Not sure this makes me feel any better, but I had to laugh when I saw it.
Crazy, but true: Marc Gasol and Dwyane Wade have made more 3s this season than Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson.
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Not sure this makes me feel any better, but I had to laugh when I saw it.
Crazy, but true: Marc Gasol and Dwyane Wade have made more 3s this season than Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson.
Any of you with locals can you check your books and see if there are props offered for tonight. I know some people who have accounts at books with props that and the windows have been removed.
My guy has all his props up.... not sure what you mean.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
what an interesting game and line. Don't mess with major vegas line moves.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffJust curious, where are you seeing the amount of money leaning on a particular side? Is there a site for that?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
scoresandodds.com has this, but I believe they're only listing the money on a particular online site with which they're affiliated.
Line has moved from -6 to -4.5.
But yeah, even scoresandodds is showing about 70% of the money on the Vikings, which makes little sense given were the money is going.
Once again Vegas wins big. Should have sacked up and backed the bears.
Happy to report I had a profitable night with no major blowups to report.
I also almost backed the Bears due to the weird action.
Next time I see something like this, that's what I'm doing.
Did the same thing I saw a tweet about how much money was coming in and the line going the opposite direction I decided to fire on the bearsQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
ok on value bets 1 and 1 last week, won jets and lost minnesota. all the Chicago action scared me away form loading up extra units on Minn, whew!
this week extra value plays on philly plus 3 and jets plus 3.5. kc looking pretty good as well at -8. gl
Contreras Is rumored to only get 2 AB's tonight. If you can fade him do so.
An absolute shit ton of cash came in on the under tonight.
I have no lean on the game but if I had to guess it's at least a 4-3 final
god. I mean daly, any idea how much cash has been bet on the cubs and indians moneyline? Percentage is split but im wondering the actual cash intake on each side.
ty
Sports insights is a good reference tool. It's not God because you can't possibly catch all moneyow on any one game, but I trust it to a point.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
I think the last sentence says a lot....
“Volume should pick up as the day progresses,” according to Cooley. “It’s too bad we didn’t have one more day in between games to build more hype and bets. Betting handle has been strong throughout the Series, and it’s been a ton of Chicago money. Game 7 handle might come close to our least-wagered on NFL game this Sunday.”
wow , fuck. Kinda figured. thanks a lot manQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Bet no hits for -105. Sure enough he only bats twice, but gets a hit. Very good +ev tip, just kinda unlucky.
I had 2 bets on Contreras, both killed by that double.Quote:
Originally Posted by ThreeBetQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Bet no hits for -105. Sure enough he only bats twice, but gets a hit. Very good +ev tip, just kinda unlucky.
I take the blame for this one. I have been the supreme cooler for all Daly prop bets in the past few weeks.
Nope - it's just variance.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI had 2 bets on Contreras, both killed by that double.Quote:
Originally Posted by ThreeBet
I take the blame for this one. I have been the supreme cooler for all Daly prop bets in the past few weeks.
All you can do is try and ignore the result and move on.
If they listed a prop will Contreras have a hit in his first two AB what would it have been lined at? That Shitty a hitter vs that good a pitcher?
-2xx anyway.
Sucks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI had 2 bets on Contreras, both killed by that double.Quote:
Originally Posted by ThreeBet
I take the blame for this one. I have been the supreme cooler for all Daly prop bets in the past few weeks.
Daly is god of props and TMMLK is god of NFL point spread. Waiting for my special forum - life time with picks you would be way up! TMMLK tearing up the nfl last few weeks. Overall my picks on this site are well over 70% + = tight site = end thread = lol @ cooler blaming Daly
:lol3
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rKnSKDcbFxU
Such a let down for tonight after that epic game.
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta. Sigh
Everyone and their brother is loading up on Atlanta. Daly what % are we looking at?
Is Tampa Bay the contrarian value bet or Atlanta will crush them?
I know it was a great value pick. I'm not taking away from that.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyNope - it's just variance.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
All you can do is try and ignore the result and move on.
If they listed a prop will Contreras have a hit in his first two AB what would it have been lined at? That Shitty a hitter vs that good a pitcher?
-2xx anyway.
Sucks.
I've just run awful recently, even with watching the WSOP Main heads up match, where it drags on for hours and hours, and ends when I take 10 minutes to walk my dog.
Mayfield under 24.5
Anyone see what just happened to Nebraska QB Tommy Armstong? Wow, so sad.
yes. Fuck. didn't even look that bad when it happened.
well my NFL value system is not producing a lot of picks after a great start. Two to watch this week are GB and Jacksonville, depending on line. could be 3plus points of value on each.
been running a similar model on NBA and 2 and 1 so far. Ill keep betting the system for next week of so and if it keeps hitting Ill post.
