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I took Cubs cause I thought Cubs Assad (terrorist?) could contain the Detroit LHB hard hit. Assad has been fantastic last 4 and his numbers don’t reveal that to the ploppiesQuote:
Originally Posted by tgull
I got lucky and escaped the Cubs bullpen. I’m not proud so I have no trouble taking the money.
I know you like waiting til the last second but Bobby Miller v Syndergaard is ploppy wagering USA.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
You can find -200 & -1.5 -115 up to -134 (FD). I see the future and it’s beyond -134.
I’m not the biggest Bobby Miller guy either but we need to decide now. I find -200 suspicious. Lotta my data isn’t ready yet but I’m a man of action
Snooze ya lose
I refuse to pay -125 or more for this run-line at a full unit.
Same Game Parlay +120
Miller 4+ strikeouts & Dodgers RL
This RL is popping as we speak. Solidly -130 and it’s in its infancy.
I wanna target Mariners Woo tomorrow but I think I might be trying to hard. Trust the muscle memory with Mariners. Awful baseball these days.
Atlanta over 10.5 is correct but it’s hard for me cause I’m from a different era. The juice is telling you I’m soft.
Here's an under for you, starting very soon:
Toronto (Kikuchi) at Baltimore (G. Rodriguez) - Under 8 -115
I see the Dodgers -1.5 at -120. It hurts to put down -120 for -1.5 on the road, but as you said, this is a ploppy's paradise with Syndergaard on the mound and the crap Injuns offense.
I'll do it, just not with your fancy parlay, because that's not on the books I have.
Dodgers -1.5 -120 (B. Miller) at Cleveland (Syndergaard)
Didnt Baltimore just put up some insane number in 3 games against Oakland. I know Oakland sucks a tailpipe but 8 combined might be too low with Baltimore at home again.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Injuns love to torture me.
When I bet on them, they can't score. When I bet an over with them, they can't score.
When they fall behind the Dodgers 3-0, and I have -1.5, they put up 2.
Bummer - mid 7th nowQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
At least my under has a shot. Kinda.
3-3 in extras
Boy I run so bad in August this year.
6 runs in 9 innings, so the pick was good. Toronto puts up 3 in top 10th, and I lose.
Really hard to see any value in the golf
Tempted by small bets on Harman Glover and Homa all e/w purely for the lolz
Also Muchova 16/1 might get some of my money for the US Open tennis
Yup, didQuote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
Harman 50/1
Glover 45/1
Homa 33/1
All e/w 1/4 top 4
Got 20/1 on Muchova
Gl to all sports bettors :D
I just walked in and the graphics on the tribe game showed runners at first and second with no outs, Straw at bat with 3-2 count. I fired up app, saw live +825 down 4-1 to Dodgers with top of lineup coming up. Felt value and fired small bet. Straw walks and all of a sudden graphics show runner at first only. Ballys graphics got me on an impulse bet. Going to need to get lucky now.
When you pull up DK live you get a fairly truthful status but it does not refresh in any accurate way. It’s a feature for them. I am very cognizant they are preying on noobs. The lag between tv or MLB pkg/app and real time harvests souls.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
The most accurate game status is the line. When the live line trends you can in your mind imagine what happened.
I am very very alert - ESPN is going to get fined some day. They have the broadcast and the book. There will be a scandal in this regard.
i didn't even touch this nonsense tournament this week.... stupidest format ever.... with the leaders getting strokes before a golf ball is even teed up.... NO THANKS !!Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarWhen you pull up DK live you get a fairly truthful status but it does not refresh in any accurate way. It’s a feature for them. I am very cognizant they are preying on noobs. The lag between tv or MLB pkg/app and real time harvests souls.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
The most accurate game status is the line. When the live line trends you can in your mind imagine what happened.
I am very very alert - ESPN is going to get fined some day. They have the broadcast and the book. There will be a scandal in this regard.
I know what you’re saying, and I’ve noticed that also. This was just the local channel. I just walked in and flipped local channel and they showed 2 and 3rd with no outs. Straw 3-2. I fired up DK, saw +825, and fired small bet all in 20 seconds. Then Straw walks and local cable channel corrected graphic. It didn’t feel nefarious like what you’re talking, but more small time cable. Possibly I’m being naive. Bases loaded with Kwan and Jose coming up with no outs is better than +825 to get closer. Runner at first though is nothing. Lost as expected.
Have under 9 in afternoon tilt.
Well I can’t win a baseball bet today. Should have taken the Trump o 278.5 prop.
LOL I know the feeling.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I've been as bad in August as the Dodgers have been good. The one time I bet the Dodgers during this epic run, they lose to the Injuns... and then handily beat them the other games.
Okay, so with that said, here's one I like.
The Reds are in a pennant AND wildcard race, just smacked around the Angels (but who doesn't these days), and their main issue is pitching. How bad is their pitching? The only worse NL teams in runs allowed are the Nationals, Cardinals, and Rockies -- all last place teams. The Reds are also a very nice 36-27 on the road, even taking a series from the Dodgers who nobody seems to beat at home for the last few years.
The D-backs are 8-2 in their last 10, and have a 4 game winning streak. They aren't in a pennant race (12.5 games back), but are in the same wildcard fight as the Reds, with virtually the same record.
Sounds like a pretty even matchup, right? Except maybe if the D-backs have a big pitching advantage. But today they don't.
Over his last 10 starts, Merrill Kelly has 0 ER once, 1 ER twice, 2 ER twice, and 3 ER four times, and 5 ER once. So he's been solid, but not dominant.
Since early July, Brandon Williamson has a 3.38 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 47:15 K:BB across 48 innings. He's basically had two not-so-good starts in that stretch (though neither terrible).
These are two hot teams, two pitchers who have been solid but not dominant since early July, and two both fighting for a wildcard spot.
I like the line here.
Reds (B. Williamson) +154 at Arizona (M. Kelly)
Pitchers duel.
Kelly killing it, but they're matching 0s. Bottom 7th.
Not feeling that good here, because Kelly is just relentless tonight, and only 86 pitches. 12K for him.
It's on FS1 if you want to watch.
Well so much for that. This Farmer guy sucks. Why they aren't taking him out is beyond me. Walk, infield hit, shallow outfield hit, bases loaded nobody out.
Looks like the Reds are about to lose.