OH SHIT!
http://gamedayr.com/lifestyle/wags-a...anjali-107832/
Although Vivek being the owner does let me buy Druffs argument that ownership might really be clueless.
Printable View
OH SHIT!
http://gamedayr.com/lifestyle/wags-a...anjali-107832/
Although Vivek being the owner does let me buy Druffs argument that ownership might really be clueless.
Hey, It's me!
Bears ML????
Sounds like a great idea!!!
Well, I was waiting for the Bovada line to improve on the two unders, and it never did.
Then an emergency came up, and I wasn't even able to decide whether I still wanted those lines before game time.
Oh well. Now I hope they lose.
Only thing I bet was Boston -5. Currently up 23-20.
Every bet I play that I post here loses the past week so I figure I am due to hit.
Bears/Saints over 53.5 half unit
Screw it
ljsadlkjsa'kj 'lsafjsdkj faj
f sad
gj;s
a jgs f
ska
;f
Looks like I am going to win the two unders. I really liked them, too. I stalled because I didn't like the Bovada line, but was going to do it anyway even if it didn't get better. Then something came up and I couldn't place them.
Then something ELSE came up and I wasn't able to bet Lakers -6 2nd half, and that is looking good too.
I hope you all picked NO tonight. Like I said, its a shitshow here in Chicago. Massive internal Turmoil.
Cutler being Cutler.
NO by 21 tonight
BTW, Bovada can suck my ass. I tried a deposit, it was supposedly "declined", but somehow they have the money anyway...even though they deny it.
I would be very cautious if you are using netspend to deposit onto bovada.
I will be making a thread about this soon, with screenshots etc.
OBV reverse pick. 0-0 after the first quarter.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
Well, looks like the picks I posted are going to go 3-0, and the halftime I wanted (but didn't post here because I wasn't at the computer at halftime) also is going to win.
So I'm going to go 1-0 instead of 4-0.
I am so pissed right now.
Edit: Oh wow, looks like Lakers/Pacers under shit the bed in the final minute. Good. So I would have gone 3-1. Still annoying.
Anyway, my inability to place bets aside, I'm really liking this hafltime reverse bet strategy.
So far I've had 3 I actually bet, and one more I wanted to bet (the one day).
Of those three, two won easily, one lost fairly close, and the one I didn't bet (Lakers/Ind) won easily. So that's 3-1, and all three of those wins weren't close.
I bet 3 "blowout" type games (where I bet on the team being blown out at halftime).
I also bet a "better team losing at halftime" one, and that easily won.
So to recap, here's the halftime bets I suggest:
- Bet on the team getting blown out (20 or more) at halftime, especially if you are only giving up a few points
- Bet on the better team down at halftime, especially if they're at home. For example, Washington was down 5 to Utah, in Washington. I bet Was -9 there, and it won pretty easily. I knew Washington was going to come back and win because they were the MUCH better team (and at home), and they only had to win by 4 for me to tie the bet. It is common that the lesser team "hangs" with the better one for a half, before collapsing in the 3rd.
Vivek Ranadive is featured in Malcom Gladwell's book "David and Goliath"Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
There is a story about Vivek, who was divorced and wanted to spend time with his daughter and volunteered to coach his daughters middle school basketball team although he knew absolutely nothing about basketball as he was from India.
His team had absolutely no athletic ability either but went to state finals.
I thought I saw this story on 60 Minutes but can't find it.
edit: Found it. Start 2:30
http://www.cbs.com/shows/60_minutes/...-the-underdog/
You will never watch Sacramento the same way again....
If you don't mind listening to a nerd other than Druff talk about basketball, the following is a great story.
6:30 min. into video.
http://youtu.be/5L0GGfQblrc
Boy I regret not being able to do that Boston under, especially.
Philly scored under 80 in 3 of their past 6 games, and here the line was 205.5!
Final score: 192 points
Also loved the bet I did make, Boston -5. They won by 18 and it wasn't close starting from the 2nd quarter.
Quote:
Originally Posted by GordmanScrew it
Shit. So far im kicking myself for not dropping more than $40 on this mess. Oh well, it is what it is...
If Jay Cutler really wanted to do something noble/improve his image at this point, he should just donate a large percentage of that ridiculous contract that he clearly doesn't deserve, to the less fortunate.
if you have Tunein radio, am670 the score, chicago sports radio, is a meltdown for the ages.
I can imagine, best was when they got the ball back with like 4 min to go down 2 scores and they call 2 drawsQuote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
estimates are coming in at just under 11,000 unused tickets today. Imagine the parking, food, beer and apparel profits that were lost? OOFA...
$15-20 to park (two people per car)
Maybe $15 per person for food/drink (low ball), maybe $5-10 avg per person for apparel.
If there isnt someone fired by Wednesday, this team will not make it until next Monday. People might be shot on the field.
Nice call earlier BTWQuote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
I tuned in for lulz. Been a while since Boston radio was like this. But this is when sports talk is at it's best!
Enjoy
The Cubs are the talk of the town.
Let that sink in
Cubs are for real. I need to adopt a team this year. Cubs are too trendy for my taste tho.Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
I have heard rumors of harbaugh to chitown but even these dudes think he's going to michigan.Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
i find it difficult to believe he would leave pros after making it to the superbowl and losing to his brother. plus its not like teams in the nfl wouldnt want him.
