Despite being a Dodgers fan, I have to admit there's a lot of value in St. Louis -105.
Carlos Martinez is waaaaaaaaaay better than washed up Kazmir.
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Despite being a Dodgers fan, I have to admit there's a lot of value in St. Louis -105.
Carlos Martinez is waaaaaaaaaay better than washed up Kazmir.
Wasn't really trying to hide what I had, I have Orioles at like 45-1, put down about 350 before season.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Long way to go with injuries and stuff. But we have a pretty good idea what each team is about.Quote:
Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler
Da Cubs. Even if a Cubs pitcher goes down, or anyone else for that matter, Theo Epstein has the money, the bullets and the stones to add pieces. There are always regular season heros in slap nut divisions. Them Cubs are built for tournament play too.
this is a very good list given what we know now.
Why not share the mystery team and all the particulars. Why do you feel you need to hedge now? You brought this up. So give it up.
Of course, GL
If it wasn't for the fucking Cubs this would be hella easier and I could probably wait. A nice losing streak would be nice to give me a little better odds on them, but they are just destroying everyone and don't see that happening. But then again how much better can their odds get? They are 5-1 now. I'm just spitballing here though, Cards a few years ago won 86 I think and took championship.
I was originally going to wait til the playoffs and then just pound every other team but my limits might hurt me in tbat scenario. Max future is $500. But either way Cubs are the damn problem.
Cubs opened at -250 and it shot up to -300.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarBeen running so pure. I have a bad intuition. Don't know why. You don't find spots like this too often. Just feeling reversion to the mean with the offense and Buccholz has looked better than the wretched gutless awfulness that is his career. He has good stuff but he is always afraid. Vasquez is the sort of catcher to kick his ass.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
That kid Vasquez has a cannon for an arm BTW.
05/14/2016 - ONLINE at 06:18 AM
[Ticket #: 260295877] STRAIGHT BET
05/14/2016 @ 10:05 AM
MLB
[967] TOTAL o9½-120 (HOU ASTROS vrs BOS RED SOX)
( C MCHUGH -R / C BUCHHOLZ -R ) RISKING 120.00 TO WIN 100.00
I am bummin I see no run line or total on Cubs (Arrietta) v Pitt (Locke). Why is that Daly?
GL Kid
Feeling a chalk parlay
(1) Pitt Penguins -200
(2) Toronto Raptors ML (-205)
(3) Golden State Warriors ML (-370)
(4) Chicago Cubs -1½ (-135)
(5) Cleveland Indians ML (-200)
(6) Washington Nationals GM #1 -1½ (-110)
100/1150
My advice? Hold tight. Congratulations on what looks like. Very good bet for what you got it at. Way too long a season to start making hedges now.Quote:
Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustlerWasn't really trying to hide what I had, I have Orioles at like 45-1, put down about 350 before season.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
If it wasn't for the fucking Cubs this would be hella easier and I could probably wait. A nice losing streak would be nice to give me a little better odds on them, but they are just destroying everyone and don't see that happening. But then again how much better can their odds get? They are 5-1 now. I'm just spitballing here though, Cards a few years ago won 86 I think and took championship.
I was originally going to wait til the playoffs and then just pound every other team but my limits might hurt me in tbat scenario. Max future is $500. But either way Cubs are the damn problem.
Ervin Santana/Strikeouts u5 ½ (-130)
Header: Twins @ Indians - Ervin Santana total batters struckout
They are driving the odds so low on the Cubs I am going to have to start betting the run line. I think Ill bet the ML for say $1,000 and the run line for $300 (which is about the profit on the ML). Don't fail me now Arrieta. Anyone else bet like that?
Last year fading the White Sox was $, this year the opposite of course. Atlanta and Twins the new whipping boys this year.
All eyes on Cubs, Orioles and White Sox for the wins.
Tail ya onQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
(4) Chicago Cubs -1½ (-135)
(6) Washington Nationals GM #1 -1½ (-119)
GL on parlay. Looks good but I don't do drugs
Looks great...... Today. But fortunes have been lost betting on the run line.Quote:
Originally Posted by Charham
My UFC guy likes this one a bunch.... Says line should be -150
Renato Moicano Carneiro ML (+110)
Header: Renato Moicano Carneiro [9(0)-0-1] vs Zubaira Tukhugov [18(6)-3-0]
Scheduled : 05/14/16 6:30 PM (EST)
Accepted: 05/14/16 2:16 PM (EST
3-0
You hurt me to the quick with that money line truism.
The rest is on you Daly.
Not to scare anyone off. I know sharps that can beat sides, I know sharps that can beat totals and dare I say I know a thing or two about beating props.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I've never met anyone who beats the Puck/Run line.
Need to get by Toronto. No way I'm going against the home team in a game 7, but Miami is experianced.
I totally would have done the Cubs run line. Arrieta just mows them down, and Locke sucks.
Unfortunately it wasn't available (much like Sanlmar found) when I went to bet it initially. Then I went to sleep, and so went the game.
It was it posted late at the book I got it at. Cubs are just fucking destroying teams, the 1 run has only mattered in 4 of the 28 wins they have had. At $2.00+ of value for that .5 run its been a no brainier to bet the run line.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
If history means anything this won't last but it holds true for now.
