Quote:
Originally Posted by
VaughnP
Nate Silver's Polls Plus, considered the most accurate FiveThirtyEight prediction, has Trump at 48.5%. I'm pretty sure that's his peak so far in the model.
The Nowcast has Trump 54.9% to Shillary 45.1%, meaning he actually thinks Trump would win, based on the math, if the election were held today.
Looks like Colorado and New Hampshire are moving towards Trump now, and based on polling this morning, PA is moving into toss up territory. I said three months ago this first debate would decide the election. While 100M will watch this debate, you might only get 75M the second debate, and third debate would be much less than that. I remember the first Romney-Obama debate I was waiting all day for it. The night of the 3rd debate I was at a Hooters with some buddies.
90 minutes tonight will decide the Presidency. The crazy thing is one gaffe can cost you (Gerald Ford saying Eastern European when he meant Western European) or an obnoxious mannerism such as Al Gore annoying sighing and smirking. Trump needs to be very careful with the split screen and his facial expressions when Clinton says something to get under his skin.