interesting sharks line...kinda has me worried by being really low, but numbers say it's an auto fire so I did...
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interesting sharks line...kinda has me worried by being really low, but numbers say it's an auto fire so I did...
Take a look at 5Dimes & Pinnacle for St Jose 1P. 40 & 50 cent line. THE WORST out there.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I woke up to a -290 line so I passed. Going 3/4 to break even isn’t a way to get rich in life. That said very well done with these over the past few weeks.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
From what I can tell there will be some -200 opetunties where it’s plus EV to make these plays but you will need to more matchup selective going forward.
Again, I find that so interesting. I just see that as bad book making.
I’m suggesting Bruins/St Louis 1P under -125 to Simp.
The Bruins Rask is playing out of his mind. We already know the Blues under.
It’s 4pm face off - so wait for Simp.
Hopefully I can get him to go public with his baseball picks.
Almost forgot, NBA tank is ML Atlanta at home vs Phoenix
I’m also taking Ben and the points vs LeBron
Sorry had an intervention here. Just snuck outside with my phone. Half of the GA meeting is here trying to convince me not to bet 1ps. They say it's over.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarTake a look at 5Dimes & Pinnacle for St Jose 1P. 40 & 50 cent line. THE WORST out there.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Again, I find that so interesting. I just see that as bad book making.
I’m suggesting Bruins/St Louis 1P under -125 to Simp.
The Bruins Rask is playing out of his mind. We already know the Blues under.
It’s 4pm face off - so wait for Simp.
Hopefully I can get him to go public with his baseball picks.
Almost forgot, NBA tank is ML Atlanta at home vs Phoenix
I’m also taking Ben and the points vs LeBron
I'll co-sign with Boston/St Louis under. But only barely if you're paying more juice than that then it's a clear pass IMO.
As I mentioned before Lebron said "playoff mode activated". Sorry San, but I will not be betting against the Lakers anytime soon.
To be clear today the stick to the plan bets are Stars and Sharks. Juice is a lot worse than this AM.
Another tanker? vs absolute tanker.
Taking Memphis +2.5 at Cavs.
Cavs have won 2 out of 3 and they can't keep winning if they want to stay in the tankers mix.
Ben vs LeBron was Druff’s attempt to think through how lines were made yesterday. Ben is Druff Jr.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Cavs aren’t obeying the Tankers Code. You haven’t followed the rules and frankly your results are suspect here.
Flipping NBA coins is the road to ruin. Even Harolobob quit NBA well before he took the gig with Mavs. He knew.
That money would be better used on a back wax and frankly it would be less painful.
Oh dear god. Not you too?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I was gonna offer you a piece. You’re out now.
MOBILE - NBA PLAYOFF SPECIALS - TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS - LOS ANGELES LAKERS - NO -130
TABLET - NBA REGULAR SEASON - BATTLE OF L.A. - TEAM TO FINISH HIGHER IN THE STANDINGS - LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS -145
CONTEST NOTES:
TEAM TO BE SEEDED HIGHER AFTER THE 82 GAME REGULAR SEASON. OFFICIAL NBA TIEBREAKER RULES APPLY
James Harden is questionable for tonight.
Get unders while you can.
Houston at Golden State - Under 234 (233.5 ok)
aight boys whats the deal for tomorrow?
top over v. top under and a top 3 over vs. top 4 under...and is CAL/OTT good enough to fire on the over at 133?
CAL/OTT should be fineQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
The others are gambling.
Blues/Wild is interesting as Blues are white hot. I need help.
It’s time to wake up Simp. and hassle him about fucking up NBA tanking. That’s supposed to be a smooth unit almost every day.
Almost fired on Phx live last night early 4th qtr when they were up like 92-86. I fell asleep dreaming I had max bet Hawks live. Damn
Anyway, I’m gonna take the rest of Simp’s NetJet miles on the next NBA tank play or Lakers
CAL/OTT already got away, 175...passing at that price...Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarCAL/OTT should be fineQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
The others are gambling.
