Special shout out to the Gay Pride Dodgers.
They know precisely who they are starting and who will follow the opener. They have even prepared the post game press conference that addresses today’s loss and why Mary Hart should remain optimistic.
:gay
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Special shout out to the Gay Pride Dodgers.
They know precisely who they are starting and who will follow the opener. They have even prepared the post game press conference that addresses today’s loss and why Mary Hart should remain optimistic.
:gay
Today I went with the blanket unders idea and some sides, here is the card:
Hawks -2
Hawks under 224.5
Bucks +2.5
Bucks under 224
Warriors -3
Warriors under 228
gl
Dodgers gonna bullpen. We knew that. Opening with Evil Knebel.
Let’s start with this.
Dodgers pitcher Julio Urias visibly showed up Gavin Lux over his poor effort in center field
I think the Dodgers have quit. The attitude is poor and turning inward. They are tired and mismanaged (whole org not just Roberts). They know this iteration of the Dodgers and this chapter is coming to an end.
Plus money Braves with Max Fried? This is an example of the sharp playoff handicapping from the books Druff preaches about? LOL
The only question is has LA quit on the Dodgers? I saw the fans streaming out of the stadium before the 9th. I think they have. Imagine Atlanta’s mood in contrast.
As you know, normally we wait for the dumb Los Angeles money. If we like the Dodgers we try to bet before LA wakes up. Dodger always are lined heavily in their favor. The Dodger tax. Yeah, playoffs are so tough to beat cause razor sharp lines - c’mon Druff…. not how sportsbooks operate.
Now I am holding a 16:1 Dodgers Red Sox World Series matchup and that would be nice but that’s in the past.
Baseball - 919 Atlanta Braves +100 for 1st 5 Innings
Baseball - 919 Atlanta Braves +127 for Game
If Dodger money comes in (it won’t) we take another helping.
I am pumping out nonsense in volume here. My time is valuable Simpdog. I ask for very little in return.
Let’s dish those NHL picks.
Carolina money line
Oilers -1.5
The useless fucking Todgers started Kelly not Knebel.
I can’t believe it.
AAAAAAARRRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
My bets are gonna get cancelled.
I hope they lose 30-0 those cock suckers. It’s gonna be hard not to tilt. I am so upset
I took SMU -13, which seemed like the right play as they quickly got a 24 point lead. But then inexplicably after getting behind so much there was no chance to win, Tulane decided to throw the kitchen sink just to try to cover. So far in 2nd half we have a fake FG, going for it repeatedly on 4th down in their own side of field and a successful onside kick. WTF? So they are going to lose by 10 instead of 20. What is going on here?
You definitely have a sweat, but I think you will be ok. But college is tricky in the 4th quarter, I cannot tell you how many times I have been burned in the last two minutes with a freak interception, fumble for six, etc.. Of course, I have also been rewarded as well, goes both ways I guess.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
I shall deposit this Pick/NFL here on a Thursday so it is a hidden Gem Sun night or un-seen eyesore Sun eve....
Money line Parlay
NY JETS a Good Spot for a upset...I like the 7 line. it is boding and begging for a DOG straight up W.
Parlay with
INDIANOPOLIS Colts
50/585 shd be about right.....
good luck.
