Michigan could go 9-4 and on paper be a better team than last year but that's not my point. They may beat the dregs of the Big Ten with this roster but they don't have enough to take Ohio State this year.
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Michigan could go 9-4 and on paper be a better team than last year but that's not my point. They may beat the dregs of the Big Ten with this roster but they don't have enough to take Ohio State this year.
10-1 since May 13th, after scoring this win:
at Cincinnati (L. Castillo) +118 vs. Cubs (Hendricks) - WON +1.180
... and none of those 11 were big favorites, while some were big/moderate dogs. So this is a nice run.
GRAND TOTAL: 53-42-2, +13.769 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 31-21-2
Sides: 18-17 (a good deal ahead in units)
As is often the case on Sundays, I'm having a hard time finding any games I like.
Considering one play for the Cle/Hou game, but that's not til 5pm, so I will look at that again later.
Okay, I do have one wager today.
Cleveland (Carrasco) at Houston (McCullers) - Under 7.5 -115
Starts 5pm PDT
If anyone cares I finally stoped by Druffs Show this week. We hit a lot of the impacts on the Supreme Court Sports Betting decision. Definitely was a blast.
If only it were always this easy...
Cleveland (Carrasco) at Houston (McCullers) - Under 7.5 -115 - WON +0.870
GRAND TOTAL: 54-42-2, +14.639 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 32-21-2
Sides: 18-17 (a good deal ahead in units)
Now 11-1 in MLB since May 12. I have never won 11 of 12 picks in any sport prior to this. None of these 11 were big favorites, btw.
Miami (E. Hernandez) +122 at Mets (Vargas)
Kansas City (I. Kennedy) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8.5 -110
Miami game starting at 4:10pm PDT. St. Louis at 5:15pm.
NOTES:
Jason Vargas has a 13.86 ERA and has looked horrible since returning from the DL. There is no evidence he will pitch capably today. Elieser Hernandez is by no means a great option (he had troubles with walks in the minors this year, and doesn't strike out many), but this is a bet against Vargas and a depleted Mets lineup (Cespedes, Lagares, Frazier all out).
A very high percentage of money bet on the KC/StL total is on the over. So if you want to fade the public, here's your chance.
Well, bad news... in the first 2 innings of work, Jason Vargas looks very good. Not the failpitcher he's been in all of his other starts this year. I guess the extended rest did him some good. Was a bit afraid the off time would cure his lingering problems off the DL, but whatever.
On the plus side, Elieser Hernandez also looks decent so far.
Or perhaps both offenses are so awful that they're making the pitchers look good by comparison.
We shall see.
Thought NY/Mia was a toss up so that's why I bet it. Vargas was very good and Miami bats were asleep so that was that. 2-0 final.
Cards under about to cover.
This will be a slightly losing day, which means it will be the first time I lose units since May 11.
Guess I can't win 11 of every 12 consistently.
at Cincinnati (Harvey) +106 vs. Pittsburgh (Taillon)
Detroit (M. Boyd) at Minnesota (Lynn) - Under 9 -120
*** NOTES ***
Minnesota game is a bit weird, line-wise. Lance Lynn has been HORRIBLE this season, including recently, and yet you can get +153 against him. Even weirder? The public is piling on Detroit (which is unusual, for the public to pound the underdog), and the line keeps getting better -- known as reverse line movement. This looks very much like a Trapper John MD situation, and I'd stay away from the Detroit moneyline here, as tempting as it might be to get +153 against one of the worst starting pitchers in 2018 baseball. But I do like the under here.
Cincy game may get rained out. But no harm in firing a bet on it anyway.
http://cdn.atlantamagazine.com/wp-co...oneuseonly.jpgQuote:
at Cincinnati (Harvey) +106 vs. Pittsburgh (Taillon)
Detroit (M. Boyd) at Minnesota (Lynn) - Under 9 -120
Right back into the W column with an easy 2-0 day. Not much of a sweat on either of them.
Record keeping:
5/21:
Miami (E. Hernandez) +122 at Mets (Vargas) - LOST -1
Kansas City (I. Kennedy) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8.5 -110 - WON +0.909
5/21 total: 1-1, -0.091 units
5/22:
at Cincinnati (Harvey) +106 vs. Pittsburgh (Taillon) - WON +1.060
Detroit (M. Boyd) at Minnesota (Lynn) - Under 9 -120 - WON +0.833
5/22 total: 2-0, +1.893 units
Last two days: 3-1, +1.802 units
GRAND TOTAL: 57-43-2, +16.441 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 34-21-2
Moneyline: 19-18 (a good deal ahead in units due to mostly underdogs)
I'm 14-2, +12.72 units since May 12
I give the Rockets much respect winning tonight after getting murdered in game 3 and the third quarter tonight. You almost forget CP3 is on this team because James Harden has to have the ball all of the time to dribble 20 seconds off the clock and hoist up a contested three.
Harden is a solid player who deserves the MVP award but his basketball IQ always leaves me shaking my head.