The Kings were sold & moved to Seattle. tony bagadonuts assured me this was a done deal way back in 2012.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
Dallas/NY - Under 202 - Public loves this one. Line has moved from 204. Dallas scores a lot of points, but New York has scored fewer than 100 in regulation in 12 of their past 14 games, including a few under 80. Not quite as good as the Boston/Philly under of yesterday (which I sadly didn't bet), but I still see this one going under. New York also played an OT game yesterday and might be tired. I am not taking the Dallas spread because NY has played better teams fairly tough when at home.
Oklahoma City/Sacramento - Under 206.5 - Sacramento has scored few points since Cousins went out. In 5 of their past 6 games, they scored 96 or fewer in regulation. OKC has scored over 110 in their last two games, but against teams with very poor defense. Sac has allowed fewer than 100 points against them in 6 of their past 8.
Dallas/NY is off the board on Bovada, as are two other games. This one specifically is off because Parsons may be out for Dallas.
Bet 735 to win 700 on OKC/Sac Under 206
Watch for halftime bets tonight.
Specifically, watch for halftime blowouts at Min/Was and Sac/OKC, and bet on the team getting blown out if line is reasonable.
If either Min or Sac is winning at halftime, it's probably good to fire on the home team, but I'll have to see the lines to see if I like them.
You know what, I'm gonna add OKC -8 at Sac to this.
Sac has looked sooooooooooo bad without Cousins, and in fact just fired their coach (as discussed here).
Gotta think that a resurgent OKC (healthy, and looking to move up the tough Western Conference playoff spot ladder) is going to crush them.
I really appreciate this info and your opinions Druff. I have pretty much zero skills in sportsbetting as it is, so I am following along (when I have time)
so, the line moved from 206.5 to 206... im assuming that is still good enough to take the under?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
now it looks like it just moved to 207
People like to bash the public money and say that the public are idiots, but when the line moves a good deal, usually the side moving it is right.
The line is now 208 on the Sac game, so I wouldn't touch it anymore. I no longer like my bet as much for that reason alone.
Small line movements don't mean anything. However, I haven't seen many games where the line moves a ton in the opposite direction and you still win.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
crap. Made one bet when it was at 207, and then said screw it and bet some more when it hit 208. Oh well, i guess ill learn the hard way if i lose.
At the risk of sounding like an inexperienced idiot, my question in my head is - what do they know that the public doesn't know? but i guess there is a reason why they are the ones moving the lines, because they know what they are doing...
The books' goals are to get an even amount of money on both sides, so they have a risk-free profit.Quote:
Originally Posted by GordmanQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
crap. Made one bet when it was at 207, and then said screw it and bet some more when it hit 208. Oh well, i guess ill learn the hard way if i lose.
At the risk of sounding like an inexperienced idiot, my question in my head is - what do they know that the public doesn't know? but i guess there is a reason why they are the ones moving the lines, because they know what they are doing...
They move the line when disproportionate money goes on one side, hoping to lure in people who were staying away because the line was too low.
What does the "public money" know? Well, the public money is basically an aggregate of all money bet. So if there's a disproportionate number of people leaning one way, usually there's a reason for it -- and that reason is because the line was poorly set.
So why not jump on the line once it's been "corrected" by movement? Because often it's still not correct, but has just moved a few points due to the lopsided betting. So maybe the correct line should have been 211 here, which means Over 206 is a great bet, and 208 is still very good. I don't know. I liked the under 206, but admittedly not nearly as much as the under for Boston/Philly last night, which was perplexing in how high it was. I don't like making "star" picks because that degrades the value of your other picks, but maybe I'll start separating which ones I REALLY like and which ones I just like.
Sorry in advance. I tailed both as I have nothing else that looks decent tonight.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I just went with Under 204 -115 (805 to win 700) on Dallas/NY
Dan druff. Read a thing where teams always cover with new coach. Like dramatic numbers. I think it will go opposite tonight.
Also read kings new owner wants run and gun rez ball. With a cherry picker streaking down court after opponents shots or even as far as a guy hanging at half court.
If they actually make Corbin implement this it could end 120-105 okc.
So funny this guy is an Indian with a dot and he has the same basketball philosophy as every Indian with a feather team ive ever played against growing up.
I'm not giving up my malone personally offended owners with a behind the scenes fuck up but with this new news that the owner wants a dramatically different and unheard of in the nba basketball style that Malone refused to implement makes me think you are probably right.
Holy shit. I just thought of something. If vivek forces Corbin to keep running this style Cousins will get a triple double every other game.
Well I'm not betting on it anyway right now because the Bovada line sucks balls.Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
I have watched so many Sac games and seen how awful they were, to the point where OKC (who is really hot and now healthy) seems like they will crush them.
Fired 880 to win 800 on NO -8 2nd half.
They are at home and down 3 at the half to Utah.
Almost fired over 100 2nd half on Was/Min but chickened out, and it easily covered.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Are you watching sac okc? On pace to land on my number
well, okc/sac doesnt look like they are going to hit the under of total points - unless im wrong
If they don't im going to be pissed and going to have to fuck her right in the pussy!