Blues/Wild is interesting as Blues are white hot. I need help.
It’s time to wake up Simp. and hassle him about fucking up NBA tanking. That’s supposed to be a smooth unit almost every day.
Almost fired on Phx live last night early 4th qtr when they were up like 92-86. I fell asleep dreaming I had max bet Hawks live. Damn
Anyway, I’m gonna take the rest of Simp’s NetJet miles on the next NBA tank play or Lakers
didn't know what you guys did when you had the polar opposites...if it was just an auto fire on the over or not...ill pass 'em…
got MEM at +12.5 live last night...now wishing I put more on it...
CAL/OTT doesn’t seem wrong at that price. Wait a little for Simp.
I was curious how the market would react to getting crushed at those big numbers. Would they have any conviction? Probably not.
The Blackhawks seem to be the only team where you can completely disregard their opponent. Zero defense and fast break offense. They score & get scored on. Sort of “do it yourself” overs.
Thought I would run some LeBron “failure to cover” numbers past few years. Pretty sure that’s gonna work for me again. LeBron in Cleveland was amazing ATS fail.
Golden State as an autobet ATS fail. Feel stupid for missing this mature trend.
would you take it at 167 against the worst over team in the league? I mean for a CHI over it's obviously cheap as shit, but it is DAL...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Let’s pass. Dallas offense is lame.
I want to though
smells like a live bet degen moment when they don't score in the first 5-6 minutes and it's like +100/110Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Straight outta my playbook.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenissmells like a live bet degen moment when they don't score in the first 5-6 minutes and it's like +100/110Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Gonna warn you. If Blackhawks score in the first minute or two you are liable to go on Yuuge tilt.
Have a bottle and fresh glass close by.
Taking Sharks over the 1p and Blues moneyline.
I’m too old for this shit.
Nice work on round one everyone
Blues next. Just to be clear, we are on sides
had a fucking migraine so missed out on this shit, goddamn it...on the blues...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
you live bet the CHI game? looked like if you hit that sweet spot around 6 minutes you mighta gotten a good deal...
I caught it at +100Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenishad a fucking migraine so missed out on this shit, goddamn it...on the blues...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
you live bet the CHI game? looked like if you hit that sweet spot around 6 minutes you mighta gotten a good deal...
Now I have a migraine
Gambling hockey. I’ve said it before but the intensity of every second of hockey is killing me unlike any other sport. It’s not even close.
I’ve also never seen anything run so pure.
worries me that I've gotten good at ballparking a price 'x' minutes into a game...jesus Christ I really need to go to a GA meeting...but then that would be quitting...fucked if I do, fucked if I don't...Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI caught it at +100Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Now I have a migraine
Gambling hockey. I’ve said it before but the intensity of every second of hockey is killing me unlike any other sport. It’s not even close.
I’ve also never seen anything run so pure.
so are we on weather (162) and satan (150) today?
Only weather here today for now.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
A boring NBA ML tank unit would be
2 team ML parlay -111
Heat (Suns) & Clippers (Mavs)
Both tankers OTR and we are not ATS but ML.
I asked Harolobob to nod his head if he was tanking. Dallas should do a Harolobob bobble head night.
Edit
there are no boring wins.
Playoff mode?Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarOh dear god. Not you too?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I was gonna offer you a piece. You’re out now.
MOBILE - NBA PLAYOFF SPECIALS - TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS - LOS ANGELES LAKERS - NO -130
TABLET - NBA REGULAR SEASON - BATTLE OF L.A. - TEAM TO FINISH HIGHER IN THE STANDINGS - LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS -145
CONTEST NOTES:
TEAM TO BE SEEDED HIGHER AFTER THE 82 GAME REGULAR SEASON. OFFICIAL NBA TIEBREAKER RULES APPLY
Jesus buddy.
