Hillary, Georgia 2016. Trump also had no hidden voters. Your election opinions are invalidated.Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
We get it, you're afraid to take the betQuote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
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Hillary, Georgia 2016. Trump also had no hidden voters. Your election opinions are invalidated.Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOLWe get it, you're afraid to take the betQuote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
10 days. Tick tock.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnPHillary, Georgia 2016. Trump also had no hidden voters. Your election opinions are invalidated.Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
That's because Ohio used to be a swing state but it's not anymore. It's several points on the redder side. It would be gravy for Biden but it's a must-have for Trump.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
And yet you're so flush you balk at a four figure bet?Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnPHillary, Georgia 2016. Trump also had no hidden voters. Your election opinions are invalidated.Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
He’s more liquid than bottomsetQuote:
Originally Posted by limitlesAnd yet you're so flush you balk at a four figure bet?Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
Vaughn PLOP cage match surprisingly entertaining, I must say.
wow plop u had hillary winning GA? lol this guy shows up to be the new small dick/hongthonger hybrid my god. where is that tilt monkey small dick anyways
Speaking of where is. Where is one if any bet receipt for all the claims you have made? Never seen one. TYQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Quote:
Originally Posted by big dickMy back up has arrived.Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
I'm out
I will see you guys End of October
Don't miss me too much
BIDEN/HARRIS2020
Make America Great again!!
Tellafriend-I will log in to check my messages and finish working out the details of our wagers
looks like he left 17 days ago just a few hrs after i found my mark, amazing. u are unquestionably the small dick/hongthonger hybrid
Quote:
Originally Posted by limitlesSpeaking of where is. Where is one if any bet receipt for all the claims you have made? Never seen one. TYQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
wow great addition to the thread moron MY GOD
It should be a requirement. Shoot your mouth off all day longQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by limitles
wow great addition to the thread moron MY GOD
but back it up
Vaughn, the uber rich runs from a 5k bet and Sidedouche has never posted
a receipt
Quote:
Originally Posted by limitlesIt should be a requirement. Shoot your mouth off all day longQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
but back it up
Vaughn, the uber rich runs from a 5k bet and Sidedouche has never posted
a receipt
LOL MY GOD WHAT A MESS. i've posted several receipts moron
please continue then......you made the bets let's see the receiptsQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by limitles
LOL MY GOD WHAT A MESS. i've posted several receipts moron
ok fine, made these today, didnt bother postingQuote:
Originally Posted by limitlesplease continue then......you made the bets let's see the receiptsQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Bet $ 287.49 to win $ 557.12Result: Pending
Iowa - 2020 Electoral College Vote Winner
Donald Trump vs Joe Biden11/03/20 12:00 ESTDonald Trump -175
2020 Election US Senate Winner - Iowa
Joni Ernst (R) vs Theresa Greenfield (D)11/03/20 12:00 ESTJoni Ernst (R) -115
Bet $ 58.66 to win $ 967.89Result: Pending
Nevada - 2020 Electoral College Vote Winner
Donald Trump vs Joe Biden11/03/20 12:00 ESTDonald Trump +250
2020 Election US Senate Winner - Arizona
Martha McSally (R) vs Mark Kelly (D)11/03/20 12:00 ESTMartha McSally (R) +400
Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 900.00Result: Pending
Arizona - 2020 Electoral College Vote Winner
Donald Trump vs Joe Biden11/03/20 12:00 ESTDonald Trump even
2020 Election US Senate Winner - Arizona
Martha McSally (R) vs Mark Kelly (D)11/03/20 12:00 ESTMartha McSally (R) +400
Those are not receipts.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishok fine, made these today, didnt bother postingQuote:
Originally Posted by limitles
Bet $ 287.49 to win $ 557.12Result: Pending
Iowa - 2020 Electoral College Vote Winner
Donald Trump vs Joe Biden11/03/20 12:00 ESTDonald Trump -175
2020 Election US Senate Winner - Iowa
Joni Ernst (R) vs Theresa Greenfield (D)11/03/20 12:00 ESTJoni Ernst (R) -115
Bet $ 58.66 to win $ 967.89Result: Pending
Nevada - 2020 Electoral College Vote Winner
Donald Trump vs Joe Biden11/03/20 12:00 ESTDonald Trump +250
2020 Election US Senate Winner - Arizona
Martha McSally (R) vs Mark Kelly (D)11/03/20 12:00 ESTMartha McSally (R) +400
Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 900.00Result: Pending
Arizona - 2020 Electoral College Vote Winner
Donald Trump vs Joe Biden11/03/20 12:00 ESTDonald Trump even
2020 Election US Senate Winner - Arizona
Martha McSally (R) vs Mark Kelly (D)11/03/20 12:00 ESTMartha McSally (R) +400
Quote:
Originally Posted by limitlesThose are not receipts.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
im getting rich moron
get a room with Vaughn then cause you'reQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by limitles
im getting rich moron
both liars
what else you boys lying about?
tell us another one
you're not even good liars
Better a hybrid than an inbred like youQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by big dickMy back up has arrived.Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
I'm out
I will see you guys End of October
Don't miss me too much
BIDEN/HARRIS2020
Make America Great again!!
Tellafriend-I will log in to check my messages and finish working out the details of our wagers
looks like he left 17 days ago just a few hrs after i found my mark, amazing. u are unquestionably the small dick/hongthonger hybrid
Remember when Joni Ernst gave this horrible speech?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XOLqVIkUqPY
This speech killed her Presidential prospects, the same way Bobby Jindal's was ruined.