Kerr is a terrible coach. He made a multitude of terrible decisions, and then did nothing to stop his team from degrading into hero ball. A majority of the time they would hit enough of those bad shots down the stretch to win, but still... I really think if they lose this series, which even with Houston retaking home court is unlikely, they need to move on from him and find someone the players will listen to. Pop would be waltzing to 5+ straight championships at this point. The Warriors are so good, and have been, that people don’t realize that they are dominating playing sloppy, undisciplined basketball.
39-4 under Walton and 12-0 under Mike Brown in the playoffs.
Considered firing Detroit under again but decided to pass. Not clear enough for my liking.
I'll be back in the 3pm PDT hour to possible post afternoon/evening picks.
Shouldn't doubt myself when on an epic hot run. Detroit under would have easily covered.
I had entered the bet and was about to hit submit, and then erased it. Ugh.
Only got one today.
Colorado (Freeland) at Dodgers (Maeda) - Under 7.5 -115
May have missed a winning under early in the day, but I came right back with an actual winning under pick, to run my record to 15-2 since May 12.
Record:
Colorado (Freeland) at Dodgers (Maeda) - Under 7.5 -115 - WON +0.870
GRAND TOTAL: 58-43-2, +17.311 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 35-21-2
Moneyline: 19-18 (a good deal ahead in units due to mostly underdogs)
Nothing this morning. May or may not post picks for the later games... later.
Very last minute pick, so you probably can't bet it.
But for record keeping, here it is:
at Tampa Bay (Snell) +110 vs. Boston (Porcello)
So this isn't me but someone I've tailed for NBA the past few days.
Durant over 30.5
Anyone who took Houston tonight plz write into State Farm and tell them they can have there clown back.
Chris Paul is a old man.
This team plays s8 up street ball. How in the fuck do people watch this shit. And how the fck did they win that many games?
Dribble Dribble Dribble Brick.
GSW cant play any worse..
Its tied bet accordinly.. LOL if u had pick at half and Houston u have the smock out..
Yo the TNT guys are saying the dribble shit now i wrote that b4 that.
With all that said take Hou +115 second half 50,000 pesos
I'll say it for the millionth time NBA players are the dumbest athletes in the world.
Which makes me retarded for ever betting on this shit. Which we already knew.
Warriors sure missing Iguodola right now. They clearly can win in Houston as they did in game 6.
Assuming the Warriors can get the job done in Game 6 playing a road game 7 isn't something they've had to do over the years.
Bro I swear I turned the shit off for good luck the whole 2nd half. I just looked at stats Durant really only ended up with 29? Sick..
I refuse to let street ballers take yrs off my life.
Hockey should get a major contract because it is way more entertaing then these idiots dribbling 20 times and hoisting up shots.
I dont even no the score just no I won cuz of my balance. I googled Durants points in game 5 and seen 29 sick. Sorry
Anyone want to make a case as to why this game will go under 201 tonight?
Baltimore (Hess) at Tampa Bay (Romo) - Under 8.5 -120
Arizona (Corbin) +122 at Oakland (Manaea)
NOTES: No, I haven't gone crazy. Baltimore/TB over is a Trapper John MD line. Go the opposite way. Yes, it's THAT Romo starting.
Arizona will break out of their losing streak today, at least for the moment. They're 1-12 in their last 13, but don't let that scare you.
Baltimore game starting in 10-15 min.
wow got that OVER in tampa dialed in as one of my locks of the day.....
they already took Romo out wtf
Didn't expect him to last long anyway, lol.
Don't feel too bad about opposing me on this one. I agonized about this one and almost skipped it, for obvious reasons. But I have skipped a few other Trapper John games I've seen this year, and each time they went the way I thought they were going to go (basically against all conventional wisdom). So I fired on it.
Would I be shocked if this one goes way over? No, I would not.
But I'm 16-2 in my last 18, and decided to not puss out again in one of these spots.
EXACTLY why the last thing i wanna be doing is fading you... you are hotter than lava and im cold as the tundra... i see no way how i win this bet... kept looking in this thread for picks then finally had to fire cuz i thought time was running out
Let's throw one more onto the pile. This is another I agonized over picking, but decided to go with it.
Again, public very much on other side.
Kansas City (Skoglund) at Texas (Minor) - Under 9.5 -110
Have you at least fired on some of my picks during this winning streak?
Fuck me and my decision to post the KC game first before betting it. Line moved from -104 to -110 in those few seconds. Had I done the reverse, I would have bet it at -104 successfully. I changed the line I posted to reflect that, because -104 was gone seconds after I posted it.
The makes no sense parlay of the day
Celtics +7/Under 201
I think both are awful bets. Together it seems like a lock
nope been fucking broke
Looks like I finally put up a garbage pick.
KC/Tex is 4-3 after 4+ innings. Small chance it can cover, but the ball has been flying out of the park, so I think that one's done.
The Trapper John pick (Tampa/Bal) is looking great, 2-0 in the 8th. Sorry rollinx.
I guess Arizona will make or break me today.