I guess when you are 1-5 with no hope for a bowl covering 13 points against a ranked team is your SB. I could have taken Tulane +3 at halftime. That is really what I should have done. That is clearly massively EV, given how these teams are playing. But there was no indication Tulane was going to treat the 4th Q of a blowout like this. Who the hell does a fake FG on 4th and 7 and an onside kick when they are down 20 points?Quote:
Originally Posted by tgullYou definitely have a sweat, but I think you will be ok. But college is tricky in the 4th quarter, I cannot tell you how many times I have been burned in the last two minutes with a freak interception, fumble for six, etc.. Of course, I have also been rewarded as well, goes both ways I guess.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
I think the Colts might be ready for a playoff run, in that they might peel off 4 wins a row and be neck and neck with Tennessee. Jets, I dunno, this teams just screams 3 wins max, but yeah any NFL team can cover a 7. You'll earn this parlay for sure, going to be a sweat but doable.Quote:
Originally Posted by shoeshine box
You have a 9 point buffer as of 9 minutes left. You should be in good shape, but yeah, I get the sweat, Tulane gets a quick score and somehow manages a field goal at the end, SMU takes a knee and you are short. It happens all the time. I usually get burned on over/under, but I have to be honest I had an interception return with 20 seconds left which got me over on a certain loss a few weeks ago. Good luck!Quote:
Originally Posted by KalamI guess when you are 1-5 with no hope for a bowl covering 13 points against a ranked team is your SB. I could have taken Tulane +3 at halftime. That is really what I should have done. That is clearly massively EV, given how these teams are playing. But there was no indication Tulane was going to treat the 4th Q of a blowout like this. Who the hell does a fake FG on 4th and 7 and an onside kick when they are down 20 points?Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
I think I am gonna need Tulane to turn the ball over. I dont see how they dont score 2 TDs otherwise in the last 7 minutes the way these teams are playing. Anything is possible, but still kicking myself on not taking Tulane +3 at half.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgullYou have a 9 point buffer as of 9 minutes left. You should be in good shape, but yeah, I get the sweat, Tulane gets a quick score and somehow manages a field goal at the end, SMU takes a knee and you are short. It happens all the time. I usually get burned on over/under, but I have to be honest I had an interception return with 20 seconds left which got me over on a certain loss a few weeks ago. Good luck!Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Refs have called 3 personal fouls on SMU in the last couple minutes. Looks like the refs are in on it. I am calling it now, if SMU gets anything going on the next drive the refs are going to call a penalty to kill the drive. Guaranteed. Sucks.
You'll go crazy second guessing halftimes, they are always a sucker bet. Stay away from them. Yes, I do them in the heat of the moment, they rarely pay off. Best to stick with the opening line and ride it.Quote:
Originally Posted by KalamI think I am gonna need Tulane to turn the ball over. I dont see how they dont score 2 TDs otherwise in the last 7 minutes the way these teams are playing. Anything is possible, but still kicking myself on not taking Tulane +3 at half.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Refs have called 3 personal fouls on SMU in the last couple minutes. Looks like the refs are in on it. Sucks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by tgullYou'll go crazy second guessing halftimes, they are always a sucker bet. Stay away from them. Yes, I do them in the heat of the moment, they rarely pay off. Best to stick with the opening line and ride it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Yep. Last week I bet 2 second halfs on games I had bet the game and was in great shape to give myself massive middles, and lost both second halves and easily covered the game bets.
Also UNLV +5
Obviously Druff went to the game
So my ploppy parlay won.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Simpdog standard 2-0
The Dodgers make sure my losing bets are cancelled before the first pitch.
Great day but of course, everything I win will go to my therapist.
5 hours after the game Druff is still in traffic.
4BET does not rep on winning posts.
UFC Fight Night 196 on ESPN+ at Apex in Las Vegas. Prelims start at 1pm Eastern Saturday….
Zviad Lazishvili -125, 1u
Livia Renata Souza -125, 1u
Jeff Molina -160, 1u
Khama Worthy +155, 1u
Tabatha Ricci -240, 2u
David Onama +360, .75u
Gregory Rodrigues -105, 1u
Parlay Villanueva, D. Grant & M. Vettori +950, .5u
Started out really hot in the NBA, so I’m sure I’ll jinx myself here. Have Pacers ML +102 tonight, and Pacers -4 +143. Beal is a little banged up and this is dropping fast. When I went to bet it I had to approve odds changes twice moving against me before I got it in. I assume he will go, but I liked Pacers before it became more questionable. Any of these alternate lines I’m always at maybe a quarter of a unit at most on. As I said, Wizards are probably a lock now that I’m posting it, but ok straight up NBA games I’m at five straight and 2-3 on the alternate lines.