Of course, then there was Joe Kennedy the drooler...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hwnDMahSwNI
what my German cousins think about trump. translation, Operation Electoral Fraud----How trump Tries To Steal Democracy From His People. nobody knows the horror of losing democracy and living under fascism better.
Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnPQuote:
Originally Posted by blake
Trump is going to win Ohio, and he is the favorite in Florida for several reasons according to betting odds (-190 mybookie -135 Bovada etc.) and the predictit market. If Trump wins Florida and Ohio, do you think he loses the election?
i think trump will win florida and ohio but still lose, so yes.
i'm not really as confident in biden winning as i am playing with that post you quoted. i admit i wish i didn't cancel my bet with tellafriend though
Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
won't bet cause he doesn't want to get rolled and also 5k means nothing to him
At least by you being able to post in this thread right now it confirms you are not DWAI. Sah on the other hand...Quote:
Originally Posted by BiffCo99
Also math is hard. 30% of the time an outcome will happen 30% of the time.
So as long as he never says someone will have a 0% chance of winning he can always claim victory. What a racket.Quote:
Originally Posted by SheesfacedAt least by you being able to post in this thread right now it confirms you are not DWAI. Sah on the other hand...Quote:
Originally Posted by BiffCo99
Also math is hard. 30% of the time an outcome will happen 30% of the time.
Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
People who opine on Ohio don’t grasp the population shift and how it has almost no correlation to PA, MI, and Wisconsin at this point when we are talking Trump.
Trump can lose it in a landslide. It can be a bellwether again depending on the candidate, but if Ohio goes blue, it’s a landslide.
If it was Ted Cruz, he’d get 30% here in the NE. These aren’t converted Republicans here, they just love Trump. Think of split. She hates a Dewine who is a lifelong fiscal conservative who balanced the budget during a pandemic. She isn’t a Republican. She is a Trumper.
Trump wins counties. Cruz would get 30% here and need to pile up votes in Columbus. NE Ohio elected Jim Trafficant by 70% margins. We are corrupt. That’s in our DNA. Mussolini would get 78% here. We love populists and Ted Cruz would just be some hillbilly Mexican to all the Italian guys I know while they love Trump like he’s Rocky Balboa.
There is no Philadelphia or Detroit in Ohio. Nothing similar as far as population distribution.
So it makes the whole state Trumps to a degree, as all the population has moved south over decades. We aren’t talking white flight to suburbs. We are talking a 3 hour move. Like if everyone from South Florida moved to Northern Florida, eventually the politics of that area would gradually convert a number of then. It was Texas and twice Georgia margins in 2016.
It’s not that red for anyone but Trump, and won’t be this time, but it doesn’t correlate to PA and Michigan. I lived in PA for 15 years. I worked for GM and was in Michigan constantly. I understand those states. Trump can book the smallest win or a big loss in those states. Trump can book a decent sized win or a small loss in Ohio in a landslide scenario.
I don’t know Wisconsin or understand it and it makes me nervous.
I’m not overly confident at all about the election. I said 65/35 last week, now I’d say 55/45 after a decent debate and a few weeks removed from his disaster week of horrible debate plus getting Covid himself after mocking it. He’d get slaughtered that week. In ten days? Early voting makes me feel a little better.
I’m a pessimist though. I saw more Biden signs in my buddies affluent Columbus suburb than Trump. Total departure from last time. Trump will win the state by probably 2-4%, not over 8%, and logic dictates that means those other 3 states he won all by under 1% will likely fall blue.
Ohio only correlates in the sense anywhere correlates. If Trump wins Georgia by 2% instead of 5, he’s likely to lose PA and Michigan also. It correlates not in some rust belt regional way, it only correlates just like any trend anywhere correlates.
If Georgia is only 2 rather than 5, that means black people are showing for Biden a little more and voting traditionally which means Philly and Detroit probably see a similar uptick. If Trump wins Florida by less than last time, it means old white people like Biden and that probably helps in Wisconsin. Everything correlates, but Ohio isn’t some barometer of the other 3. Think of it like college football. Does Ohio State seem more like an SEC program or Wisconsin? If you know the fans, they are far more similar to fans of Bama or Georgia than Michigan or Wisconsin. That’s where all the people are at in Ohio.
not for nothing but i do feel like this whole election pivots on PA to an extent.
True but I feel like there's a good chance plop would roll that bet. If it's a #Trumpslide I'm quite nervous plop will pay me $2750 cuz he would have just lost his ass on predictit, kinda want to get out tbhQuote:
Originally Posted by blakeQuote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
won't bet cause he doesn't want to get rolled and also 5k means nothing to him
And ACB gives it to trump 5-4. Story has already been written by God or our CPU simulation programmersQuote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
honestly i cant see PA going biden either.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Lol so u getting some trump bets in then?
not with these lines. what book were you doing those parlays at?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Lol so u getting some trump bets in then?
ill fire on trump when his line hits around +600, to be clear. and i genuinely believe that by ill get an opportunity to do so.
sportsbook.agQuote:
Originally Posted by sonatinenot with these lines. what book were you doing those parlays at?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
True, Broward county votes will come in and he'll tank again. 17-18/1 last time?Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Idk bout +600 maybe +400 I could see
i mean, the magic hour is when the early results come in, we saw this last election.
+400 ... maybe ill dip my beak. emotionally im committed to the 550 range but maybe...
love my guys beak