This is bizarre.
I am seeing two totally different Michigan totals reported by NY Times and AP.
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This is bizarre.
I am seeing two totally different Michigan totals reported by NY Times and AP.
:lol4Quote:
Originally Posted by dwai
okay everyone pack it up, salty ass from Australia called it a win for BidenQuote:
Originally Posted by Salty_Aus
Yeah I've noticed that a couple different timesQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I bet OSA like salty ass from any country.Quote:
Originally Posted by dwaiokay everyone pack it up, salty ass from Australia called it a win for BidenQuote:
Originally Posted by Salty_Aus
-185 boysQuote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakIf the courts deliver an election that Biden won to Trump, then it should burn.Quote:
Originally Posted by Salty_Aus
That's good, but betting markets don't impress me in situations like this.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick-185 boysQuote:
Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak
If the betting markets were a crystal ball, Biden and Trump already would have won this thing three times each.
:thisQuote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakThat's good, but betting markets don't impress me in situations like this.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
If the betting markets were a crystal ball, Biden and Trump would have won this thing three times each.
I'm kinda sick of seeing these odds, let's just see results
Betting markets have been more lol than the polls at this pointQuote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakThat's good, but betting markets don't impress me in situations like this.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
If the betting markets were a crystal ball, Biden and Trump would have won this thing three times each.
Margin in Michigan down to 64K
CNN just updated vote totals for Michigan showing Trump only up 65k
gonna have to agree walter and dwai
lets just count the votes
Quote:
Originally Posted by RealTalk
Got some up to date figures on Georgia?
Would be Karma to the 10th degree if Michigan is the tipping state afterQuote:
Originally Posted by RealTalk
all the shit that dickhead said and did to The Michigan Governor
I agree wholeheartedly.... but at this stage the betting markets are usually very accurate.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
Especially markets like Betfair.
A bunch of Wayne County votes came in -- 150k to be exact -- and enough to shift it from Biden +19 there to Biden +36!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYes, but it's not that simple. Are these absentee? Not absentee? That makes a difference.Quote:
Originally Posted by RealTalk
Here are the large counties which have major portions not counted:
Wayne 457k votes, 52% uncounted, Biden +19
Ingham 107k votes, 31% uncounted, Biden +22
Macomb 372k votes, 25% uncounted, Trump +13
Kent 282k votes, 23% uncounted, Trump +6
Oakland 666k votes, 15% uncounted, Biden +12
There's a number of smaller counties also with uncounted votes, most of which favor Trump.
Of those 5, if we do the straight math:
Biden gains 94k in Wayne
Biden gains 11k in Ingham
Trump gains 16k in Macomb
Trump gains 5k in Kent
Biden gains 14k in Oakland
That looks like a 98k gain for Biden. Not even close, right?
:what
Still 37% left to count in Wayne, and Trump just had 135k shaved off his lead. Wow.
Also CNN said michigan law did not allow for mail in voting to be counted before the polls closed. So all these outstanding ballots are mail in ballots and going to heavily lean Biden
Hate to say it, but I think Trump is donk fucking down because of the Michigan thing. He may lose GA, too.
I think he will hold PA.
:gay
Yes. MI and PA have been saying this for weeks. Their state laws for ballot counting were always going to result in a days-long count.Quote:
Originally Posted by RealTalk
It's up to those states to change it or not but you'd think they'd want to make their counting more efficient like Florida's is.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Sounds like something somebody said 3 hours ago!
So to be clear, you believe in counting all the votes? You're breaking with Trump on that point?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Even Pennsylvania is now a flip and 2 hours ago I thought it was a Republican win.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Doesn't look good for the orange one.
lol at even talking about if all votes should be counted wtf is happening to the US
You get yet another prognosticator rep when my rep refillsQuote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Sounds like something somebody said 3 hours ago!
The US has been having the same fight in different forms since 1787.Quote:
Originally Posted by adamantium
Your best post in all my years on pfaQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Predicit really is a joke.
I deposited $850 to at least fire on Biden and make some free $ from those in denial.
It says "Maximum number of traders on this contract"
Well thanks a fucking lot for telling me after I deposited. Then I tried Michigan, same thing.
They're going to charge me 5% to withdraw it back, which is criminal. F them right in the ass.
just waking up, i honestly don't know what's happening. am i still posting in this site or hiding?
This is why PredictIt has no predictive value. It has neither the volume nor the liquidity nor the "freedom" (due to artificial constraints) to be an efficient market with predictive value.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Try to get them to let you withdraw without the fee, otherwise leave the money there and bet on something else you like sometime in the future.
you should probably start quoting about 1500 postsQuote:
Originally Posted by blake
No certainty yet, but any honest person will tell you you're likely to be still posting.Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
Assuming AZ and NV goes to Biden and NC to Trump, the 538 simulations are predicting a Biden win 88% of the time, a Trump win 3%, and a tie 9% of the time.
You can mess around with the map here:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...WV:1,NC:1,AK:1
Feels off, am I missing something?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakThis is why PredictIt has no predictive value. It has neither the volume nor the liquidity nor the "freedom" (due to artificial constraints) to be an efficient market with predictive value.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Try to get them to let you withdraw without the fee, otherwise leave the money there and bet on something else you like sometime in the future.
To be fair they ended up being right a hell of a lot more than wrong. Same with the betting markets.
They really only botched PA (which still might me biden)
Maybe can nitpick how close WI ended up, same for Ga
Everything else was nailed
Michigan down to 26k, Biden increases lead in WI to 21K
Come on Joe Go Go Go
Everyone waking up to a different landscape than 4 hours ago..... Biden -300
Just in time for sidedish to outsmart everyone and get some more down on Trump at +250 or so. Wake up from your champagne stupor and open another credit card man!Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
can we get a Biden derangement syndrome gif please
How many times per day will you post it, if Druff doesn't restrict you? LOLQuote:
Originally Posted by dwai
guys what are you all talking about?
i click on the news and trump says "we did win the election."
and that dems are now trying to steal it?
just "lol trump being trump", team retard? no big deal?
god i loathe all of you
All just a big misunderstandingQuote:
Originally Posted by blake