Seahawks Bills
Feels like an under - but sooo obvious
Would love to see Bills +7 just before kick.
Thoughts?
Haven't seen any Seahawks. Wilson not mobile and hurt cause his offensive line is horrendous. Heard a joke that one of the offensive lineman that started last week hadn't started a game since Junior High School.
Only saw Bills vs Pats. Decent defense but their coach is Rex Ryan.
So yesterday I decided to fire on the Lakers, which was something I rarely did last year. Usually i was either betting against the Lakers or avoiding the game completely. Every once awhile, last year's team would "show up", but it was rare and unpredictable. I won the bet, but that's not why I'm posting here.
I want to alert everyone to this year's team. It looks substantially different. I actually think this squad won't be bad, and will take a lot of people by surprise. They are 4-3 right now, which doesn't mean much by itself, but is already huge considering the team was 38-126 in the past two years combined.
More importantly, they look good. Last year's squad looked clueless and overmatched, even in some of the games they won.
This year's team looks young, energetic, and talented. Sometimes they still look raw, and sometimes they shit the bed and chunk off leads, but overall this looks like a much better squad. Having Kobe off the team is also helping. He's no longer hogging the ball and the spotlight. I was a big Kobe fan, but I felt his last 2 years were embarrassing (aside from his final game).
Mosgov and Deng on the team aren't huge game-changers, but both are positive additions. This is a turnaround from previous FAIL additions like Jeremy Lin, who you knew wouldn't work out.
This team won't contend for the title, but it has the potential to sneak into a 7 or 8 seed and give a scare to a team like the Spurs or Warriors.
Last year it was painful to watch this team, and I barely did. This year they are fun to watch. I really started taking notice after they crushed the Warriors (who admittedly are a mess right now, but still).
Anyway, you might want to fire on them, especially at home, until the books start giving the Lakers more credit.
Ill say this about the lakers, Randle is going to win the foul per minute played title this year going away
Christine Michael is being over valued tonight.
Under rushing, receiving, receptions.
Gut call here - S Johnson has been hobbled all week and Taylor is only lined to pass for 180 yards. Johnson under longest reception 20.5.
Nick Young will be right there competing with him.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
a thought, if you are signing Percy Harvin to play aren't you in major trouble? I know Seattle is having trouble scoring, and Bills outplaying themselves this year, but Percy Harvin out of retirement to play for the Bills? Ok I am getting on Seattle tonight.
If you are going to bet the under tonight, I'd ask you check your privilege.
Would probably be a little more cautious with road games. After all, not every team has Dwight Howard as the main star on it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffNick Young will be right there competing with him.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Daly,
Remember your friend's observation that the Celts could laughably be good for 230 game totals?
At 222 avg they are right there with GS as league leaders. But not in a good way.
Gonna keep on this. Quality observation after one game by this guy on a team that was somewhat known for defense last year.
The under backers are probably shitting bricks right about now with two TDs in the first 3 minutes of the game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Vegas is laughing it's balls off right now.... way the fuck over.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPokerThe under backers are probably shitting bricks right about now with two TDs in the first 3 minutes of the game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
ok ill take a push (thank god i didn't take bovadas shitty -7 but got -6 on tops)... that was more excitement than i wanted tonight. Seattle couldn't stop anything. lucky.Quote:
Originally Posted by Charham
+6, gay push
Lol "more excitement than I needed" too.
All were taken before halftime. Scoreless 3rd qtr. Buffalo QB was a heart attack. Kid is great.
Nice night
Accepted:
11/7/2016 8:43:37 PM
Description:
BUFFALO BILLS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Total UNDER 56.5
Accepted:
11/7/2016 8:51:02 PM
Description:
BUFFALO BILLS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Side SEAHAWKS -3.5
Accepted:
11/7/2016 9:47:27 PM
Description:
BUFFALO BILLS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Total UNDER 65.5
Accepted:
11/7/2016 10:30:05 PM
Description:
BUFFALO BILLS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Total UNDER 68.5
Steph Curry with 13 threes tonight for the nba record.
Decent value in Oklahoma +5. NBA.
for NFL, some value in Dallas plus 1-2, and Houston plus 2 (sharp money does not like houston, so beware). As usual "value" on taking the points against NE, but I have avoided that trap all year. At some point we will see record lines against NE being put up by the books. Can you imagine a Cleveland/NE line. -17? , -21 or -22?