deal with it
if you're voting for Hillary, you are a cretin and mentally incompetent
Oh and Sean Hannity is GOD
Dr. Savage>Hannity and it is not even close
Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsSatire
Listen to both daily
Dr Savage is GOD
Ben Carson says he doesn't want to be VP. Suggests Trump could consider a Democrat running mate. Let that one sink in for a minute, hmmmmmm.
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politi...OET?li=BBnb7Kz
Carson took it back a bit later, lol.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerI guess Trump was a black swan, so for more on that we can turn to Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who like Silver is overrated and full of himself and who managed to parlay a lucky guess into being paid to keep guessing about other things.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4Dragons
You will be hearing a lot of "Crooked Hillary" from Trump over the next 6 months
Nobody is more crooked than Trump. The only difference is Trump has never been responsible for anything important.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Again with the ambiguity.Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerNobody is more crooked than Trump. The only difference is Trump has never been responsible for anything important.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
'This one is better than that one because I say so'. Cute, but that shit don't fly. Trump didn't leave his friends to die.
Hello Boys and Girls. new guy on the block here. And look where I come first, the president thread. Can I weigh in? I don't weigh much. But i will tip the scale.
I'm a staunch Bernie supporter. Why? Because this guy is actually for the people. That's why he's the best candidate, but unfortunately for us, in 2016 America, that won't get you shit. As my grandpa used to scream at me "Larry! It's a GOVERNMENT FOR THE PEOPLE BY THE PEOPLE AGAINST THE PEOPLE!"
and it couldn't be more true now. We've got private prisons, we've got banks running the politicians, we've got the war on drugs (which is the war on the people masquerading as the war on drugs) we've got the war on "terror" (even though we're some of the biggest terrorists ever) and in some places, like Chicago, where a year or so ago the guardian broke a story about a secret police detention center on the west side of the city where they take low level drug busts and hold them without lawyers for hours and hours, means that both the war on drugs and the war on terror are now intertwined. In some places, you can't tell if it's the police or if it's the military.
As Howard Beale once said "A dollar buys a nickles worth, gangs run rampant in the streets!" and it's true. The movie Network means more today then it did 40 years ago. But those gangs running rampant are the police, and the politicians.
where am i going with all of this you ask? Let me explain:
bernie wants to end all of this. He wants to end the regime of the big banks. He wants to end the war on the people. He wants to give us back our country.
But Bernie can't win unfortunately. Because this system is rigged. It's rigged in favor of the elite, of the 1%. We have closed primaries where Independents are shut out of voting. You know what that means? It means that as an independent voter, in certain states (looking at you Arizona) you can't vote. But your taxes pay for that election. So it's taxation without representation at it's finest.
So you know what I'm going to do? I'm going to take my ball and go home. Now you may say "But Larry, what the hell are you doing! dont you know doing that means we might have trump?" and to those people i say: yup. I know exactly what i'm doing. I choose not to participate I'm not just going to vote for the lesser of two evils. Why? Because that's what has perpetuated the state of affairs we're currently in. NOT VOTING IS A FORM OF PROTEST. I'm protesting our rigged system. I'm going to let Trump win. Because we as americans, are getting what we deserve on this one. We didn't do enough. We didn't burn the place down in the face of blatant election fraud. And for that, we're going to get it.
The dems are going to learn a huge lesson here, and that is, not to fuck with the people. The GOP is going to learn a huge lesson here, and that is when you endorse a fascist, you get fascisim, and it will cost you for years and years to come.
So yeah America, eat a dick, because you deserve it. I'll just watch it burn from afar, and when it's over, i'll sift through the ashes.
MumblesBadly: Counter one of the ignorant red reps.
YOU are the dumb one sir. How can u be so old and still not know that FFS
Pray our new leader doesn't become an expansionist. I mean, he is a land developer by trade.Quote:
Originally Posted by LarryLaffer
no matter what combination of presidents we have over the next 8-12 years the supreme court wont wind up 7-2Quote:
Originally Posted by ftpjesusHeres some food for thought folks that cuts to the core of the issue of whether you like Trump or dislike him. Hillary CAN NOT be allowed to win in November PERIOD.
I'd like to also add, that in this country you have the right to not vote. There are some places that force you to vote. So yeah, like i said, eat a dick america. our system is flawed beyond belief. Anyone who thinks this is a free country is so blind to the truth that it won't matter anyway.
we incarcerate more people than the entire population of FRANCE. that's a staggering number. a vote for anyone other than Bernie Sanders is basically giving into the system.
.....and it's bullshit.
Possibly NSFW -- Gory:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KsGshRF4lWA
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W7I92r9GqUwQuote:
Originally Posted by bukowski72
I am NOT dumb, sir! This IQ test shows that I am smarter than 74% of all people!Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
i guess I have to wonder. Are you all really this fucking stupid? ffs, DONALD TRUMP IS GOING TO BE PRESIDENT and you guys are acting like it isn't the end of the world.
you see, it's like BTF Part 2, and we're entering Alternate 2016. the timeline got skewed somewhere in the past, and we need Doc Brown and Marty to right the ship.
In fact, I know exactly when the timeline got messed up. 4-15-2011
we need to go back and fix it. oh yeah before I go out for the night (because I have a life, and it's currently 81 degrees where I am at) i'll just leave it with this.
FEEL THE BERN 9/11 was an inside job. Jet fuel can't melt steel beems. Evan Williams is not TOP SHELF WHISKEY and Millers Crossing is by far the best coen brothers movie.
"The jews were the worlds n-word before anyone else" - Hesh Rabkin
and Nixon was not a crook.
So Trump won the nomination partly because he said muslims will be banned from entering the US.
Meanwhile, back in the civilized world. London has just elected the first muslim Mayor to hold office in a major western city. (that is despite the best efforts of Murdoch and the jews to fuck his campaign up)
Crazy times.
Well at least now you'll be able to subjugate your women and they won't have any recourse. Lolololol, welcome to your 3rd world status England.Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord of the Fraud
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7W9YWVQAIxM
Build the wall.