I'm auto betting (with some limitations) the Sawks over and the Cubs Run line. Neither will last the whole season but it's a sharp angle for now.
I can see why the long odds are so low on Cubs now (actually down to an insane 3.5-1). History says they are going deep and about half the time winning it all barring a small miracle or rash of injuries.
1984 Tigers 35-5, WS Champions
1986 Mets 20-4, WS Champions
1939 Yankees 29-7, WS Champions
2001 Mariners 20-4, Lost ALCS
1998 Yankees 23-6, WS Champions
1970 Reds 22-6, Lost in WS
1969 Orioles 20-8, Lost in WS
Thanks Daly for posting your thoughts, you seem practical and reasoned. All things I aspire to be be. :-) In any event good stuff. As you said, Cubs destroying and I want to find a way to make more $ on them. I am going to start expanding my run line action to do it. I missed the game as I took my son to see the new avengers movie, so nice surprise was waiting. Funny they were down 0 - 2 and I wasn't sweating a bit. Turned phone off, then at end of movie cha ching! wish the all were that easy.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyIt was it posted late at the book I got it at. Cubs are just fucking destroying teams, the 1 run has only mattered in 4 of the 28 wins they have had. At $2.00+ of value for that .5 run its been a no brainier to bet the run line.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
If history means anything this won't last but it holds true for now.
I'm auto betting (with some limitations) the Sawks over and the Cubs Run line. Neither will last the whole season but it's a sharp angle for now.
Books are running sacred. The total for the Sawks is posted at 11.
I'm not scared.
Houston Astros/Boston Red Sox o11 (-110)
Header: Houston Astros (15-22) @ Boston Red Sox (22-14)
Scheduled: 05/15/16 1:35 PM (EST)
To continue the Cubs conversation I do think the books are hemorrhageing money right now on them. Almost 10 am and the only line they have up is Cubs -165. No run line, no total, no team totals.
The Players Championship Day 4
Feeling confident about Today's pick...
Graeme McDowell -110 (1.5 BTC) VS Shane Lowry
Lowry has been in bad form lately (had a nice open round of 65) Hes been struggling mentally lately and has been having mini meltdowns and is questioning why he should even be entering tournaments. I watched the full coverage of the tournament so far and never saw Lowry like I did yesterday during the end of the round. He looked mentally and physically drained. He clearly put some weight back on and was just dragging his ass trying to finish yesterday and It was obvious to me that he didn't even want to be there and was just going thru the motions.
On the flip side Graeme McDowell has been getting into a nice groove and had a fantastic round of 69 yesterday on brutal conditions.
I was lucky to get bet placed in time after having issue getting in authenticator on phone to transfer bitcoins.
I jumped on the OVER with you. I ended up getting good line at Nitrogen and have Over 10 -118Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
GL
Over by the 3rd. Sox are cruising. Good week betting Sox overs
Wicked pissa money truck. SawksQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Books gotta be hemorrhaging more money on Sox than Cubs
Christ it took 3 innings...you guys are slipping...
but congrats on the sauwks money train guys...cigars and hard liquor all around...
9, 10, 11..... Doesn't matter with this team. So long as they keep rolling out these shitty pitchers with thisQuote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarWicked pissa money truck. SawksQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Books gotta be hemorrhaging more money on Sox than Cubs
Lineup it's a recipie for 9 runs at a minimum.
I've got Toronto to win the East at +500.
I wonder what their series line will be against the Cavs.
Doesn't seem like I picked up that much value along the way.
Ended up winning my Golf bet (+1.5 BTC, $700ish) Which I'm happy with, but would like to know if it played out how I thought it would. I wish pgatourlive.com offered a way to for the users to choose which pairings they want to follow. They do this just for the big names first 2 days and leaders for days 3 and 4. They are filming every hole at all times, why not make subscription $10/mo instead of $5 and run the feeds online? My only guess is television rights etc. make it complicated.
Anyways.... Whats PFA's consensus for the Cardinal's / Dodger's game?
8:05 EST @ LA
Cardinal's (Matt Leake) ML: +125
Dodgers (Alex Wood) ML: -135
O/U 7.5
Anyone see the Rangers/Jays brawl.
Bautista honestly deserves the rest of the season off.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Not only did he slide dirty, but he slid dirty on a rule that MLB has explicitly created to prevent what he did.
He showed up the Rangers, he should have taken his HPB like a man and went to first instead he retaliated in about the worst way possible.
Luckily he got fucking owned with that right cross to the jaw.
For Cardinals/Dodger's game, I bet UNDER 4 1/2 for 1st Half of game.
(not suggested to follow, I'm just punting)
I've watched the .gif of this for about 10 minutes..... HOF.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83Bautista honestly deserves the rest of the season off.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Not only did he slide dirty, but he slid dirty on a rule that MLB has explicitly created to prevent what he did.
He showed up the Rangers, he should have taken his HPB like a man and went to first instead he retaliated in about the worst way possible.
Luckily he got fucking owned with that right cross to the jaw.