What’s the elapsed time here? This was offered over the All Star break. Lyin & Stealin
Westgate the only place I can find this prop still relevant. It’s now -250
Five thirty eight ELO has them at a generous 6%
If that crook (and good pal of Donaghy) Scott Foster didn’t run Harden out on bogus fouls and technicals I woulda posted this Saturday
NBA Intergity
What’s the time of death? Maybe tonight
Enjoy
Their schedule down the stretch is VERY tough. If they had the Spurs record and place right now they probably wouldn’t be a favorite to make playoffs.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarPlayoff mode?Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Jesus buddy.
What’s the elapsed time here?
Westgate the only place I can find this prop still relevant. It’s now -250
Five thirty eight ELO has them at a generous 6%
If that crook (and good pal of Donaghy) Scott Foster didn’t run Harden out on bogus fouls and technicals I woulda posted this Saturday
What’s the time of death? Maybe tonight
Enjoy
If you guys are still doing Hockey O/Us, be forewarned Bill Simmons mentioned how the overs have been hitting lately in his most recent pod. Once Simmons starts commenting on a trend you can be assured the value is long gone.
It’s ok. As someone who watches a lot of Laker games this season wasn’t a big surprise. I made a post beginning of the season when I said I thought the 10 seed was more likely than a top seed.
Shrug
GS/Charlotte under 233.5
Indy/Detroit - under 213
aight simp, let me know what you think of this...
pulled a san and live bet NJ/MON...got over 1 at +130...would you go this route with two teams that have shown the tendency to go over if you could get a price like this? figured getting this with 10 minutes to go in the period at plus money couldn't be the worst bet in the world with these two teams...
I’m impressed you are becoming conversant in live hockey. My head start is only weeks.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
I liked your play.
I took Ducks Canucks under 1P -140
I really like it. It finally moved to -145. Overnight it was -140 and sat there until recently.
Simp said, “I don’t mind that one”.
aight, im there with you on this one...it's all about price...trying not to get fucked by getting a shit price...Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI’m impressed you are becoming conversant in live hockey. My head start is only weeks.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
I liked your play.
I took Ducks Canucks 1P -140
I really like it. It finally moved to -145. Overnight it was -140 and sat there until recently.
Simp said, “I don’t mind that one”.
fired on the lightning over and then got the under 2.5 live...this is fucking fun as shit...so much for telling daly I was done with sports...
I gotta stop...
and yup under all the way on the ANA/VAN game...
DraftKings Sportsbook, Caesars Entertainment Ink Deal For Online Sports Betting, Casino
Feels like a marriage of losers but the Encore guy is at Draft Kings now and he’s kicking ass
Practice hard and maybe you can break them GBCP
you know me, san...there's nothing more in this entire world that i'd love to do than hurt their bottom line...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
it's interesting to watch the market and knowing teams' tendencies...led me to both of those bets tonight...hope im not being a fish here...
staying away from COL/FLA, but don't get the market...heavy juice on over here...think simp mentioned last week that FLA was on a decent under streak...COL isn't lighting the world on fire on the OVERS...don't know what gives...
Can Phx afford to give up a win? Yes
Will they? They haven’t yet
Dear god it’s a live conundrum
Gonna follow the numbers. I took +400 live Heat small.
So weird.
Pacers/Pistons in great shape to win -- 203 points with 1:17 left, and it's an 11-point game. 19 points then come in (!!), and the game finishes with 222.
Golden State game was looking bad for most of the game, including in the final 4:30 or so, where it was up to 221 with 4:21 left.
They made 8 points in the final 3:24, and I miraculously won with a total of 231 points.
So I went 1-1, just not the way I expected to go 1-1.
And like that it’s +150
lol forgot I had that parlay...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
im the sucker that took +170...lets do this san...
fucking FLA/COL...goddamn it that annoys me...line made no fucking sense...thought somebody knew something...
They pull Booker. God I love NBA
Missed tip 2 seconds left to win at plus money.
No tears