Remember the Joey Bats bat flip was against Texas.
I've been pulling for you. I almost pulled the trigger at the time and kind of regret not doing so. You won't gt better than +300 I'd imagine.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
You can view the whole 8 minutes or so of this madness here:
http://m.mlb.com/news/article/178354...s-rangers-game
Bautista will get suspended but retaliation is a no-no and Odor will have a long time off as well with that punch even though it was so worth it.
Odor is a thug, look at the guy. Sucker punched Bautista who isn't throwing punches because he doesn't want a suspension.
Hard slide yes. Did it start the whole melee yes. Much different than a pitcher hitting someone in retaliation? Not really imo.
Bautista give him 2 games for the slide. Odor can sit for 15. You can't not punch people in the face
Technically he didn't sucker punch him, he shoved Bautista, Bautista clinched his fist like he was going to punch and Odor fucking right crossed him to the jaw.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Also it wasn't a hard slide, a hard slide is sliding before the base through the base, Bautista slid starting at the base, spikes up. That's a career ending slide if connected properly, could have snapped his leg into pieces.
I am guessing Bautista gets 12, appealed down to like 5-7.
Odor gets 12, appealed down to like 9 (just cause punching is seen as a big no no).
Why so many games?Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83Technically he didn't sucker punch him, he shoved Bautista, Bautista clinched his fist like he was going to punch and Odor fucking right crossed him to the jaw.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Also it wasn't a hard slide, a hard slide is sliding before the base through the base, Bautista slid starting at the base, spikes up. That's a career ending slide if connected properly, could have snapped his leg into pieces.
I am guessing Bautista gets 12, appealed down to like 5-7.
Odor gets 12, appealed down to like 9 (just cause punching is seen as a big no no).
Don;t guys routinely get 3-4 games for fights and brawls?
they aint gonna want this shit to escalate...no fucking way Toronto lets odor get away from sucker punching one of their best players...
they lay the ban hammer down they cut down the escalation...sure odor is gonna get fucking drilled, but if they don't come down hard they're gonna hurt him...
This is arguably the worst incident since Ryan/Ventura and in a lot of ways it's worse because of the intentional aim to seriously injure a player by Bautista. Then Odor gets hammered cause I mean that right cross is going to play poorly on tv.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacWhy so many games?Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
Don;t guys routinely get 3-4 games for fights and brawls?
https://youtu.be/B8kcoNddWJ8A lot went down. First let's dispense with the sucker punch.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Bautista made the slide. Popped up and got into Odor's space.
Odor shoves him hard in the chest.
Bautista regains balance and comes back at Odor. As he does, he raises his right hand.
Is Odor supposed to shove him in the chest and then announce, "I am now gonna knock you the fuck out"?
Better angle here
https://youtu.be/B8kcoNddWJ8
I wont argue the punch...the slide was obviously terrible and late as hell...just saying a sucker punch from the angle that they didn't have their hands up ready to fight and he cold cocked him...Toronto is sure as hell gonna view it as a sucker punch and perception is reality so to speak...they don't drop the hammer on a longish suspension, odor will get rolled into and be rehabbing a torn ACL because they are gonna barrel roll into him in the next series...
again 100% the slide started it...I never played at as high of a level as your kid did, san, but I played 2nd through HS and I always remembered that late slide shit...couldn't brawl or you'd be off the team, but nothing that a well placed spike wouldn't take care of if it could be done...
and nothing on whether the punch was right/wrong, but fuck that was one helluva shot...and for bautista to take it and just get a little stunned is pretty impressive too...I know odor isn't a monster guy, but he hit him pretty damn good in a pretty damn good spot...
We need an impartial jury.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmarhttps://youtu.be/B8kcoNddWJ8A lot went down. First let's dispense with the sucker punch.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Bautista made the slide. Popped up and got into Odor's space.
Odor shoves him hard in the chest.
Bautista regains balance and comes back at Odor. As he does, he raises his right hand.
Is Odor supposed to shove him in the chest and then announce, "I am now gonna knock you the fuck out"?
Better angle here
https://youtu.be/B8kcoNddWJ8
Imo Bautista is getting ready to shove him back. Doesn't strike me as a guy who is into throwing punches.
Typical baseball "brawls" involve a lot of verbal toughness and the odd girly shoving. For Odor to throw that punch I definitely call it a sucker punch and honestly I have no idea how the Jays were relatively restrained and didn't boot the shit out of Odor.
I would love nothing more than to see them meet in the playoffs again. Would be epic.
You better shake that sand out of your vagina. Talk about an over-fucking-reaction.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83Technically he didn't sucker punch him, he shoved Bautista, Bautista clinched his fist like he was going to punch and Odor fucking right crossed him to the jaw.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Also it wasn't a hard slide, a hard slide is sliding before the base through the base, Bautista slid starting at the base, spikes up. That's a career ending slide if connected properly, could have snapped his leg into pieces.
I am guessing Bautista gets 12, appealed down to like 5-7.
Odor gets 12, appealed down to like 9 (just cause punching is seen as a big no no).
That slide was 100% typical before the guy got hurt just last fucking year. JFC, go watch a hockey game & toughen up.